Development of statistical models for improving efficiency of emergency evacuation in areas with vulnerable population

The Statistics Portal. https://www.statista.com/statistics/269652/countries-with-the-most-natural-hazardhazards. Accessed 09/18/2017. Knabb,, 2005 Ozguven, 2016, Metadata-based needs assessment for emergency transportation operations with a focus on an aging population: a case study in Florida, Transp Rev, 36, 383, 10.1080/01441647.2015.1082516 Van Manen, 2005, Quantitative flood risk assessment for Polders, Reliab Eng Syst Safe, 90, 229, 10.1016/j.ress.2004.10.002 Jonkman, 2010, A general approach for the estimation of loss of life due to natural and technological disasters, Reliab Eng Syst Safe, 95, 1123, 10.1016/j.ress.2010.06.019 Lv, 2015, A risk-based method for planning of bus–subway corridor evacuation under hybrid uncertainties, Reliab Eng Syst Safe, 139, 188, 10.1016/j.ress.2015.03.002 Boot, 2014, Improving the safety of aging road users: a mini-review, Gerontology, 60, 90, 10.1159/000354212 Wolfe, 2017, More than the useful field: considering peripheral vision in driving, Appl Ergon, 65, 316, 10.1016/j.apergo.2017.07.009 Hamdar, 2008, Aggressiveness propensity index for driving behavior at signalized intersections, Accid Anal Prev, 40, 315, 10.1016/j.aap.2007.06.013 Hoogendoorn, 2012, Driving behavior in emergency situations, Transp Res Rec, 2316, 11, 10.3141/2316-02 Ortman, 2014 Bella, 2014, Analysis of driver speeds under night driving conditions using a driving simulator, J Safe Res, 49, 45, 10.1016/j.jsr.2014.02.007 Casutt, 2014, The relation between performance in on-road driving, cognitive screening and driving simulator in older healthy drivers, Transp Res Part F, 22, 232, 10.1016/j.trf.2013.12.007 Tuokko, 2015, Associations between age, gender, psychosocial and health characteristics in the Candrive II study cohort, Accid Anal Prev, 61, 267, 10.1016/j.aap.2013.02.036 Jurecki, 2016, An analysis of collision avoidance maneuvers in emergency traffic situations, Arch Automov Eng, 72, 73 Man-Son-Hing, 2007, Systematic review of driving risk and the efficacy of compensatory strategies in persons with dementia, J Am Geriatr Soc, 55, 878, 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2007.01177.x Yan, 2008, Validating a driving simulator using surrogate safety measures, Accid Anal Prev, 40, 274, 10.1016/j.aap.2007.06.007 Shanmugaratnam, 2010, Age differences in cognitive and psychomotor abilities and simulated driving, Accid Anal Prev, 42, 802, 10.1016/j.aap.2009.10.002 Boer, 2011, Serialization of vehicle control at intersections in older drivers, 17 Thompson, 2012, Distracted driving in elderly and middle-aged drivers, Accid Anal Prev, 45, 711, 10.1016/j.aap.2011.09.040 Haufe, 2014, On the interpretation of weight vectors of linear models in multivariate neuroimaging, NeuroImage, 87, 96, 10.1016/j.neuroimage.2013.10.067 Belanger, 2015, Crash avoidance in response to challenging driving events: the roles of age, serialization, and driving simulator platform, Accid Anal Prev, 82, 199, 10.1016/j.aap.2015.04.030 Cheng, 2015, Drivers’ visual characteristics when merging onto or exiting an urban expressway, PLoS Clin Trials, 11 Perrier, 2015, Impaired driving performance associated with effect of time duration in patients with primary insomnia, Sleep, 37, 1565, 10.5665/sleep.4012 Calvi, 2015, Diverging driver performance along deceleration lanes: driving simulator study, Transp Res Rec, 2518, 95, 10.3141/2518-13 Gaspar, 2016, Measuring the useful field of view during simulated driving with gaze-contingent displays, Hum Factors, 58, 630, 10.1177/0018720816642092 Martinussen, 2017, How indicative is a self-reported driving behaviour profile of police registered traffic law offences?, Accid Anal Prev, 99, 1, 10.1016/j.aap.2016.10.031 Xu, 2012, Differences in driving characteristics between normal and emergency situations and model of car-following behavior, J Transp Eng, 138, 303, 10.1061/(ASCE)TE.1943-5436.0000434 Hoogendoorn, 2013, Longitudinal driving behavior in case of emergency situations: an empirically underpinned theoretical framework, Procedia, 80, 341 Hoogendoorn, 2013, Longitudinal driving behavior in case of emergency situations: an empirically underpinned theoretical framework, Transp Res Part C, 36, 581, 10.1016/j.trc.2013.06.020 Underwood, 2013, Driving experience and situation awareness in hazard detection, Safe Sci, 56, 29, 10.1016/j.ssci.2012.05.025 Ali, 2018, Connectivity's impact on mandatory lane-changing behaviour: evidences from a driving simulator study, Transp Res Part C, 93, 292, 10.1016/j.trc.2018.06.008 Lord, 2010, The statistical analysis of crash-frequency data: a review and assessment of methodological alternatives, Transp Res Part A, 44, 291 Coxon, 2015, Behind the wheel: predictors of driving exposure in older drivers, J Am Geriatr Soc, 63, 1137, 10.1111/jgs.13440 Huisingh, 2017, Visual sensory and visual-cognitive function and rate of crash and near-crash involvement among older drivers using naturalistic driving data, Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci., 58, 2959, 10.1167/iovs.17-21482 Wang, 2011, Predicting accident frequency at their severity levels and its application in site ranking using a two-stage mixed multivariate model, Accid Anal Prev, 43, 1979, 10.1016/j.aap.2011.05.016 Malyshkina, 2010, Empirical assessment of the impact of highway design exceptions on the frequency and severity of vehicle accidents, Accid Anal Prev, 42, 131, 10.1016/j.aap.2009.07.013 Yu, 2013, Multi-level Bayesian analyses for single- and multi-vehicle freeway crashes, Accid Anal Prev, 58, 97, 10.1016/j.aap.2013.04.025 Barua, 2014, A Full Bayesian multivariate count data model of collision severity with spatial correlation, Anal Methods Accid Res, 3-4, 28, 10.1016/j.amar.2014.09.001 Aguero-Valverde, 2010, Spatial correlation in multilevel crash frequency models: effects of different neighboring structures, Transp Res Rec, 2165, 21, 10.3141/2165-03 Aguero-Valverde, 2013, Multivariate spatial models of excess crash frequency at area level: case of Costa Rica, Accid Anal Prev, 59, 365, 10.1016/j.aap.2013.06.014 Abdel-Aty, 2000, Modeling traffic accident occurrence and involvement, Accid Anal Prev, 32, 633, 10.1016/S0001-4575(99)00094-9 Abdel-Aty, 2003, Analysis of driver injury severity levels at multiple locations using ordered probit models, J Safe Res, 34, 597, 10.1016/j.jsr.2003.05.009 Abdel-Aty, 2007, Crash data analysis: collective vs. individual crash level approach, J Safe Res, 38, 267, 10.1016/j.jsr.2007.04.007 Coruh, 2015, Accident analysis with aggregated data: the random parameters negative binomial panel count data model, Anal Methods Accid Res, 7, 37, 10.1016/j.amar.2015.07.001 Behnood, 2015, The temporal stability of factors affecting driver-injury severities in single-vehicle crashes: some empirical evidence, Anal Methods Accid Res, 8, 7, 10.1016/j.amar.2015.08.001 Koglbauer, 2017, Drivers’ interaction with the adaptive cruise control on dry and snowy roads with various tire-road grip potentials, J Adv Transp, 2017, 1, 10.1155/2017/5496837 Ulak, 2017, Spatial investigation of aging-involved crashes: a GIS-based case study in northwest Florida, J Transport Geogr, 58, 71, 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2016.11.011 2017 Borowsky, 2010, Age, skill, and hazard perception in driving, Accid Anal Prev, 42, 1240, 10.1016/j.aap.2010.02.001 Li, 2016, A rear-end collision risk assessment model based on drivers’ collision avoidance process under influences of cell phone use and gender—a driving simulator based study, Accid Anal Prev, 97, 1, 10.1016/j.aap.2016.08.021 Di Stefano, 2003, Assessment of older drivers: relationships among on-road errors, medical conditions and test outcome, J Safe Res, 34, 415, 10.1016/j.jsr.2003.09.010 Wickens, 2012, Does gender moderate the relationship between driver aggression and its risk factors?, Accid Anal Prev, 45, 10, 10.1016/j.aap.2011.11.013 Wickens, 2016, Do driver anger and aggression contribute to the odds of a crash? A population-level analysis, Transp Res Part F, 42, 389, 10.1016/j.trf.2016.03.003 Rapoport, 2013, The relationship between cognitive performance, perceptions of driving comfort and abilities, and self-reported driving restrictions among healthy older drivers, Accid Anal Prev, 61, 288, 10.1016/j.aap.2013.03.030 Cuenen, 2016, The relations between specific measures of simulated driving ability and functional ability: new insights for assessment and training programs of older drivers, Transp Res Part F, 39, 65, 10.1016/j.trf.2015.05.007 Gilliath, 2017, Attachment as a predictor of driving performance, Transp Res Part F, 45, 208, 10.1016/j.trf.2016.12.010 Wang, 2017, Multivariate Poisson lognormal modeling of crashes by type and severity on rural two-lane highways, Accid Anal Prev, 99, 6, 10.1016/j.aap.2016.11.006 MathWorks (R2015b). MATLAB (Matrix Laboratory) software. Vinaitheerthan, 2017 Walker, 2018