Data-Driven Representative Day Selection for Investment Decisions: A Cost-Oriented Approach

Mingyang Sun1, Fei Teng1, Xi Zhang1, Goran Strbac1, Danny Pudjianto1
1Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Imperial College London, London, U.K.

Tóm tắt

Power system investment planning problems become intractable due to the vast variability that characterizes system operation and the increasing complexity of the optimization model to capture the characteristics of renewable energy sources. In this context, making optimal investment decisions by considering every operating period is unrealistic and inefficient. The conventional solution to address this computational issue is to select a limited number of representative operating periods by clustering the input demand-generation patterns while preserving the key statistical features of the original population. However, for an investment model that contains highly complex non-linear relationship between input data and optimal investment decisions, selecting representative periods by relying on only input data becomes inefficient. This paper proposes a novel investment cost-oriented representative day selection framework for large scale multi-spacial investment problems, which performs clustering directly based on the investment decisions for each generation technology at each location associated with each individual day. Additionally, dimensionality reduction is performed to ensure that the proposed method is feasible for large-scale power systems and high-resolution input data. The superior performance of the proposed method is demonstrated through a series of case studies with different levels of modeling complexity.

Từ khóa

#Clustering #dimensionality reduction #investment planning #renewable energy sources #representative days

Tài liệu tham khảo

10.1109/TPWRS.2016.2614368 10.1109/TPWRS.2016.2609538 10.1016/j.energy.2017.12.154 10.1049/iet-gtd.2009.0376 10.1109/TPWRS.2009.2016072 10.1109/TPWRS.2018.2842093 10.1109/TPWRS.2018.2819578 keogh, 2011, Curse of dimensionality, Encyclopedia of Machine Learning, 257 10.24963/ijcai.2017/243 10.1162/089976603321780317 10.2172/1332909 10.1109/TSTE.2016.2547911 sisternes, 2013, Optimal selection of sample weeks for approximating the net load in generation planning problems 10.1109/TPWRS.2016.2596803 10.1109/TPWRS.2014.2322909 10.1016/j.apenergy.2012.06.002 10.1109/TPWRS.2017.2746379 10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.078 10.1109/TPWRS.2017.2735026 10.1007/BF02289588 10.1080/01621459.1963.10500845 10.1109/TIE.2018.2803732 10.1109/TSG.2018.2871559 10.1109/TSG.2013.2282039 10.1109/TSTE.2015.2497411 2017