Nội dung được dịch bởi AI, chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo
Thiên lệch lạm phát và suy thoái theo chu kỳ ở Mỹ Latinh và Caribe: Bằng chứng và ý nghĩa
Tóm tắt
Trong một mẫu bao gồm 32 quốc gia ở Mỹ Latinh và Caribe, các bằng chứng cho thấy sự tồn tại của đường cung bị gãy khúc, điều này ngụ ý rằng các cú sốc cầu dương chủ yếu tác động vào giá cả trong khi các cú sốc cầu âm chủ yếu ảnh hưởng đến sản lượng. Tính biến động cao của cầu tổng thể ở các quốc gia này, thường xuyên bị tác động bởi các cú sốc, có xu hướng tạo ra một thiên lệch tăng về lạm phát và một thiên lệch giảm về tăng trưởng sản lượng thực tế, trung bình theo thời gian. Phân tích nhấn mạnh những lợi ích của việc loại bỏ các độ cứng cấu trúc chịu trách nhiệm cho tính chất gãy khúc của đường cung và chỉ ra những nguy cơ của các chính sách vĩ mô tiến triển theo chu kỳ.
Từ khóa
#lạm phát #suy thoái #chu kỳ kinh tế #Mỹ Latinh #Caribe #đường cung #cú sốc cầuTài liệu tham khảo
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