Continuing upward trend in Mt Read Huon pine ring widths – Temperature or divergence?

Allan, 2006, A new globally complete monthly historical mean sea level pressure data set (HADSLP2), 1850 – 2004, J. Climatol., 19, 5816, 10.1175/JCLI3937.1 Allen, 2013, A strong regional signal in low elevation Huon pine, J. Quat. Sci., 28, 433, 10.1002/jqs.2637 Anchukaitis, 2006, Forward modeling of regional scale tree-ring patterns in the southeastern United States and the recent influence of summer drought, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L04705, 10.1029/2005GL025050 Anchukaitis, 2012, Tree rings and volcanic cooling, Nat. Geosci., 5, 836, 10.1038/ngeo1645 Andreu-Hayles, 2011, Varying boreal forest response to Arctic environmental change at the Firth River, Alaska, Environ. Res. Lett., 6, 10.1088/1748-3182/6/4/049502 Andreu-Hayles, 2011, Long tree-ring chronologies reveal 20th century increases in water-use efficiency but no enhancement of tree growth at five Iberian pine forests, Glob. Change Biol., 17, 2095, 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02373.x Bradley, 2009, Recent changes in freezing level heights in the Tropics with implications for deglacierization of high mountain regions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, 10.1029/2009GL037712 Briffa, 1998, Tree tell of past climates: but are they speaking less clearly today?, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond., 353, 65, 10.1098/rstb.1998.0191 Briffa, 2002, Tree-ring width and density data around the Northern Hemisphere: Part 1, Local and regional climate signals, Holocene, 12, 737, 10.1191/0959683602hl587rp Briffa, 2002, Tree-ring width and density data around the Northern Hemisphere: Part 2, Spatio-temporal variability and associated climate signals, Holocene, 12, 759, 10.1191/0959683602hl588rp Briffa, 2004, Large-scale temperature inferences from tree rings: a review, Global Planet. Change, 40, 11, 10.1016/S0921-8181(03)00095-X Brienen, 2012, Detecting evidence for CO2 fertilization from tree ring studies: the potential role of sample biases, Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles, 26, GB1025, 10.1029/2011GB004143 Brienen, 2012, Oxygen isotopes in tree rings are a good proxy for Amazon precipitation and El Niño-Southern oscillation variability, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 109, 16957, 10.1073/pnas.1205977109 Brodribb, 2009, Hydraulic failure defines the recovery and point of death in water-stressed conifers, Plant Physiol., 149, 575, 10.1104/pp.108.129783 Brodribb, 1998, The photosynthetic drought physiology of a diverse group of Southern hemisphere conifer species is correlated with minimum season rainfall, Funct. Ecol., 1293, 465, 10.1046/j.1365-2435.1998.00213.x Buckley, 1997, A changing temperature response with elevation for Lagarostrobos franklinii in Tasmania, Australia, Clim. Change, 36, 477, 10.1023/A:1005322332230 Bunn, 2003, Spatial variation in distribution and growth patterns of old growth strip-bark pines, Arct. Antarct. Alp. Res., 35, 323, 10.1657/1523-0430(2003)035[0323:SVIDAG]2.0.CO;2 Büntgen, 2008, Testing for tree-ring divergence in the European Alps, Glob. Change Biol., 14, 2443, 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01640.x Cook, 1981, The smoothing spline: a new approach to standardizing forest interior tree-ring width series for dendroclimatic studies, Tree-Ring Bull., 41, 45 Cook, 1987, Forest decline: modeling the effect of climate in tree rings, Tree Physiol., 3, 27, 10.1093/treephys/3.1.27 Cook, 1989, Climate change and forest decline: a review of the red spruce case, Water Air Soil. Pollut., 48, 127, 10.1007/BF00282374 Cook, 1991, Climatic change in Tasmania inferred from a 1089-year chronology of Huon Pine, Science, 253, 696, 10.1126/science.253.5025.1266 Cook, 1992, Climate change over the last millennium reconstructed from tree-rings, Holocene, 2, 205, 10.1177/095968369200200302 Cook, 1995, The segment length curse in long tree-ring chronology development for paleoclimatic studies, Holocene, 5, 229, 10.1177/095968369500500211 Cook, 1996, Recent increases in Tasmanian Huon Pine from a subalpine stand: natural climate variability, CO2 fertilisation, or greenhouse warming?, Pap. Proc. R. Soc. Tasman., 130, 65 Cook, 2000, Warm-season temperatures since 1600BC reconstructed from Tasmanian tree rings and their relationship to large-scale sea surface temperature anomalies, Clim. Dyn., 16, 79, 10.1007/s003820050006 Cook, 2013, Five centuries of Upper Indus River flows from tree rings, J. Hydrol., 486, 365, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.02.004 Coppola, 2012, Weakening climate signal since mid-20th century in European larch tree-ring chronologies at different altitudes from the Adamello-Presanella massif (Italian Alps), Quat. Res., 77, 344, 10.1016/j.yqres.2012.01.004 D'Arrigo, 2004, Thresholds for warming-induced growth decline at elevational tree line in the Yukon territory, Canada, Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles, 18, 10.1029/2004GB002249 D'Arrigo, 2008, On the ‘divergence problem’ in northern forests: a review of the tree-ring evidence and possible causes, Global Planet. Change, 60, 289, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.03.004 D'Arrigo, 2009, Tree growth and inferred temperature variability at the North American Arctic tree line, Global Planet. Change, 65, 71, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.10.011 Deslauriers, 2008, Cambial phenology, wood formation and temperature thresholds in two contrasting years at high altitude in southern Italy, Tree Physiol., 28, 863, 10.1093/treephys/28.6.863 Drosdowsky, 2005, The latitude of the subtropical ridge over eastern Australia: the L index revisited, Int. J. Climatol., 25, 1291, 10.1002/joc.1196 Drew, 2013, .Wood properties in a long–lived conifer reveal strong climate signals where ring width series do not, Tree Physiol., 10.1093/treephys/tps111 Esper, 2009, Divergence pitfalls in tree-ring research, Clim. Change, 94, 261, 10.1007/s10584-009-9594-2 Esper, 2010, Trends and uncertainties in Siberian indicators of 20th century warming, Glob. Change Biol., 16, 386, 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01913.x Etheridge, 1996, natural and anthropogenic changes in atmospheric CO2 over the last 1000 years from air in Antarctic ice firn, J. Geophys. Res., 101, 4115, 10.1029/95JD03410 Franceshini, 2012, Transient historical decrease in earlywood and latewood density and unstable sensitivity to summer temperature for Norway spruce in northeastern France, Can. J. For. Res., 42, 219, 10.1139/x11-182 Francey, 1984 Francey, 1999, A 1000-year high precision record of δ13C in atmospheric CO2, Tellus Ser. B, 51, 170, 10.1034/j.1600-0889.1999.t01-1-00005.x Francey, 2013, Atmospheric verification of anthropogenic CO2 emission trends, Nat. Clim. Change, 3, 520, 10.1038/nclimate1817 Frank, 2007, Warmer early instrumental measurements versus colder reconstructed temperatures: shooting at a moving target, Quat. Sci. Rev., 26, 3298, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2007.08.002 Fritts, 1976 Gedalof, 2010, Tree ring evidence for limited direct CO2 fertilization of forests over the 20th century, Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles, 24, GB3027, 10.1029/2009GB003699 Gotway, 2002, Combining incompatible spatial data, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 97, 632, 10.1198/016214502760047140 Grace, 2002, Impacts of climate change on the tree line, Ann. Bot., 90, 537, 10.1093/aob/mcf222 Grudd, 2008, Torneträsk tree-ring width and density Ad 500 – 2005: a test of climatic sensitivity and a new 1500-year reconstruction of north Fennoscandian summers, Clim. Dyn., 31, 843, 10.1007/s00382-007-0358-2 Gurskaya, 2012, Temperature reconstruction in the Ob river valley based on ring widths of three coniferous species, Dendrochronologia, 30, 302, 10.1016/j.dendro.2012.04.002 Harvey, 1989, 554 Holtram, 2010, Elevated [CO2] and forest vegetation: more a water issue than a carbon issue?, Funct. Plant Biol., 37, 694, 10.1071/FP10001 Huang, 2007, Response of forest trees to increased atmospheric CO2, Critical Rev. Plant Sci., 26, 265, 10.1080/07352680701626978 IPCC, 2007, IPCC Fourth Assessment Report Climate Change 2007 Jacoby, 1995, Tree ring width and density evidence of climatic and potential forest change in Alaska, Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles, 9, 227, 10.1029/95GB00321 Jeffrey, 2001, Using spatial interpolation to construct a comprehensive archive of Australian climate data, Environ. Model. Softw., 66, 309, 10.1016/S1364-8152(01)00008-1 Jones, 2009, High-quality spatial climate data sets for Australia, Aust. Meteorol. Oceanogr. J., 58, 233, 10.22499/2.5804.003 Juday, 2012, Consistent negative temperature sensitivity and positive influence of precipitation on growth of flood plain Picea glauca in interior Alaska, Can. J. For. Res., 42, 561, 10.1139/x2012-008 Kirkpatrick, 1996, Explaining a sharp transition from sedgeland to alpine vegetation on mount Sprent, southwest Tasmania, J. Veg. Sci., 7, 763, 10.2307/3236387 Körner, 1998, A re-assessment of high elevation treeline positions and their explanation, Oecologia, 115, 445, 10.1007/s004420050540 Körner, 2004, A world-wide study of high altitude treeline temperatures, J. Biogeogr., 31, 713, 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2003.01043.x LaMarche, 1984, Increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide: tree ring evidence for growth enhancement in natural vegetation, Science, 225, 1019, 10.1126/science.225.4666.1019 Larsen, 2008, Australian winter anticyclonicity, 1850–2006, J. Geophys. Res., 113, 10.1029/2007JD008873 Larsen, 2009, Southern Australian rainfall and the subtropical ridge: variations, interrelationships and trends, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, 10.1029/2009GL037786 Leal, 2008, Tree rings of Pinus nigra from the Vienna basin region (Austria) show evidence of change in sensitivity in the late 20th century, Can. J. For. Res., 38, 744, 10.1139/X07-189 Lloyd, 2007, Responses of the circumpolar boreal forest to 20th century climate variability, Environ. Res. Lett., 2, 10.1088/1748-9326/2/4/045013 Martìn-Benito, 2010, Black pine (Pinus nigra Arn.) growth divergence along a latitudinal gradient in Western Mediterranean mountains, Ann. For. Sci., 67, 401, 10.1051/forest/2009121 Melvin, 2008, A “signal-free” approach to dendroclimatic standardisation, Dendrochronologia, 26, 71, 10.1016/j.dendro.2007.12.001 Minder, 2010, Surface temperature lapse rates over complex terrain: lessons from the Cascade Mountains, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D14122, 10.1029/2009JD013493 Mitchell, 2005, An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids, Int. J. Climatol., 25, 693, 10.1002/joc.1181 Nicolussi, 1995, Increase in tree-ring width in subalpine Pinus cembra from the central Alps that may be CO2-related, Trees, 9, 181, 10.1007/BF00195270 Nock, 2011, Long-term increases in intrinsic water-use efficiency do not lead to increased stem growth in a tropical monsoon forest in Thailand, Glob. Change Biol., 17, 1049, 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02222.x Paulsen, 2000, Tree growth near treeline: abrupt or gradual reduction with altitude?, Arct. Antarct. Alp. Res., 32, 14, 10.2307/1552405 Peñulus, 2011, Increased water-use efficiency during the 20th century did not translate into enhanced tree growth, Global Ecol. Biogeogr., 20, 597, 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00608.x Pepper, 1999, 224 Peterson, 1995, Growth trends of whitebark pine and lodgepole pine in a subalpine Sierra Nevada forest, California, U.S.A, Arct. Alp. Res., 22, 233, 10.2307/1551586 Rossi, 2006, Assessment of cambial activity and xylogenesis by microsampling tree species: an example at the alpine timberline, IAWA J., 27, 383, 10.1163/22941932-90000161 Rossi, 2008, Critical temperatures for xylogenesis in conifers of cold climates, Global Ecol. Biogeogr., 17, 696, 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2008.00417.x Rubino, 2013, A revised 1000 year atmospheric δ13C–CO2 record from Law Dome and South Pole, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118 Seidel, 2003, Comparison of lower-troposphere temperature climatologies and trends at low and high elevation radiosonde sites, Clim. Change, 59, 53, 10.1023/A:1024459610680 Silva, 2010, Recent widespread growth decline despite increasing atmospheric CO2, PLoS ONE, 5, 10.1371/journal.pone.0011543 Silva, 2013, Explaining global increases in water uses efficiency: why have we overestimated responses to rising atmospheric CO2 in natural forest ecosystems?, PLOSone, 10.1371/journal.pone.0053089 Strömgren, 2002, Effects of nutrition and soil warming on stemwood production in a boreal Norway spruce stand, Glob. Change Biol., 8, 1195, 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2002.00546.x Thompson, 2003, Tropical glacier and ice core evidence of climate change on annual to millennial time scales, Clim. Change, 59, 137, 10.1023/A:1024472313775 Timbal, 2012, The relationship between the decline of southeastern Australian rainfall and the strengthening of the subtropical ridge, Int. J. Climatol., 33, 1021, 10.1002/joc.3492 Tolwinski-Ward, 2011, An efficient forward model of the climate controls on interannual variation in tree-ring growth, Clim. Dyn., 36, 2419, 10.1007/s00382-010-0945-5 Vaganov, 1999, Influence of snowfall and melt timing on tree growth in subarctic Eurasia, Nature, 400, 149, 10.1038/22087 Vaganov, 2011, How well understood are the processes that create dendroclimatic records? A mechanistic model of the climatic control on conifer tree-ring growth dynamics. Ch. 3, vol. 11 Van Deusen, 1990, Evaluating time-dependent tree ring and climate relationships, J. Environ. Qual., 19, 481, 10.2134/jeq1990.00472425001900030021x Villalba, 1997, Recent trends in tree-ring records from high elevation sites in the Andes of northern Patagonia, Clim. Change, 36, 425, 10.1023/A:1005366317996 Visser, 1988, Kalman filter analysis in dendroclimatology, Biometrics, 44, 929, 10.2307/2531724 Weijers, 2012, No divergence in Cassiope tetragona: persistence of growth response along a latitudinal gradient and under multi-year experimental warming, Ann. Bot., 110, 653, 10.1093/aob/mcs123 Wilmking, 2005, Increased temperature sensitivity and divergent growth trends in circumpolar boreal forests, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, 10.1029/2005GL023331 Wilson, 2002, Tree-ring reconstruction of maximum and minimum temperatures and the diurnal temperature range in British Columbia, Canada, Dendrochronologia, 20, 1, 10.1078/1125-7865-00023 Wilson, 2003, Dendroclimatic reconstruction of maximum temperatures from upper treeline sites in interior British Columbia, Canada, Holocene, 13, 851, 10.1191/0959683603hl663rp Wilson, 2007, A matter of divergence: tracking recent warming at hemispheric scale using tree ring data, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D17103, 10.1029/2006JD008318 Wilson, 2010, Reconstructing ENSO: the influence of methods, proxy data, climate forcing and teleconnections, J. Quat. Sci., 25, 62, 10.1002/jqs.1297 Young, 2012, Central England temperature since AD1850: the potential of stable carbon isotopes in British oak trees to reconstruct past summer temperatures, J. Quat. Sci., 27, 606, 10.1002/jqs.2554 Zhang, 2010, Divergence growth responses and increasing temperature limitation of Qinghai spruce along an elevation gradient at the northeast Tibet Plateau, For. Ecol. Manag., 260, 1076, 10.1016/j.foreco.2010.06.034 Zhang, 2009, Changing relationships between tree growth and climate in Northwest China, Plant Ecol., 201, 39, 10.1007/s11258-008-9478-y