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Thiệt hại khí hậu đối với sản xuất hay tăng trưởng: Tác động nào đến chi phí xã hội của carbon?
Tóm tắt
Các bài báo gần đây đã điều tra với các mô hình đánh giá tích hợp khả năng thiệt hại khí hậu ảnh hưởng đến tăng trưởng năng suất (TFP) thay vì sản xuất. Tại đây, chúng tôi so sánh tác động của những biểu diễn thiệt hại thay thế này đến chi phí xã hội của carbon (SCC). Chúng tôi đặt câu hỏi liệu thiệt hại đối với tăng trưởng TFP có dẫn đến SCC cao hơn so với thiệt hại đối với sản xuất, trong điều kiện tất cả các yếu tố khác không thay đổi. Để thực hiện một so sánh có kiểm soát, chúng tôi giới thiệu một biện pháp thiệt hại tổng hợp, hay độ mạnh thiệt hại, dựa trên các biến đổi phúc lợi. Bằng cách sử dụng một mô hình khí hậu-kinh tế đơn giản, chúng tôi so sánh ba cấu trúc thiệt hại: thiệt hại bậc hai đối với sản xuất, thiệt hại tuyến tính đối với tăng trưởng và thiệt hại bậc hai đối với tăng trưởng. Chúng tôi cho thấy rằng khi độ mạnh thiệt hại là như nhau, thứ bậc SCC giữa một mô hình với thiệt hại đối với sản xuất và một mô hình với thiệt hại đối với tăng trưởng TFP không phải là rõ ràng. Nó phụ thuộc vào các tham số phúc lợi như tỷ lệ chiết khấu tiện ích hoặc độ co giãn của tiện ích xã hội cận biên từ tiêu dùng.
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#thiệt hại khí hậu #tăng trưởng năng suất #chi phí xã hội của carbon #mô hình đánh giá tích hợp #phúc lợiTài liệu tham khảo
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