Childhood predictors of lung function trajectories and future COPD risk: a prospective cohort study from the first to the sixth decade of life

Lancet Respiratory Medicine,The - Tập 6 - Trang 535-544 - 2018
Dinh S Bui1,2, Caroline J Lodge1, John A Burgess1, Adrian J Lowe1, Jennifer Perret1,3, Minh Q Bui1, Gayan Bowatte1,4, Lyle Gurrin1, David P Johns5, Bruce R Thompson6, Garun S Hamilton7,8, Peter A Frith9, Alan L James10, Paul S Thomas11, Deborah Jarvis12,13, Cecilie Svanes14,15, Melissa Russell1, Stephen C Morrison16,17, Iain Feather18, Katrina J Allen19
1Allergy and Lung Health Unit, School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
2Department of Toxicology, Hanoi University of Pharmacy, Hanoi, Vietnam
3Institute for Breathing & Sleep, Heidelberg, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
4National Institute of Fundamental Studies, Kandy, Sri Lanka
5Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia
6Allergy, Immunology & Respiratory Medicine, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
7Monash Lung and Sleep, Monash Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
8Department of Medicine, School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
9Department of Respiratory Medicine, School of Medicine, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, Australia
10Department of Pulmonary Physiology and Sleep Medicine, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Nedlands, WA, Australia
11Prince of Wales' Hospital Clinical School and School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
12Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
13UK Respiratory Epidemiology and Public Health Group, National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
14Centre for international Health, Department of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
15Department of Occupational Medicine, Haukeland University Hospital, Bergen, Norway
16Department of Thoracic Medicine, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
17Discipline of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
18Department of Respiratory Medicine, Gold Coast Hospital, Gold Coast, QLD, Australia
19Murdoch Childrens Research Institute, Royal Children's Hospital and University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia

Tài liệu tham khảo

Agusti, 2017, Lung function in early adulthood and health in later life: a transgenerational cohort analysis, Lancet Respir Med, 5, 935, 10.1016/S2213-2600(17)30434-4 Vasquez, 2017, Low lung function in young adult life is associated with early mortality, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 195, 1399, 10.1164/rccm.201608-1561LE Fletcher, 1977, The natural history of chronic airflow obstruction, BMJ, 1, 1645, 10.1136/bmj.1.6077.1645 Postma, 2015, Risk factors and early origins of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, Lancet, 385, 899, 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60446-3 2008 Berry, 2016, A distinct low lung function trajectory from childhood to the fourth decade of life, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 194, 607, 10.1164/rccm.201604-0753OC McGeachie, 2016, Patterns of growth and decline in lung function in persistent childhood asthma, N Engl J Med, 374, 1842, 10.1056/NEJMoa1513737 Lange, 2015, Lung-function trajectories leading to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, N Engl J Med, 373, 111, 10.1056/NEJMoa1411532 Matheson, 2017, Cohort profile: the Tasmanian Longitudinal Health Study (TAHS), Int J Epidemiol, 46, 407 Miller, 2005, Standardisation of spirometry, Eur Respir J, 26, 319, 10.1183/09031936.05.00034805 Quanjer, 2012, Multi-ethnic reference values for spirometry for the 3–95-yr age range: the global lung function 2012 equations, Eur Respir J, 40, 1324, 10.1183/09031936.00080312 Hall, 2012, The Global Lung Initiative 2012 reference values reflect contemporary Australasian spirometry, Respirology, 17, 1150, 10.1111/j.1440-1843.2012.02232.x Nagin, 1999, Analyzing developmental trajectories: a semiparametric, group-based approach, Psychol Methods, 4, 139, 10.1037/1082-989X.4.2.139 Heather, 2009, Latent class growth modelling: a tutorial, Tutor Quant Methods Psychol, 5, 11, 10.20982/tqmp.05.1.p011 Jones, 2013, A note on a Stata plugin for estimating group-based trajectory models, Sociol Methods Res, 42, 608, 10.1177/0049124113503141 Williamson, 2014, Introduction to causal diagrams for confounder selection, Respirology, 19, 303, 10.1111/resp.12238 Firth, 1993, Bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates, Biometrika, 80, 27, 10.1093/biomet/80.1.27 Rockhill, 1998, Use and misuse of population attributable fractions, Am J Public Health, 88, 15, 10.2105/AJPH.88.1.15 Nagin, 2010, Group-based trajectory modeling in clinical research, Annu Rev Clin Psychol, 6, 109, 10.1146/annurev.clinpsy.121208.131413 Belgrave, 2018, Lung function trajectories from pre-school age to adulthood and their associations with early life factors: a retrospective analysis of three population-based birth cohort studies, Lancet Respir Med, 10.1016/S2213-2600(18)30099-7 Stocks, 2013, Early lung development: lifelong effect on respiratory health and disease, Lancet Respir Med, 1, 728, 10.1016/S2213-2600(13)70118-8 Martinez, 2016, Early-life origins of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, N Engl J Med, 375, 871, 10.1056/NEJMra1603287 James, 2005, Decline in lung function in the Busselton Health Study: the effects of asthma and cigarette smoking, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 171, 109, 10.1164/rccm.200402-230OC Lodge, 2014, Childhood wheeze phenotypes show less than expected growth in FEV1 across adolescence, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 189, 1351, 10.1164/rccm.201308-1487OC Hallberg, 2015, Asthma phenotypes and lung function up to 16 years of age-the BAMSE cohort, Allergy, 70, 667, 10.1111/all.12598 Chan, 2015, Pneumonia in childhood and impaired lung function in adults: a longitudinal study, Pediatrics, 135, 607, 10.1542/peds.2014-3060 Johnston, 1998, Effect of pneumonia and whooping cough in childhood on adult lung function, N Engl J Med, 338, 581, 10.1056/NEJM199802263380904 Wang, 1994, A longitudinal study of the effects of parental smoking on pulmonary function in children 6–18 years, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 149, 1420, 10.1164/ajrccm.149.6.8004293 Turner, 2014, A longitudinal study of lung function from 1 month to 18 years of age, Thorax, 69, 1015, 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2013-204931 Edwards, 2003, Wheezy bronchitis in childhood: a distinct clinical entity with lifelong significance?, Chest, 124, 18, 10.1378/chest.124.1.18 Svanes, 2010, Early life origins of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, Thorax, 65, 14, 10.1136/thx.2008.112136 Dratva, 2016, Early life origins of lung ageing: early life exposures and lung function decline in adulthood in two European cohorts aged 28–73 years, PLoS One, 11, e0145127, 10.1371/journal.pone.0145127 Guerra, 2013, Combined effects of parental and active smoking on early lung function deficits: a prospective study from birth to age 26 years, Thorax, 68, 1021, 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2013-203538 Upton, 2004, Maternal and personal cigarette smoking synergize to increase airflow limitation in adults, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 169, 479, 10.1164/rccm.200211-1357OC Allinson, 2017, Combined impact of smoking and early life exposures on adult lung function trajectories, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 196, 1021, 10.1164/rccm.201703-0506OC Lodrup Carlsen, 2014, Lung function trajectories from birth through puberty reflect asthma phenotypes with allergic comorbidity, J Allergy Clin Immunol, 134, 917, 10.1016/j.jaci.2014.05.020 Kotecha, 2010, Spirometric lung function in school-age children: effect of intrauterine growth retardation and catch-up growth, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 181, 969, 10.1164/rccm.200906-0897OC