Thay đổi quan điểm về khí hậu biến đổi: ảnh hưởng của thảm họa tự nhiên đối với nhận thức của công chúng về biến đổi khí hậu

Climatic Change - Tập 168 - Trang 1-26 - 2021
Matthew R. Sloggy1, Jordan F. Suter2, Mani Rouhi Rad3, Dale T. Manning2, Chris Goemans2
1USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Service, Riverside, USA
2Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, USA
3Department of Agricultural Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, USA

Tóm tắt

Tần suất và cường độ của các thảm họa tự nhiên như bão, cháy rừng và lũ lụt được dự đoán sẽ thay đổi khi nồng độ khí nhà kính tăng lên. Những thảm họa này có thể đại diện cho các nguồn thông tin cho cá nhân khi họ cập nhật niềm tin liên quan đến biến đổi khí hậu. Sử dụng một tập dữ liệu bao gồm niềm tin về khí hậu của các đáp viên, chúng tôi khảo sát tác động của các thảm họa tự nhiên đến niềm tin về biến đổi khí hậu và phát hiện rằng bão có tác động đáng kể đến khả năng mà các đáp viên khảo sát từ một hạt nhất định tin rằng biến đổi khí hậu đang diễn ra và rằng nó do con người gây ra. Chúng tôi nhận thấy rằng trải nghiệm trong quá khứ với một số loại thảm họa tự nhiên (ví dụ như bão) ảnh hưởng đến niềm tin rằng biến đổi khí hậu đang diễn ra và liệu nó có phải do con người gây ra hay không. Nghiên cứu này đóng góp cho tài liệu đánh giá thái độ về biến đổi khí hậu bằng cách sử dụng thông tin phân tán theo không gian về niềm tin khí hậu và sự tiếp xúc với một số thảm họa tự nhiên theo thời gian. Việc xác định niềm tin và thái độ đối với biến đổi khí hậu cũng như các chính sách liên quan là rất quan trọng vì những niềm tin này là yếu tố quyết định đối với sự thích ứng của cá nhân và sự ủng hộ đối với các chính sách giảm lượng khí thải carbon.

Từ khóa

#biến đổi khí hậu #thảm họa tự nhiên #niềm tin xã hội #chính sách môi trường #carbon emissions

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