Caribou, water, and ice – fine-scale movements of a migratory arctic ungulate in the context of climate change
Tóm tắt
Từ khóa
Tài liệu tham khảo
IPCC. Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press; 2013. url: http://www.climatechange2013.org/ . Accessed 2 Nov 2015.
Parmesan C, Yohe G. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature. 2003;421(6918):37–42. doi: 10.1038/Nature01286 .
Chen I-C, Hill JK, Ohlemüller R, Roy DB, Thomas CD. Rapid range shifts of species associated with high levels of climate warming. Science. 2011;333(6045):1024–6. doi: 10.1126/science.1206432 .
Walther GR, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A, Parmesan C, Beebee TJC, et al. Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature. 2002;416(6879):389–95. doi: 10.1038/416389a .
Parmesan C. Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annu Rev Ecol Evol S. 2006;37:637–69. doi: 10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110100 .
Sutherland WJ. From individual behaviour to population ecology. Oxford: Oxford University Press; 1996.
Stien A, Loe LE, Mysterud A, Severinsen T, Kohler J, Langvatn R. Icing events trigger range displacement in a high-arctic ungulate. Ecology. 2010;91(3):915–20. doi: 10.1890/09-0056.1 .
Candolin U, Wong BBM. Behavioural responses to a changing world: mechanisms and consequences. Oxford: Oxford University Press; 2012.
Harmon JP, Barton BT. On their best behavior: how animal behavior can help determine the combined effects of species interactions and climate change. Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2013;1297(1):139–47. doi: 10.1111/nyas.12192 .
Fleishman E, Blockstein DE, Hall JA, Mascia MB, Rudd MA, Scott JM, et al. Top 40 priorities for science to inform US conservation and management policy. Bioscience. 2011;61(4):290–300. doi: 10.1525/bio.2011.61.4.9 .
Callaghan TV, Bergholm F, Christensen TR, Jonasson C, Kokfelt U, Johansson M. A new climate era in the sub-Arctic: Accelerating climate changes and multiple impacts. Geophys Res Lett. 2010;37, L14705. doi: 10.1029/2009gl042064 .
Serreze MC, Barry RG. Processes and impacts of Arctic amplification: A research synthesis. Glob Planet Change. 2011;77(1–2):85–96. doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.03.004 .
Vinnikov KY, Robock A, Stouffer RJ, Walsh JE, Parkinson CL, Cavalieri DJ, et al. Global warming and Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent. Science. 1999;286(5446):1934–7. doi: 10.1126/science.286.5446.1934 .
Stroeve JC, Serreze MC, Holland MM, Kay JE, Malanik J, Barrett AP. The Arctic’s rapidly shrinking sea ice cover: a research synthesis. Clim Change. 2012;110(3–4):1005–27. doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0101-1 .
Rode KD, Robbins CT, Nelson L, Amstrup SC. Can polar bears use terrestrial foods to offset lost ice-based hunting opportunities? Front Ecol Environ. 2015;13(3):138–45. doi: 10.1890/140202 .
Taylor RL, Udevitz MS. Demography of the Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens): 1974–2006. Mar Mamm Sci. 2015;31(1):231–54. doi: 10.1111/mms.12156 .
Øigård TA, Haug T, Nilssen KT. Current status of hooded seals in the Greenland Sea. Victims of climate change and predation? Biol Conserv. 2014;172:29–36. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2014.02.007 .
Magnuson JJ, Robertson DM, Benson BJ, Wynne RH, Livingstone DM, Arai T, et al. Historical trends in lake and river ice cover in the Northern Hemisphere. Science. 2000;289(5485):1743–6. doi: 10.1126/science.289.5485.1743 .
Brown L, Duguay C. The fate of lake ice in the North American Arctic. Cryosphere. 2011;5(4):869–92. doi: 10.5194/tc-5-869-2011 .
Banfield A. The role of ice in the distribution of mammals. J Mammal. 1954;35(1):104–7. doi: 10.2307/1376080 .
Miller FL, Gunn A. Observations of barren-ground caribou travelling on thin ice during autumn migration. Arctic. 1986;39(1):85–8. doi: 10.14430/arctic2052 .
Seidler RG, Long RA, Berger J, Bergen S, Beckmann JP. Identifying impediments to long-distance mammal migrations. Conserv Biol. 2015;29(1):99–109. doi: 10.1111/cobi.12376 .
Post E, Forchhammer MC. Climate change reduces reproductive success of an Arctic herbivore through trophic mismatch. Philos T R Soc B. 2008;363(1501):2369–75. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2007.2207 .
Festa-Bianchet M, Ray JC, Boutin S, Côté SD, Gunn A. Conservation of caribou (Rangifer tarandus) in Canada: an uncertain future. Can J Zool. 2011;89(5):419–34. doi: 10.1139/Z11-025 .
Hummel M, Ray JC. Caribou and the North: a shared future. Toronto: Dundun Press Ltd.; 2008.
Berger J. The last mile: How to sustain long-distance migration in mammals. Conserv Biol. 2004;18(2):320–31. doi: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2004.00548.x .
Downing J, Prairie Y, Cole J, Duarte C, Tranvik L, Striegl R, et al. The global abundance and size distribution of lakes, ponds, and impoundments. Limnol Oceanogr. 2006;51(5):2388–97. doi: 10.4319/lo.2006.51.5.2388 .
Miller FL. Inter-island water crossings by Peary caribou, south-central Queen-Elizabeth Islands. Arctic. 1995;48(1):8–12. doi: 10.14430/arctic1219 .
Fish FE. Influence of hydrodynamic-design and propulsive mode on mammalian swimming energetics. Aust J Zool. 1993;42(1):79–101. doi: 10.1071/ZO9940079 .
Mysterud A, Ostbye E. Cover as a habitat element for temperate ungulates: effects on habitat selection and demography. Wildl Soc Bull. 1999;27(2):385–94.
Lone K, Loe LE, Meisingset EL, Stamnes I, Mysterud A. An adaptive behavioural response to hunting: surviving male red deer shift habitat at the onset of the hunting season. Anim Behav. 2015;102:127–38. doi: 10.1016/j.anbehav.2015.01.012 .
Poole KG, Gunn A, Patterson BR, Dumond M. Sea ice and migration of the Dolphin and Union caribou herd in the Canadian Arctic - an uncertain future. Arctic. 2010;63(4):414–28. doi: 10.14430/arctic3331 .
Bergerud AT. Food habits of Newfoundland caribou. J Wildl Manage. 1972;36(3):913–23. doi: 10.2307/3799448 .
Sharma S, Couturier S, Côté SD. Impacts of climate change on the seasonal distribution of migratory caribou. Glob Change Biol. 2009;15(10):2549–62. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01945.x .
Le Corre M, Dussault C, Côté SD. Detecting changes in the annual movements of terrestrial migratory species: using the first-passage time to document the spring migration of caribou. Mov Ecol. 2014;2(1):1–11. doi: 10.1186/s40462-014-0019-0 .
National Snow & Ice Data Center. MODIS / Terra Snow Cover 8-Day L3 Global 500 m Grid v. 5. http://nsidc.org/ . Accessed 2 Nov 2015.
R Core Team. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing. Vienna. url: https://www.r-project.org/ . Accessed 2 Nov 2015.
Sawyer H, Kauffman MJ. Stopover ecology of a migratory ungulate. J Anim Ecol. 2011;80(5):1078–87. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2656.2011.01845.x .
Calenge C. The package “adehabitat” for the R software: A tool for the analysis of space and habitat use by animals. Ecol Model. 2006;197(3–4):516–9. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.03.017 .
Kuznetsova A, Brockhoff PB, Christensen RHB. lmerTest: Tests for random and fixed effects for linear mixed effect models (lmer objects of lme4 package). R package version 2.0-11. 2014. url: CRAN.R-project.org/package=lmerTest . Accessed 2 Nov 2015.
Prichard AK, Yokel DA, Rea CL, Person BT, Parrett LS. The effect of frequency of telemetry locations on movement-rate calculations in Arctic caribou. Wildl Soc Bull. 2014;38(1):78–88. doi: 10.1002/wsb.357 .
Beyer HL. Geospatial Modelling Environment v. 0.7.3.0. 2012. url: http://www.spatialecology.com/gme/ . Accessed 2 Nov 2015.
Nellemann C, Vistnes I, Jordhøy P, Strand O. Winter distribution of wild reindeer in relation to power lines, roads and resorts. Biol Conserv. 2001;101(3):351–60. doi: 10.1016/S0006-3207(01)00082-9 .
Polfus JL, Hebblewhite M, Heinemeyer K. Identifying indirect habitat loss and avoidance of human infrastructure by northern mountain woodland caribou. Biol Conserv. 2011;144(11):2637–46. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2011.07.023 .
Therneau T. A package for survival analysis in S. R package version 2.37-7. 2014. url: CRAN.R-project.org/package=survival . Accessed 2 Nov 2015.
Fortin D, Beyer HL, Boyce MS, Smith DW, Duchesne T, Mao JS. Wolves influence elk movements: Behavior shapes a trophic cascade in Yellowstone National Park. Ecology. 2005;86(5):1320–30. doi: 10.1890/04-0953 .
Arthur SM, Manly BFJ, McDonald LL, Garner GW. Assessing habitat selection when availability changes. Ecology. 1996;77(1):215–27. doi: 10.2307/2265671 .
Leblond M, Dussault C, Ouellet J-P. What drives fine-scale movements of large herbivores? A case study using moose. Ecography. 2010;33(6):1102–12. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2009.06104.x .
Burnham KP, Anderson DR. Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. 2nd ed. New York: Springer; 2002.
Dibike Y, Prowse T, Bonsal B, Rham L, Saloranta T. Simulation of North American lake‐ice cover characteristics under contemporary and future climate conditions. Int J Climatol. 2012;32(5):695–709. doi: 10.1002/joc.2300 .
Shuter B, Minns C, Fung S. Empirical models for forecasting changes in the phenology of ice cover for Canadian lakes. Can J Fish Aquat Sci. 2013;70(7):982–91. doi: 10.1139/cjfas-2012-0437 .
Brammer JR, Samson J, Humphries MM. Declining availability of outdoor skating in Canada. Nat Clim Change. 2015;5(1):2–4. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2465 .
Karl TR, Arguez A, Huang B, Lawrimore JH, McMahon JR, Menne MJ, et al. Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus. Science. 2015;348(6242):1469–72. doi: 10.1126/science.aaa5632 .
Menzel A, Fabian P. Growing season extended in Europe. Nature. 1999;397(6721):659. doi: 10.1038/17709 .
Parmesan C. Influences of species, latitudes and methodologies on estimates of phenological response to global warming. Glob Change Biol. 2007;13(9):1860–72. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01404.x .
Latifovic R, Pouliot D. Analysis of climate change impacts on lake ice phenology in Canada using the historical satellite data record. Remote Sens Environ. 2007;106(4):492–507. doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2006.09.015 .
Miller FL, Barry SJ, Calvert WA. Sea-ice crossings by caribou in the south-central Canadian Arctic Archipelago and their ecological importance Rangifer. Spec Issue. 2005;16:77–88. doi: 10.7557/2.25.4.1773 .
Joly K. Sea ice crossing by migrating caribou, Rangifer tarandus, in Northwestern Alaska. Can Field-Nat. 2012;126(3):217–20.
Williams TM. Locomotion in the North American mink, a semi-aquatic mammal. I. Swimming energetics and body drag. J Exp Biol. 1983;103(1):155–68.
Di Prampero P. The energy cost of human locomotion on land and in water. Int J Sports Med. 1986;7(2):55–72. doi: 10.1055/s-2008-1025736 .
Robinson A, Crick HQ, Learmonth JA, Maclean IM, Thomas CD, Bairlein F, et al. Travelling through a warming world: climate change and migratory species. Endanger Species Res. 2009;7:87–99. doi: 10.3354/esr00095 .