Booms and Slumps in A Game of Sequential Investment with the Changing Fundamentals

The Japanese Economic Review - Tập 55 - Trang 311-320 - 2004
Daisuke Oyama1
1University of Tokyo and University of Vienna, Japan

Tóm tắt

Many less developed countries have experienced prolonged periods of expansions and reversals in foreign investment inflows. This paper presents a simple game-theoretic model that can explain hysteretic patterns of serial correlation in investment behavior. We develop a sequential move game of coordinated investment played by short-run players under the changing economic environment and demonstrate that in a unique equilibrium of the game, the economy fluctuates over multiple static equilibria, generating hysteresis.

Tài liệu tham khảo

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