Arctic RCM simulations of temperature and precipitation derived indices relevant to future frozen ground conditions
Tài liệu tham khảo
Anisimov, 2006, Permafrost and changing climate: the Russian perspective, Ambio, 35, 169, 10.1579/0044-7447(2006)35[169:PACCTR]2.0.CO;2
Brown, 1998
Burn, 2006, Comment on ‘A projection of severe near-surface permafrost degradation during the 21st century’ by David M. Lawrence and Andrew G. Slater, Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L21503, 10.1029/2006GL027077
Christensen, 2000, High-resolution regional climate model validation and permafrost simulation for the East European Russian Arctic, Journal of Geophysical Research, 105, 29647, 10.1029/2000JD900379
Christensen, 2001, High resolution physiographic data set for HIRHAM4: An application to a 50 km horizontal resolution domain covering Europe
Frauenfeld, 2007, Northern hemisphere freezing/thawing index variations over the twentieth century, International Journal of Climatology, 27, 47, 10.1002/joc.1372
Froese, 2008, Ancient permafrost and a future, warmer Arctic, Science, 321, 1648, 10.1126/science.1157525
Hinzman, 2005, Evidence and implications of recent climate change in northern Alaska and other Arctic regions, Climatic Change, 72, 251, 10.1007/s10584-005-5352-2
IPCC, 2007, Climate change 2007: the physical scientific basis
Kharin, 2005, Estimating extremes in transient climate change simulations, Journal of Climate, 18, 1156, 10.1175/JCLI3320.1
Lawrence, 2005, A projection of severe near-surface permafrost degradation during the 21st century, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L24401, 10.1029/2005GL025080
Lawrence, 2008, Accelerated Arctic land warming and permafrost degradation during rapid sea ice loss, Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L11506, 10.1029/2008GL033985
Marchenko, 2008, Numerical modeling of spatial permafrost dynamics in Alaska, Vol. 2, 1125
Marsland, 2003, The Max-Planck-Institute global ocean/sea ice model with orthogonal curvilinear coordinates, Ocean Modelling, 5, 91, 10.1016/S1463-5003(02)00015-X
Matthes, 2010, Variability of extreme temperature in the Arctic-Observation and RCM, The Open Atmospheric Science Journal, 4, 126, 10.2174/1874282301004010126
Muller, 2006, ENSO impact on midlatitude circulation patterns in future climate change projections, Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L05711, 10.1029/2005GL025032
Osterkamp, 2005, The recent warming of permafrost in Alaska, Global and Planetary Change, 49, 187, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2005.09.001
Rinke, 2008, Simulated circum-Arctic climate changes by the end of the 21st century, Global and Planetary Change, 62, 173, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.01.004
Rinke, 2008, Importance of a soil organic layer for Arctic climate: a sensitivity study with an Arctic RCM, Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L13709, 10.1029/2008GL034052
Rinke, 2010, Regional characteristics of Arctic temperature variability: comparison of regional climate simulations with observations, Climate Research, 41, 177, 10.3354/cr00854
Riseborough, 2008, Recent Advances in Permafrost Modelling, Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, 19, 137, 10.1002/ppp.615
Roeckner, 1996, The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM4: Model description and simulation of present-day climate
Roeckner, 2003, The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5
Romanovsky, 1987, 23, 183
Romanovsky, 1997, Thawing of the active layer on the coastal plain of the Alaskan Arctic, Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, 8, 1, 10.1002/(SICI)1099-1530(199701)8:1<1::AID-PPP243>3.0.CO;2-U
Romanovsky, 2000, Effects of unfrozen water on heat and mass transport processes in the active layer and permafrost, Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, 11, 219, 10.1002/1099-1530(200007/09)11:3<219::AID-PPP352>3.0.CO;2-7
Romanovsky, 2007, Past and recent changes in permafrost and air temperatures in Eastern Siberia, Global and Planetary Change, 56, 399, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.07.022
Romanovsky, 2007, Frozen ground, 181
Rowell, 2005, A scenario of European climate change for the late 21st century: seasonal means and interannual variability, Climate Dynamics, 25, 837, 10.1007/s00382-005-0068-6
Saha, 2006, The influence of a complex land surface scheme on Arctic climate simulations, Journal of Geophysical Research, 111, D22104, 10.1029/2006JD007188
Sazonova, 2004, Permafrost dynamics in the 20th and 21st centuries along the East Siberian transect, Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, D01108, 10.1029/2003JD003680
Seneviratne, 2006, Land-atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe, Nature, 443, 205, 10.1038/nature05095
Serreze, 2000, Observational evidence of recent change in the northern high-latitude environment, Climatic Change, 46, 159, 10.1023/A:1005504031923
Stendel, 2002, Impact of global warming on permafrost conditions in a coupled GCM, Geophysical Research Letters, 29, 10.1029/2001GL014345
Stendel, 2007, Using dynamical downscaling to close the gap between global change scenarios and local permafrost dynamics, Global and Planetary Change, 56, 203, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.07.014
Sushama, 2007, An RCM projection of soil thermal and moisture regimes for North American permafrost zones, Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L20711, 10.1029/2007GL031385
Yamaguchi, 2005, The changes in permafrost induced by greenhouse warming: a numerical study applying multiple-layer ground model, Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 83, 799, 10.2151/jmsj.83.799
Zhang, 2001, An amplified signal of climatic change in soil temperatures during the last century at Irkutsk, Russia, Climatic Change, 49, 41, 10.1023/A:1010790203146
Zhang, 2005
Zhang, 2008, Transient projections of permafrost distribution in Canada during the 21st century under scenarios of climate change, Global and Planetary Change, 60, 443, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.05.003