Application of multi-method-multi-model inference to radiation related solid cancer excess risks models for astronaut risk assessment

Shavers, 2023, Space agency-specific standards for crew dose and risk assessment of ionizing radiation exposures for the International Space Station, Zmedphys Cucinotta, 2013 Vaeth, 1990, Calculating excess lifetime risk in relative risk models, Environ Health Prospect, 87, 83, 10.1289/ehp.908783 Ulanowski, 2019, On prognostic estimates of radiation risk in medicine and radiation protection, Radiat Environ Biophys, 58, 305, 10.1007/s00411-019-00794-1 Ulanowski, 2020, Lifetime radiation risk of stochastic effects—prospective evaluation for space flight or medicine, Ann ICRP, 49, 200, 10.1177/0146645320956517 Walsh, 2021, A bespoke health risk assessment methodology for the radiation protection of astronauts, Radiat Environ Biophys, 60, 213, 10.1007/s00411-021-00910-0 Hafner, 2021, Cancer incidence risks above and below 1 Gy for radiation protection in space, Life Sci Space Res, 28, 41, 10.1016/j.lssr.2020.09.001 Stabilini, 2023, Comparison and multi-model inference of excess risks models for radiation-related solid cancer, Radiat Environ Biophys, 62, 17, 10.1007/s00411-022-01013-0 Grant, 2017, Solid cancer incidence among the Life Span Study of atomic bomb survivors: 1958–2009, Radiat Res, 187, 513, 10.1667/RR14492.1 Cordova, 2019, Assessing the relative biological effectiveness of neutrons across organs of varying depth among the atomic bomb survivors, Radiat Res, 192, 380, 10.1667/RR15391.1 Hafner, 2022, Assessing the impact of different neutron RBEs on the all solid cancer radiation risks obtained from the Japanese A-bomb survivors data, Int J Radiat Biol, 15 ICRP, 2013, Assessment of radiation exposure of astronauts in space. ICRP Publication 123, Ann ICRP, 42 Walsh, 2023, European astronaut radiation related cancer risk assessment using dosimetric calculations of organ dose equivalents, Zmedphys ICRP Recommendations of the International Commission on Radiological Protection, 2007, ICRP publication 103, Ann ICRP, 37, 1 NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration), 2005 Cucinotta, 2007 BEIR VII Phase 2, 2006 Preston, 2007, Solid cancer incidence in atomic bomb survivors: 1958–1998, Radiat Res, 168, 1, 10.1667/RR0763.1 Leuraud, 2021, Risk of cancer associated with low-dose radiation exposure: comparison of results between the INWORKS nuclear workers study and the A-bomb survivors study, Radiat Environ Biophys, 60, 23, 10.1007/s00411-020-00890-7 UNSCEAR. Effects of Ionizing Radiation: United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation: UNSCEAR 2006 Report. 2006. Zhang, 2020, Sensitivity analysis of parameters and methodological choices used in calculation of radiation detriment for solid cancer, Int J Radiat Biol, 96, 596, 10.1080/09553002.2020.1708499 Kass, 1995, Bayes factors, J Am Stat Assn, 90, 795 Kashyap, 1980, Inconsistency of the AIC rule for estimating the order of autoregressive models, IEEE Trans Autom Control, 25, 996, 10.1109/TAC.1980.1102471 Claeskens, 2008 Walsh, 2007, A short review of model selection techniques for radiation epidemiology, Radiat Environ Biophys, 46, 205, 10.1007/s00411-007-0109-0 Burnham, 2002 National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, 2021