Application of Bayesian structural equation modeling for examining phytoplankton dynamics in the Neuse River Estuary (North Carolina, USA)

American Rivers Foundation, 1997 Arhonditsis, 2003, Analysis of phytoplankton community structure using similarity indices: a new methodology for discriminating among eutrophication levels in coastal marine ecosystems, Environmental Management, 31, 619, 10.1007/s00267-002-2903-4 Arhonditsis, 2005, Eutrophication model for Lake Washington (USA): part II – model calibration and system dynamics analysis, Ecological Modelling, 187, 179, 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.01.039 Arhonditsis, 2006, Exploring ecological patterns with structural equation modeling and Bayesian analysis, Ecological Modelling, 192, 385, 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.07.028 Bollen, 1989 Borsuk, 2001, Modelling oxygen dynamics in an intermittently stratified estuary: estimation of process rates using field data, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 52, 33, 10.1006/ecss.2000.0726 Borsuk, 2004, Confounding effect of flow on estuarine response to nitrogen loading, Journal of Environmental Engineering, ASCE, 130, 605, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9372(2004)130:6(605) Brett, 2000, Empirical analysis of mineral P limitation's impact on algal food quality for freshwater zooplankton, Limnology and Oceanography, 47, 1564, 10.4319/lo.2000.45.7.1564 Buzzelli, 2002, Estimating the spatial extent of bottom water hypoxia and benthic fishery habitat degradation in the Neuse River Estuary, NC, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 230, 103, 10.3354/meps230103 Christian, 1991, Multiyear distribution patterns of nutrients within the Neuse River estuary, North-Carolina, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 71, 259, 10.3354/meps071259 Congdon, 2003 Cottingham, 1998, Population, community, and ecosystem variates as ecological indicators: phytoplankton responses to whole-lake enrichment, Ecological Applications, 8, 508, 10.1890/1051-0761(1998)008[0508:PCAEVA]2.0.CO;2 Frost, 1995, Species compensation and complementarity in ecosystem function, 224 Gallegos, 1992, Event-scale response of phytoplankton to watershed inputs in a subestuary: timing, magnitude, and location of blooms, Limnology and Oceanography, 37, 813, 10.4319/lo.1992.37.4.0813 Gelman, 1996, Posterior predictive assessment of model fitness via realized discrepancies, Statistica Sinica, 6, 733 Granéli, 1990, Nutrient limitation of primary production in the Baltic Sea area, Ambio, 19, 142 Huisman, 2001, Fundamental unpredictability in multispecies competition, The American Naturalist, 157, 488, 10.1086/319929 Jeffrey, 1997 Kass, 1995, Bayes factors, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90, 773, 10.2307/2291091 Luettich, 2000 Mackey, 1996, CHEMTAX – a program for estimating class abundances from chemical markers: application to HPLC measurements of phytoplankton, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 144, 265, 10.3354/meps144265 Mackey, 1997 Mallin, 1994, Commentary on primary productivity and nutrient limitation in the Neuse River Estuary, North Carolina, USA, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 111, 311, 10.3354/meps111311 Mallin, 1994, Planktonic trophic transfer in an estuary-seasonal, diel, and community structure effects, Ecology, 75, 2168, 10.2307/1940875 McCauley, 1987, Cyclic and stable populations: plankton as a paradigm, The American Naturalist, 129, 97, 10.1086/284624 McCormick, 1994, Algae as indicators of environmental change, Journal of Applied Phycology, 6, 509, 10.1007/BF02182405 McCune, 2002 Micheli, 1999, The dual nature of community variability, Oikos, 85, 161, 10.2307/3546802 Paerl, 2003, Phytoplankton photopigments as indicators of estuarine and coastal eutrophication, BioScience, 53, 953, 10.1641/0006-3568(2003)053[0953:PPAIOE]2.0.CO;2 Paerl, 2003, Microbial indicators of aquatic ecosystem change: current applications to eutrophication studies, FEMS Microbiology Ecology, 46, 233, 10.1016/S0168-6496(03)00200-9 Paerl, 2004, Solving problems resulting from solutions: evolution of a dual nutrient management strategy for the eutrophying Neuse River Estuary, North Carolina, Environmental Science and Technology, 38, 3068, 10.1021/es0352350 Paerl, 2006, Anthropogenic and climatic influences on the eutrophication of large estuarine ecosystems, Limnology and Oceanography, 51, 448, 10.4319/lo.2006.51.1_part_2.0448 Piehler, 2004, Impacts of inorganic nutrient enrichment on phytoplankton community structure and function in Pamlico Sound, NC, USA, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 61, 197, 10.1016/j.ecss.2004.05.001 Pinckney, 1997, Environmental controls of phytoplankton bloom dynamics in the Neuse River Estuary, North Carolina, USA, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 54, 2491, 10.1139/cjfas-54-11-2491 Pinckney, 1998, Annual cycles of phytoplankton community structure and bloom dynamics in the Neuse River Estuary, North Carolina, Marine Biology, 131, 371, 10.1007/s002270050330 Pinckney, 1999, Responses of the phytoplankton community growth rate to nutrient pulses in variable estuarine environments, Journal of Phycology, 35, 1455, 10.1046/j.1529-8817.1999.3561455.x Pollingher, 1988, Freshwater armored dinoflagellates: growth, reproduction strategies and population dynamics, 134 Qian, 2000, Seasonal and long-term nutrient trend decomposition along a spatial gradient in the Neuse River watershed, Environmental Science and Technology, 34, 4474, 10.1021/es000989p Reynolds, 2002, Towards a functional classification of the freshwater phytoplankton, Journal of Plankton Research, 24, 417, 10.1093/plankt/24.5.417 Rudek, 1991, Seasonal and hydrological control of phytoplankton nutrient limitation in the lower Neuse River Estuary, North Carolina, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 75, 133, 10.3354/meps075133 Scheffer, 2003, Why plankton communities have no equilibrium: solutions to the paradox, Hydrobiologia, 491, 9, 10.1023/A:1024404804748 Scheines, 1999, Bayesian estimation and testing of structural equation models, Psychometrika, 64, 37, 10.1007/BF02294318 Schindler, 1990, Experimental perturbations of whole lakes as tests of hypotheses concerning ecosystem structure and function, Oikos, 57, 25, 10.2307/3565733 Sommer, 1995, An experimental test of the intermediate disturbance hypothesis using cultures of marine phytoplankton, Limnology and Oceanography, 40, 1271, 10.4319/lo.1995.40.7.1271 Spiegelhalter Spiegelhalter Stow, 2003, Assessing TMDL effectiveness using flow-adjusted concentrations: a case study of the Neuse River, North Carolina, Environmental Science and Technology, 37, 2043, 10.1021/es020802p Stow, 2003, Enhancing causal assessment of estuarine fishkills using graphical models, Ecosystems, 6, 11, 10.1007/s10021-002-0192-7 Tester, 1995, Evaluating phytoplankton dynamics in the Newport River Estuary (North-Carolina, USA) by HPLC-derived pigment profiles, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 124, 237, 10.3354/meps124237 Twomey, 2002, Seasonal succession of diatoms and other phytoplankton in a bar built estuary, Wilson Inlet, Western Australia, 395