Analysis of spatial variations in the effectiveness of graduated driver’s licensing (GDL) program in the state of Michigan

Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology - Tập 8 - Trang 11-22 - 2014
Yu Chen1, Veronica J. Berrocal1, C. Raymond Bingham2, Peter X.K. Song1
1Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, United States
2Transportation Research Institute, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, United States

Tài liệu tham khảo

Abdalla, 1997, An investigation into the relationships between area social characteristics and road crash casualties, Accid Anal Prev, 29, 583, 10.1016/S0001-4575(97)00011-0 Aguero-Valverde, 2006, Spatial analysis of fatal and injury crashes in Pennsylvania, Accid Anal Prev, 38, 618, 10.1016/j.aap.2005.12.006 Amoros, 2003, Comparison of road crashes incident and severity between some French counties, Accid Anal Prev, 35, 537, 10.1016/S0001-4575(02)00031-3 Banerjee, 2003 Bernardinelli, 1995, Bayesian analysis of space-time variation in disease risk, Stat Med, 14, 2433, 10.1002/sim.4780142112 Besag, 1974, Spatial interaction and the statistical analysis of lattice systems, J Roy Stat Soc B, 36, 192 Besag, 1991, Bayesian image restoration with two applications in spatial statistics, Ann Inst Stat Math, 43, 1, 10.1007/BF00116466 Chen, 2000, Carrying passengers as a risk factor for crashes fatal to 16- and 17-year-old drivers, J Am Med Assoc, 283, 1578, 10.1001/jama.283.12.1578 Cressie, 1989, Spatial modeling of regional variables, J Am Statist Assoc, 84, 393, 10.1080/01621459.1989.10478783 Dee, 2005, Graduated driver licensing and teen traffic fatalities, J Health Econ, 24, 571, 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2004.09.013 Ehsani, 2013, Graduated driver licensing for new drivers: effects of three states’ policies on crash rates among teenagers, Am J Prev Med, 45, 9, 10.1016/j.amepre.2013.03.005 Ehsani, 2013, The effect of the Learner License Graduated Driver Licensing components on teen drivers’ crashes, Accid Anal Prev, 59, 327, 10.1016/j.aap.2013.06.001 Fell, 2011, An evaluation of graduated driver lincensing effects on fatal crash involvements of young drivers in the United States, Traffic Inj Prev, 12, 423, 10.1080/15389588.2011.588296 Fell, 2011, A national evaluation of the nighttime and passenger restriction components of graduated driver licensing, J Saf Res, 42, 283, 10.1016/j.jsr.2011.06.001 Foss, 1999, Effectiveness of graduated driver licensing in reducing motor vehicle crashes, Am J Prev Med, 16, 47, 10.1016/S0749-3797(98)00112-3 Foss, 2003, Enhancing the effectiveness of graduated driver licensing legistlation, J Safety Res, 34, 79, 10.1016/S0022-4375(02)00083-X Foss, 2001, Initial effects of graduated driver licensing on 16-year-old driver crashes in North Carolina, J Am Med Assoc, 286, 1588, 10.1001/jama.286.13.1588 Gelman, 1992, Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences, Stat Sci, 7, 457, 10.1214/ss/1177011136 Hossain, 2011, The influence of rurality on the volume of non-urgent emergency department visits, Spatial Spatio-Temporal Epidemiol, 2, 311, 10.1016/j.sste.2011.10.002 Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (2013). (Available at: <http://www.iihs.org/iihs/topics/laws/graduatedlicenseintro?topicName=teenagers>). Lawson, 2006 Lawson, 2003 Lenk, 1999, Bayesian inference for semiparametric regression using a Fourier representation, J Roy Stat Soc B, 61, 863, 10.1111/1467-9868.00207 Levine, 1995, Spatial analysis of Honolulu motor vehicle crashes: I. Spatial patterns, Accid Anal Prev, 27, 663, 10.1016/0001-4575(95)00017-T Lunn, 2000, WinBUGS – a Bayesian modelling framework: concepts, structure, and extensibility, Stat Compu, 10, 325, 10.1023/A:1008929526011 Marshall, 1991, Mapping disease and mortality rates using empirical bayes estimators, J Roy Stat Soc C, 40, 283 Mayhew, 2003, Specific and long-term effects of nova scotia’s graduated licensing program, Traffic Inj Prev, 4, 91, 10.1080/15389580309866 Miaou, 2003, Roadway traffic crash mapping: a space-time modeling approach, J Transport Stat, 6, 33 National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (2008). Traffic Safety Facts, Law: Graduated Licensing System. DOT HS Report No. 810. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (2012). Traffic Safety Facts: Young Drivers. DOT HS Report No. 811 (Available at: <http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/CATS/listpublications.aspx?Id=A&ShowBy=DocType>). Noland, 2004, A spatially disaggregate analysis of road casualties in England, Accid Anal Prev, 36, 973, 10.1016/j.aap.2003.11.001 Richardson, 2006, Bayesian spatio-temporal analysis of joint patterns of male and female lung cancer risks in Yorkshire (UK), Stat Methods Med Res, 15, 385, 10.1191/0962280206sm458oa Shaban, 1980, Change point problem and two-phase regression: an annotated bibliography, Int Stat Rev, 48, 83 Shankar, 1995, Effect of roadway geometrics and environmental factors on rural freeway crash frequencies, Accid Anal Prev, 27, 371, 10.1016/0001-4575(94)00078-Z Shope, 2007, Graduated driver licensing: review of evaluation results since 2002, J Saf Res, 38, 165, 10.1016/j.jsr.2007.02.004 Shope, 2003, Graduated driver licensing in the United States: evaluation results from the early programs, J Saf Res, 34, 63, 10.1016/S0022-4375(02)00080-4 Shope, 2004, Michigan’s graduated driver licensing program: evaluation of the first four years, J Saf Res, 35, 337, 10.1016/j.jsr.2004.04.001 Shope, 2001, Graduated driver licensing in Michigan: early impact on motor vehicle crashes among 16-year-old drivers, J Am Med Assoc, 286, 1593, 10.1001/jama.286.13.1593 Shults RA. (2010). Drivers Aged 16 or 17 Years Involved in Fatal Crashes – United States, 2004–2008. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report Vol. 59, no. 41. Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Available at: <http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/pdf/wk/mm5941.pdf>). Sivak, 2009, Mechanisms involved in the recent large reductions in US road fatalities, Injury Prev, 15, 205, 10.1136/ip.2009.021964 Spiegelhalter, 2002, Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit (with discussion), J Roy Stat Soc B, 64, 583, 10.1111/1467-9868.00353 Subramanian, 2005, Motor vehicle traffic crashes as a leading cause of death in the United States, 2002, Young, 1, 3 Vanlaar, 2009, An evaluation of graduated driver licensing programs in North America using a meta-analytic approach, Accid Anal Prev, 41, 1104, 10.1016/j.aap.2009.06.024 Waller, 2003, The genesis of GDL, J Saf Res, 34, 17, 10.1016/S0022-4375(02)00076-2