An integrated 1D–2D hydraulic modelling approach to assess the sensitivity of a coastal region to compound flooding hazard under climate change
Tóm tắt
Từ khóa
Tài liệu tham khảo
Arns A, Wahl T, Haigh ID, Jensen J, Pattiaratchi C (2013) Estimating extreme water level probabilities: a comparison of the direct methods and recommendations for best practise. Coast Eng 81:51–66
Barredo JI (2009) Normalised flood losses in Europe: 1970–2006. Nat Hazard Earth Syst Sci 9(1):97–104
Bezak N, Brilly M, Šraj M (2014) Comparison between the peaks-over-threshold method and the annual maximum method for flood frequency analysis. Hydrol Sci J 59(5):959–977. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2013.831174
Broads Authority (2014) Reflections on the December Tidal Surge and how this relates to adapting to environmental changes in the Broads. http://www.broads-authority.gov.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0006/426597/Reflections-on-the-December-Tidal-Surge-and-How-This-Relates-to-Adaption-to-Environmental-Change-in-the-Broads.pdf . Accessed 28 Sept 2017
Chen L, Sign VP (2017) Generalized beta distribution of the second kind for flood frequency analysis. Entropy 19(6):254. https://doi.org/10.3390/e19060254
Chow VT (1959) Open-channel hydraulics. McGraw-Hill, New York
Church JA, Clarks PU, Cazenave A, Greogry JM, Jevrejeva S, Levermann A, Merrifield MA, Milne GA, Nerem RS, Nunn PD, Payne AJ, Pfeffer WT, Stammer D, Unnikrishnan AS (2013) Sea level change. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner GK, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM (eds) Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. contribution of working group I to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, pp 1137–1216
Environment Agency (2009) Broadland rivers catchment flood management plan: summary report December 2009. Environment Agency. http://www.broads-authority.gov.uk/news-and-publications/publications-and-reports/conservation-publications-and-reports/water-conservation-reports/36.-Broadland-Flood-Management-Plan-2009.pdf . Accessed 28 Sept 2017
Haigh ID, Wadey MP, Wahl T, Ozsoy O, Nicholls RJ, Brown JM, Horsburgh K, Gouldby B (2016) Spatial and temporal analysis of extreme sea level and storm surge events around the coastline of the UK. Sci Data 3:160107
Hall JW, Dawson RJ, Wu XZ (2015) Analysing flood and erosion risks and coastal management strategies on the Norfolk coast. In: Nicholls RJ, Dawson RJ, Day SA (eds) Broad scale coastal simulation: new techniques to understand and manage shorelines in the third millennium, 1st edn. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 233–254
He Y, Pappenberger F, Manful D, Cloke HL, Bates P, Wetterhall F, Parkes B (2013) Flood inundation dynamics and socioeconomic vulnerability under environmental change. In: Hossain F (ed) Vulnerability of water resources to climate. Climate vulnerability, vol 5. Elsevier Sciences, pp 241–255. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-384703-4.00508-6
Javaheri A, Babbar-Sebens M (2014) On comparison of peak flow reductions, flood inundation maps, and velocity maps in evaluating effects of restored wetlands on channel flooding. Ecol Eng 75:132–145
Jenkins G (2009) Exeter: met office hadley centre. UKCP09 Briefing report, UK Climate projections. http://ukclimateprojections.metoffice.gov.uk/media.jsp?mediaid=87868&filetype=pdf . Accessed 28 Sept 2017
Kew SF, Selten FM, Lenderink G, Hazelger W (2013) The simultaneous occurrence of surge and discharge extremes for the Rhine delta. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 13:2017–2029. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-13-2017-2013
Klerk WJ, Winsemius HC, van Verseveld WJ, Bakker AMR, Diermanse FLM (2015) The co-incidence of storm surges and extreme discharges within the Rhine–Meuse Delta. Environ Res Lett 10:035005. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/035005
Mantz PA, Wakeling HL (1979) Forecasting flood levels for joint events of rainfall and tidal surge flooding using extreme value statistics. Proc Inst Civ Eng 67:31–50
McMillan A, Batstone C, Worth D, Tawn J, Horsburgh K, Lawless M (2011) Coastal flood boundary conditions for UK mainland and islands. Environmental Agency, Bristol
Menéndez M, Woodworth PL (2010) Changes in extreme high water levels based on a quasi-global tide-gauge data set. J Geophys Res Oceans 115:C10011. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JC005997
Néelz S, Pender G (2009) Desktop review of 2D hydraulic modelling packages. DEFRA/Environment Agency. http://evidence.environment-agency.gov.uk/FCERM/Libraries/FCERM_Project_Documents/SC080035_Desktop_review_of_2D_hydraulic_packages_Phase_1_Report.sflb.ashx . Accessed 28 Sept 2017
Patel DP, Ramirez JA, Srivastava PK, Bray M, Dawai H (2017) Assessment of flood inundation mapping of Surat city by coupled 1D/2D hydrodynamic modeling: a case application of the new HEC-RAS 5. Nat Hazards 89(1):93–130
Pfeffer WT, Harper JT, O’Neel S (2008) Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions to 21st-century sea-level rise. Science 321(5894):1340–1343
Pugh DJ (1996) Tides, surges and mean sea level. A handbook for engineers and scientists. Wiley, Chichester
Quiroga VM, Kure S, Udo K, Mano A (2016) Application of 2D numerical simulation for the analysis of the February 2014 Bolivian Amazonia flood: application of the new HEC-RAS version 5. RIBAGUA-Revista Iberoamericana del Agua 3:25–33
Ray T, Stepinski E, Sebastian A, Bedient PB (2011) Dynamic modeling of storm surge and inland flooding in a Texas coastal floodplain. J Hydraul Eng 137(10):1103–1111
Rouillard JJ, Ball T, Heal KV, Reeves AD (2015) Policy implementation of catchment-scale flood risk management: learning from Scotland and England. Environ Sci Policy 50:155–165
Saeed Far SS, Abd. Wahab AK (2016) Evaluation of peaks-over-threshold method. Ocean Sci Discuss. https://doi.org/10.5194/os-2016-47
Shrestha S, Lohpaisankrit W (2016) Flood hazard assessment under climate change scenarios in the Yang River Basin, Thailand. Int J Sustain Built Environ. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijsbe.2016.09.006
Spencer T, Brooks SM, Evans BR, Tempest JA, Moller I (2015) Southern North Sea storm surge event of 5 December 2013: water levels, waves and coastal impacts. Earth Sci Rev 145:120–145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2015.04.002
Stevens AJ, Clarke D, Nicholls RJ (2016) Trends in reported flooding in the UK: 1884–2013. Hydrol Sci 61:50–63. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2014.950581
Svensson C, Jones DA (2002) Dependence between extreme sea surge, river flow and precipitation in eastern Britain. Int J Climatol 22:1149–1168
Teng J, Jakeman AJ, Vaze J, Croke BFW, Dutta D, Kim S (2017) Flood inundation modelling: a review of methods, recent advances and uncertainty analysis. Environ Model Softw 90:201–216
USACE (2016) HEC-RAS river analysis system user’s manual version 5.US Army Corps of Engineers. http://www.hec.usace.army.mil/software/hec-ras/documentation/HEC-RAS%205.0%20Users%20Manual.pdf Accessed 28 Sept 2017
van den Hurk B, van Meijgaard E, de Valk P, van Heeringen K-J, Gooijer J (2015) Analysis of a compounding surge and precipitation event in the Netherlands. Environ Res Lett 10:035001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/035001
Villatoro M, Silva R, Mendez FJ, Zanuttigh B, Pan S, Trifonova E, Losada IJ, Izaguirre C, Simmonds D, Reeve DE, Mendoze E, Martinelli L, Formentin SM, Galiatsatou P, Eftimova P (2014) An approach to assess flooding and erosion risk for open beaches in a changing climate. Coast Eng 87:50–76. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2013.11.009
Vozinaki A-EK, Morianou GG, Alexakis DD, Tsanis IK (2017) Comparing 1D and combined 1D/2D hydraulic simulations using high-resolution topographic data: a case study of the Koilaris basin, Greece. Hydrol Sci J 62(4):642–656. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2016.1255746
Wahl T, Haigh ID, Woodworth PL, Albrecht F, Dillingh D, Jensen J, Nicholls RJ, Weisse R, Wöppelmann G (2013) Observed mean sea level changes around the North Sea coastline from 1800 to present. Earth Sci Rev 124:51–67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2013.05.003
Wahl T, Jain S, Bender J, Meyers SD, Luther ME (2015) Increasing risk of compound flooding from storm surge and rainfall for major US cities. Nat Clim Change 5:1093–1097. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2736
Wang G, Wang D, Trenberth KE, Erfanian A, Yu M, Bosilovich MG, Parr DT (2017) The peak structure and future changes of the relationships between extreme precipitation and temperature. Nat Clim Change 7:268–274. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3239
Webster T, McGuigan K, Collins K, MacDonald C (2014) Integrated river and coastal hydrodynamic flood risk mapping of LaHavre River Estuary and Town of Bridgewater, Nova Scotia, Canada. Water 6:517–546. https://doi.org/10.3390/w6030517
Whitfield PH (2012) Floods in future climates: a review. J Flood Risk Manag 5:336–365. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1753-318X.2012.01150.x
Wilby RL, Beven KJ, Reynard NS (2008) Climate change and fluvial flood risk in the UK: more of the same? Hydrol Process 22:2511–2523. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.6847
Wong PP, Losada IJ, Gattuso JP, Hinkel J, Khattabi A, McInnes KL, Saito Y, Sallenger A (2014) Coastal systems and low-lying areas. In: Field CB, Barros VR, Dokken DJ, Mach KJ, Mastrandrea MD, Billir TE, Chatterjee M, Ebi KL, Estrada YO, Genova RC, Girma B, Kissel ES, Levy AN, MacCracken S, Mastrandrea PR, White LL (eds) Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Part A: global and sectoral aspects. contribution of working group II to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, pp 361–409
Wu XZ, Hall JW, Liang Q, Dawson RJ (2015) Broadscale Coastal Inundation Modelling. In: Nicholls RJ, Dawson RJ, Day SA (eds) Broad scale coastal simulation: new techniques to understand and manage shorelines in the third millennium, 1st edn. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 213–232