An extended HEART Dempster–Shafer evidence theory approach to assess human reliability for the gas freeing process on chemical tankers

Akyuz, 2015, A methodological extension to human reliability analysis for cargo tank cleaning operation on board chemical tanker ships, Saf Sci, 75, 146, 10.1016/j.ssci.2015.02.008 Karahalios, 2014, The contribution of risk management in ship management: the case of ship collision, Saf Sci, 63, 104, 10.1016/j.ssci.2013.11.004 Chauvin, 2013, Human and organisational factors in maritime accidents: analysis of collisions at sea using the HFACS, Accid Anal Prev, 59, 26, 10.1016/j.aap.2013.05.006 Kristiansen, 2013 Luo, 2019, Half-century research developments in maritime accidents: future directions, Accid Anal Prev, 123, 448, 10.1016/j.aap.2016.04.010 1974 2018 2020 2020 Zhou, 2020, Assessing and mapping maritime transportation risk based on spatial fuzzy multi-criteria decision making: a case study in the South China sea, Ocean Eng, 208, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2020.107403 Akyuz, 2018, Prediction of human error probabilities in a critical marine engineering operation on-board chemical tanker ship: the case of ship bunkering, Saf Sci, 110, 102, 10.1016/j.ssci.2018.08.002 Fan, 2020, Incorporation of human factors into maritime accident analysis using a data-driven Bayesian network, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 203, 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107070 Coraddu, 2020, Determining the most influential human factors in maritime accidents: a data-driven approach, Ocean Eng, 211, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2020.107588 Antão, 2019, Analysis of the influence of human errors on the occurrence of coastal ship accidents in different wave conditions using Bayesian Belief Networks, Accid Anal Prev, 133, 10.1016/j.aap.2019.105262 Akyuz, 2015, A hybrid accident analysis method to assess potential navigational contingencies: the case of ship grounding, Saf Sci, 79, 268, 10.1016/j.ssci.2015.06.019 Ćorović, 2013, Research of marine accidents through the prism of human factors, Promet Traffic Transp, 25, 369 2020, Annual overview of marine casualties and incidents 2020, Lisbon Baltic Marine Environment Protection Commission. Shipping accidents in the Baltic Sea in 2018. Helsinki 2018. Weng, 2019, Investigation of occurrence likelihood of human errors in shipping operations, Ocean Eng, 182, 28, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2019.04.083 Akyuz, 2016, Quantitative human error assessment during abandon ship procedures in maritime transportation, Ocean Eng, 120, 21, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2016.05.017 Konstandinidou, 2006, A fuzzy modeling application of CREAM methodology for human reliability analysis, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 91, 706, 10.1016/j.ress.2005.06.002 Qiao, 2020, A methodology to evaluate human factors contributed to maritime accident by mapping fuzzy FT into ANN based on HFACS, Ocean Eng, 197, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2019.106892 Ung, 2018, Human error assessment of oil tanker grounding, Saf Sci, 104, 16, 10.1016/j.ssci.2017.12.035 Ung, 2019, Evaluation of human error contribution to oil tanker collision using fault tree analysis and modified fuzzy Bayesian Network based CREAM, Ocean Eng, 179, 159, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2019.03.031 Martins, 2013, Application of Bayesian Belief networks to the human reliability analysis of an oil tanker operation focusing on collision accidents, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 110, 89, 10.1016/j.ress.2012.09.008 Il, 2020, Application of a CREAM based framework to assess human reliability in emergency response to engine room fires on ships, Ocean Eng, 216 Zhou, 2018, A fuzzy and Bayesian network CREAM model for human reliability analysis – The case of tanker shipping, Saf Sci, 105, 149, 10.1016/j.ssci.2018.02.011 Islam, 2020, A hybrid human reliability assessment technique for the maintenance operations of marine and offshore systems, Process Saf Prog, 39, 10.1002/prs.12118 Xi, 2017, A new hybrid approach to human error probability quantification–applications in maritime operations, Ocean Eng, 138, 45, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2017.04.018 Yang, 2019, Use of evidential reasoning for eliciting bayesian subjective probabilities in human reliability analysis: a maritime case, Ocean Eng, 186, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2019.05.077 Kandemir, 2019, Application of human reliability analysis to repair & maintenance operations on-board ships: the case of HFO purifier overhauling, Appl Ocean Res, 88, 317, 10.1016/j.apor.2019.04.019 Soner, 2021, A human reliability assessment through enclosed space entry operation onboard ships, Proc Inst Mech Eng Part M J Eng Marit Environ, 235, 410 Kandemir, 2021, Determining the error producing conditions in marine engineering maintenance and operations through HFACS-MMO, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 206, 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107308 Kaptan, 2021, The effect of nonconformities encountered in the use of technology on the occurrence of collision, contact and grounding accidents, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 215, 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107886 Zhang, 2021, A modified human reliability analysis method for the estimation of human error probability in the offloading operations at oil terminals, Process Saf Prog, 40, 84, 10.1002/prs.12223 Abaei, 2019, A dynamic human reliability model for marine and offshore operations in harsh environments, Ocean Eng, 173, 90, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2018.12.032 Allal, 2018, Task human reliability analysis for a safe operation of autonomous ship, 74 Akyuz, 2016, A modified human reliability analysis for cargo operation in single point mooring (SPM) off-shore units, Appl Ocean Res, 58, 11, 10.1016/j.apor.2016.03.012 Sadeghi, 2018, Identification of accident-prone sections in roadways with incomplete and uncertain inspection-based information: a distributed hazard index based on evidential reasoning approach, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 178, 278, 10.1016/j.ress.2018.06.020 Wu, 2017, An Evidential Reasoning-Based CREAM to Human Reliability Analysis in Maritime Accident Process, Risk Anal, 37, 1936, 10.1111/risa.12757 Yu, 2021, An integrated dynamic ship risk model based on Bayesian Networks and Evidential Reasoning, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 216, 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107993 Abrishami, 2020, A data-based comparison of BN-HRA models in assessing human error probability: an offshore evacuation case study, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 202, 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107043 Aydin, 2021, Analyzing human error contributions to maritime environmental risk in oil/chemical tanker ship, Hum Ecol Risk Assess, 27, 1838, 10.1080/10807039.2021.1910011 2014 Akyuz, 2015, A fuzzy DEMATEL method to evaluate critical operational hazards during gas freeing process in crude oil tankers, J Loss Prev Process Ind, 38, 243, 10.1016/j.jlp.2015.10.006 Chow, 2010, Gas-freeing of crude oil tanks–analysis using numerical simulation, J Mar Eng Technol, 9, 3, 10.1080/20464177.2010.11020231 Savage, 1976, Marine gas hazards control: cleaning and Gas-Freeing Shipboard Tanks, Environ Res, 11, 213, 10.1016/0013-9351(76)90078-5 Williams, 1988, A data-based method for assessing and reducing human error to improve operational performance, 436 Zhou, 2019, A hybrid HEART method to estimate human error probabilities in locomotive driving process, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 188, 80, 10.1016/j.ress.2019.03.001 Dempster, 1967, Upper and lower probabilities induced by a multivalued mapping, Ann Math Stat, 38, 325, 10.1214/aoms/1177698950 Shafer, 1976 Sentz, 2002, Vol. 4015 Chen, 2021, Resilience assessment of regional areas against earthquakes using multi-source information fusion, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 215, 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107833 Liu, 2021, Reliability evaluation of two-stage evidence classification system considering preference and error, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 213, 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107783 Fei, 2021, A dynamic framework of multi-attribute decision making under Pythagorean fuzzy environment by using Dempster–Shafer theory, Eng Appl Artif Intell, 101, 10.1016/j.engappai.2021.104213 Li, 2019, An emergency decision-making method based on d-S evidence theory for probabilistic linguistic term sets, Int J Disaster Risk Reduct, 37, 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101178 Wang, 2021, Method for fault location in a low-resistance grounded distribution network based on multi-source information fusion, Int J Electr Power Energy Syst, 125, 10.1016/j.ijepes.2020.106384 Si, 2014, A novel approach for coal seam terrain prediction through information fusion of improved d-S evidence theory and neural network, Meas J Int Meas Confed, 54, 140, 10.1016/j.measurement.2014.04.015 Shepherd, 2001 Kirwan, B., Gibson W.H. Human Reliability Assessment (CARA) Development for EUROCONTROL Q07/22268NC; 2008. Rahman, 2020, A conditional dependence-based marine logistics support risk model, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 193, 10.1016/j.ress.2019.106623 Zadeh, 1984, Review of books: a mathematical theory of evidence, AI Mag, 5, 81 Zheng, 2017, A Hybrid Approach for Evaluating Faulty Behavior Risk of High-Risk Operations Using ANP and Evidence Theory Liang, 2016, A reliability data fusion method based on improved DS evidence theory, 1 Pang, 2013, A new DS evidcnce fusion algorithm based on cosine similarity coefficient Guo, 2011, Combination rule of d-S evidence theory based on the strategy of cross merging between evidences, Expert Syst Appl, 38, 13360, 10.1016/j.eswa.2011.04.161 Dong, 2011, ETTA-IM: a deep web query interface matching approach based on evidence theory and task assignment, Expert Syst Appl, 38, 10218, 10.1016/j.eswa.2011.02.064 He, 2008, A simplified CREAM prospective quantification process and its application, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 93, 298, 10.1016/j.ress.2006.10.026 Hollnagel, 1998 Liu, 2021, Prediction of human–machine interface (HMI) operational errors for maritime autonomous surface ships (MASS), J Mar Sci Technol Demirel, 2019, Prediction of human error probability for possible gas turbine faults in marine engineering, J ETA Marit Sci, 7, 151, 10.5505/jems.2019.49379