Mô hình sai số không gian với hiệu ứng ngẫu nhiên liên tục và ứng dụng vào sự hội tụ tăng trưởng

Journal of Geographical Systems - Tập 19 - Trang 371-398 - 2017
Márcio Poletti Laurini1
1Department of Economics, FEARP - University of São Paulo, Ribeirão Prêto, Brazil

Tóm tắt

Chúng tôi đề xuất một mô hình sai số không gian với các hiệu ứng ngẫu nhiên liên tục dựa trên các hàm hiệp phương sai Matérn và áp dụng mô hình này để phân tích các quá trình hội tụ thu nhập ($$\beta $$-hội tụ). Việc sử dụng mô hình với các hiệu ứng ngẫu nhiên liên tục cho phép trực quan hóa và giải thích rõ ràng hơn về các mẫu phụ thuộc không gian, tránh những vấn đề liên quan đến việc xác định hàng xóm trong các mô hình kinh tế lượng không gian, và cho phép dự đoán các hiệu ứng không gian cho mọi vị trí có thể trong không gian liên tục, vượt qua những tổng hợp hiện có trong các đại diện lưới rời rạc. Chúng tôi áp dụng phương pháp mô hình này để phân tích sự tăng trưởng kinh tế của các đô thị Brazil trong giai đoạn từ 1991 đến 2010, sử dụng các công thức không điều kiện và điều kiện cùng với mô hình không gian-thời gian hội tụ. Kết quả cho thấy các hiệu ứng ngẫu nhiên không gian ước tính nhất quán với sự tồn tại của các câu lạc bộ hội tụ thu nhập cho các đô thị Brazil trong giai đoạn này.

Từ khóa

#Mô hình sai số không gian #hiệu ứng ngẫu nhiên liên tục #hội tụ thu nhập #Brazil #kinh tế lượng không gian

Tài liệu tham khảo

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