A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010

The Lancet - Tập 380 Số 9859 - Trang 2224-2260 - 2012
Stephen S Lim1, Theo Vos2, Florian Fischer1, Luc Dauchet3, Kenji Shibuya4, Heather Adair-Rohani5, Alan D López6, Markus Amann7, H Ross Anderson8, Kathryn Andrews1, Martin J. Aryee9, Ala’a Alkerwi1, Loraine Bacchus10, Adil N Bahalim11, Kalpana Balakrishnan12, John R. Balmes13, Suzanne Barker‐Collo14, Amanda J Baxter15, Michelle L. Bell16, Jed D Blore2, Fiona Blyth17, Carissa Bonner17, Guilherme Borges18,19, Rupert Bourne20, Michel Boussinesq21, Michael Bräuer22, Peter Brooks23, Nigel Bruce24, Bert Brunekreef25, Claire Bryan-Hancock26, Chiara Bucello27, Rachelle Buchbinder28,29, Fiona Bull30, Richard T. Burnett31, Tim Byers32, Bianca Calabria33, Jonathan R. Carapetis34, Emily Carnahan1, Zoë Chafe5, Fiona J Charlson2, Honglei Chen35, Jian Chen36, Andrew T. A. Cheng37, Jennifer Child10, K. Ellicott Colson1, Benjamin C Cowie38, Sarah C. Darby39, S. M. Darling17, Adrian Davis40, Louisa Degenhardt41,33, Frank Dentener42, Don C. Des Jarlais43, Karen Devries10, Mukesh Dherani24, Eric L. Ding3, E. Ray Dorsey44, Tim Driscoll45, Karen Edmond10, Suad Eltahir Ali46, Rebecca E Engell1, Patricia J. Erwin47, Saman Fahimi48, Gail Falder10, Farshad Farzadfar49, Alize J Ferrari15, Mariel M. Finucane50, Seth Flaxman51, F.G.R. Fowkes52, Greg Freedman1, Michael K Freeman1, Emmanuela Gakidou1, Santu Ghosh12, Edward L. Giovannucci3, Gerhard Gmel53, Kathryn Graham54, Rebecca Grainger55,56, Bridget F. Grant55, David Gunnell57, Hialy Gutierrez58, Wayne Hall59, Hans W. Hoek60, Anthony Hogan61, H. Dean Hosgood62, Peter J. Hotez29, Howard Hu63, Bryan Hubbell64, Sally Hutchings65, S Ibeanusi66, Gemma Jacklyn17, Rashmi Jasrasaria1, Joanne Katz67, Haidong Kan68, John А. Kanis69, Nicholas J Kassebaum70, Norito Kawakami71, Young‐Ho Khang72, Jon‐Paul Khoo15, Cindy Kok73, Francine Laden3, Ratilal Lalloo74,75, Qing Lan76, Timothy Lathlean26, Janet L Leasher77, J. Paul Leigh45, Yang Li78, John K. Lin3, Steven E. Lipshultz79, Stephanie J. London35, Rafael Lozano1, Yuan Lu3, Joelle Mak10, Reza Malekzadeh80, Leslie Mallinger1, Wagner Marcenes81, Lyn March36, Robin Marks23, Randall V. Martin82, Paul McGale83, John J. McGrath84, Sumi Mehta85, Ziad A. Memish86,6, George A. Mensah87, Tony R. Merriman56, Muhammad Imran Nisar88,3, Catherine Michaud89, Vinod Mishra90, Khayriyyah Mohd Hanafiah91, Ali A Mokdad1, Lidia Morawska92, Dariush Mozaffarian93,3, Tasha Murphy1, Mohsen Naghavi1, Bruce Neal94, Paul K Nelson33, Joan M. Nolla95, Rosana Norman2, Casey Olives96, Saad B Omer97,98, J. Orchard17, Richard H. Osborne99, Bart Ostro100, Andrew Page2, Kiran Pandey101, Charles Parry102, Erin Passmore17, Jayadeep Patra103, Neil Pearce10, Pamela M Pelizzari104, Max Petzold105, Michael Phillips106, Daniel Pope24, C. Arden Pope107, John Powles108, Mayuree Rao3, Homie Razavi109, Eva Rehfuess110, Jürgen Rehm54, Beate Ritz111, David B. Rein96, Thomas Roberts1, Carolyn Robinson112, Jose Adolfo Rodriguez-Portales113, Ivy Shiue114, Robin Room115,116, Lisa C Rosenfeld1, Ananya Roy117, Jonathan I. Silverberg65, Joshua A. Salomon3, Uchechukwu K.A. Sampson118, Dietrich Plaß119,36, Amir Sapkota120, Soraya Seedat121, Peilin Shi122, Kevin D. Shield54, Rupak Shivakoti44, Ali H Mokdad3, David A. Sleet123, Emma Smith124, Kirk R. Smith5, Eduardo A. Undurraga125, Kyle Steenland98, Heidi Stöckl10, Wilma A. Stolk126, Lennert Veerman114, Lahn Straney1, George D. Thurston127, Jimmy H. Tran5, Rita Van Dingenen42, Aaron van Donkelaar82, Lakshmi Vijayakumar128, Kerrianne Watt129,130, Myrna M. Weissman131,58, Richard White3, Harvey Whiteford15, Steven Wiersma132, James D. Wilkinson79, Hywel C Williams133, Warwick Williams134, Nicholas Wilson36, Anthony D. Woolf135, Paul Yip136, Jan Zieliński31, Christopher J L Murray1, Majid Ezzati65
1Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
2School of Population Health, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
3School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
4Department of Global Health Policy, Tokyo, Japan
5University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA USA.
6Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
7International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
8St George’s University of London, London, UK
9School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
10London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
11Independent Consultant, Geneva, Switzerland
12Sri Ramachandra University, Chennai, India
13School of Public Health, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
14University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
15Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
16Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
17University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
18Metropolitan Autonomous University, Mexico City, Mexico
19National Institute of Psychiatry, Mexico City, Mexico
20Vision and Eye Research Unit, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, UK
21Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Martinique, France
22University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
23University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
24University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
25Insititute for Risk Assessment Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
26Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, Australia
27University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
28Cabrini Institute, Malvern VIC, Australia
29Monash University, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
30University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia
31Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
32Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora, CO, USA
33National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia
34Telethon Institute for Child Health Research, Centre for Child Health Research, Perth, WA, Australia
35National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, NC USA
36Institute of Bone and Joint Research, Sydney, NSW, Australia
37Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei Taiwan
38Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
39University Of Oxford, Oxford, UK
40MRC Hearing and Communication Group, Manchester, UK
41Centre for Health Policy, Programs and Economics, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
42European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Brussels, Belgium
43Beth Israel Medical Center, New York City, NY, USA
44Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD USA
45School of Public Health, Sydney, NSW, Australia
46Federal Ministry of Health, Khartoum, Sudan
47Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN USA
48Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
49Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
50Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
51Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA USA
52University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK
53Addiction Info Switzerland, Lausanne, Switzerland
54Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, ON, Canada
55National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
56University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
57University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
58Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York City, NY, USA
59University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
60Parnassia Psychiatric Institute, The Hague, Netherlands
61Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia
62Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Yeshiva University, New York City, NY, USA
63Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
64US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington DC, USA
65MRC-HPA Centre for Environment and Health, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
66University of Port Harcourt, Port Harcourt, Nigeria
67Department of Ophthalmology, Medical Faculty Mannheim of the Ruprecht Karls University Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany
68Fudan University, Shanghai, China
69University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
70Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Seattle, WA, USA
71University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
72Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
73Spinal Cord Injury Network, Glebe, New Zealand
74Population and Social Health Research Program, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
75School of Dentistry and Oral Health, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
76Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA
77Nova Southeastern University, Fort Lauderdale, FL USA
78Critical Care and Trauma Division, Sydney, NSW, Australia
79Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA
80Digestive Disease Research Center, Tehran, Iran
81Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
82Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
83Clinical Trial Services Unit, Oxford, UK
84Brain Institute, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
85Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves, Washington, DC, USA
86College of Medicine, Alfaisal University, Riyadh, Saudia Arabia
87Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
88Agricultural University of Athens, Athens, Greece
89China Medical Board, Boston, MA, USA
90United Nations Population Division, New York City, NY, USA
91Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
92Queensland Univeristy of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
93Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
94The George Institute for Global Health, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
95Rheumatology Department, Hospital Universitari de Bellvitge, Barcelona, Spain.
96University of Washington. Seattle, WA USA
97School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
98School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
99Deakin University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
100California Environmental Protection Agency, Sacramento, CA, USA
101The World Bank, Washington, DC, USA
102South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa
103St Michael Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada
104Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Baltimore, MD, USA
105Centre for Applied Biostatistics, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
106Shanghai Mental Health Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
107Brigham Young University, Provo, UT USA
108Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
109Center for Disease Analysis, Louisville, CO, USA
110Ludwig Maximilians Universität Munich, Munich, Germany
111University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
112University of California, San Francisco; San Francisco; CA; USA
113P. Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
114International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
115Centre for Alcohol Policy Research, Turning Point Alcohol & Drug Centre, Fitzroy, SA, Australia
116School of Population Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
117Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey, Newark, NJ, USA
118Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.
119Institut d'Investigacio Biomedica de Bellvitge, Hospital Universitari de Bellvitge, Barcelona, Spain
120School of Public Health, University of Maryland, Baltimore, MD, USA
121Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
122Department of Epidemiology, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
123National Center for Injury Prevention and Control, Baltimore, MD, USA
124Department of Rheumatology, Northern Clinical School, Sydney, NSW, Australia
125Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
126Department of Neuroscience, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
127New York University, New York City, NY, USA
128Voluntary Health Services, Sneha, Chennai, India
129Department of Pediatrics, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
130Royal Children's Hospital and Critical Care and Neurosciences Theme, Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
131College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York City, NY, USA
132Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Baltimore, MD, USA
133University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
134National Acoustic Laboratories, Sydney, NSW, Australia
135Royal Cornwall Hospital, Truro, UK
136Centre for Suicide Research and Prevention, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

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The Lancet

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2224-2260

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