A MULTIFACTOR MODEL OF THE QUALITY OPTION IN TREASURY FUTURES CONTRACTS

Journal of Financial Research - Tập 18 Số 3 - Trang 261-279 - 1995
Peter Ritchken1, L. Sankarasubramanian1
1Case Western Reserve University

Tóm tắt

AbstractThe values of quality options in Treasury futures contracts are set relative to the prices of all coupon bonds in their respective deliverable sets. As a result, any model used to value the quality option should set its price relative to the set of observed bond prices. This requirement rules out the use of most simple equilibrium models that represent all bond prices in terms of a finite number of state variables. We use the two‐factor Heath‐Jarrow‐Morton model, which permits claims to be priced relative to observable bond prices, to investigate the potential value of the quality option in Treasury bond and note futures. We show that the quality option has significantly more value in a two‐factor interest rate economy than in a single‐factor economy, and that ignoring it could lead to significant mispricing.

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