A Framework for Unifying Formal and Empirical Analysis

American Journal of Political Science - Tập 54 Số 3 - Trang 783-797 - 2010
Jim Granato1, Melody Lo2, M. C. Sunny Wong3
1[Univ. of Houston]
2University of Texas at San Antonio
3Univ. of San Francisco#TAB#

Tóm tắt

An important disconnect exists between the current use of formal modeling and applied statistical analysis. In general, a lack of linkage between the two can produce statistically significant parameters of ambiguous origin that, in turn, fail to assist in falsifying theories and hypotheses. To address this scientific challenge, a framework for unification is proposed. Methodological unification leverages the mutually reinforcing properties of formal and applied statistical analysis to produce greater transparency in relating theory to test. This framework for methodological unification, or what has been referred to as the empirical implications of theoretical models (EITM), includes (1) connecting behavioral (formal) and applied statistical concepts, (2) developing behavioral (formal) and applied statistical analogues of these concepts, and (3) linking and evaluating the behavioral (formal) and applied statistical analogues. The elements of this EITM framework are illustrated with examples from voting behavior, macroeconomic policy and outcomes, and political turnout.

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