Role of surface warming in the northward shift of tropical cyclone tracks over the South China Sea in November

Acta Oceanologica Sinica - Tập 36 - Trang 67-72 - 2017
Jia Sun1,2, Guihua Wang3, Juncheng Zuo4, Zheng Ling5, Dahai Liu1,2
1The First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao, China
2Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao, China
3Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
4Key Laboratory of Coastal Disaster and Defense of Ministry of Education, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
5Guangdong Key Laboratory of Coastal Ocean Variability and Disater Prediction, Guangdong Ocean University, Zhanjiang, China

Tóm tắt

Tropical cyclones (TCs) formed in the Northwest Pacific Ocean (NWP) can cross the South China Sea (SCS) sometimes. It is found that the TC tracks in the SCS in November are shifted to the north after 1980 compared with those before 1980. Both data analyses and numerical simulations show that the surface warming in the SCS may contribute to this more northward shift. The warming produces a cyclonic atmosphere circulation anomaly in the northwestern SCS and an associated southerly in the central SCS steering the TCs to the north.

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