Post-decisional accounts of biases in confidence

Körding, 2006, Bayesian decision theory in sensorimotor control, Trends Cogn Sci (Regul Ed), 10, 319, 10.1016/j.tics.2006.05.003 Grimaldi, 2015, There are things that we know that we know, and there are things that we do not know we do not know: confidence in decision-making, Neurosci Biobehav Rev, 55, 88, 10.1016/j.neubiorev.2015.04.006 Kepecs, 2008, Neural correlates, computation and behavioural impact of decision confidence, Nature, 455, 227, 10.1038/nature07200 Zylberberg, 2014, Variance misperception explains illusions of confidence in simple perceptual decisions, Conscious Cogn, 27, 246, 10.1016/j.concog.2014.05.012 Ratcliff, 2004, A comparison of sequential sampling models for two-choice reaction time, Psychol Rev, 111, 333, 10.1037/0033-295X.111.2.333 Ratcliff, 2008, The diffusion decision model: theory and data for two-choice decision tasks, Neural Comput, 20, 10.1162/neco.2008.12-06-420 Kiani, 2009, Representation of confidence associated with a decision by neurons in the parietal cortex, Science, 324, 759, 10.1126/science.1169405 Meyniel, 2015, The sense of confidence during probabilistic learning: a normative account, PLoS Comput Biol, 11, e1004305, 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004305 Aitchison, 2015, Doubly Bayesian analysis of confidence in perceptual decision-making, PLoS Comput Biol, 11, e1004519, 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004519 Tversky, 1974, Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases, Science, 185, 1124, 10.1126/science.185.4157.1124 Gold, 2007, The neural basis of decision making, Annu Rev Neurosci, 30, 535, 10.1146/annurev.neuro.29.051605.113038 Resulaj, 2009, Changes of mind in decision-making, Nature, 461, 263, 10.1038/nature08275 Moran, 2015, Post choice information integration as a causal determinant of confidence: novel data and a computational account, Cognit Psychol, 78, 99, 10.1016/j.cogpsych.2015.01.002 St James, 1991, Response competition produces a “fast same effect” in same-different judgments, 157 Pleskac, 2010, Two-stage dynamic signal detection: a theory of choice, decision time, and confidence, Psychol Rev, 117, 864, 10.1037/a0019737 Baranski, 1998, Probing the locus of confidence judgments: experiments on the time to determine confidence, J Exp Psychol: Hum Percept Perform, 24, 929 Yu, 2015, Dynamics of postdecisional processing of confidence, J Exp Psychol: Gen, 144, 489, 10.1037/xge0000062 Boldt, 2015, Shared neural markers of decision confidence and error detection, J Neurosci, 35, 3478, 10.1523/JNEUROSCI.0797-14.2015 Fleming, 2015, Action-specific disruption of perceptual confidence, Psychol Sci, 26, 89, 10.1177/0956797614557697 Pouget, 2016, Confidence and certainty: distinct probabilistic quantities for different goals, Nat Neurosci, 19, 366, 10.1038/nn.4240 Bahrami, 2010, Optimally interacting minds, Science, 329, 1081, 10.1126/science.1185718 Mahmoodi, 2015, Equality bias impairs collective decision-making across cultures, Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 112, 3835, 10.1073/pnas.1421692112 Roese, 1997, Counterfactual thinking, Psychol Bull, 121, 133, 10.1037/0033-2909.121.1.133 Coricelli, 2005, Regret and its avoidance: a neuroimaging study of choice behavior, Nat Neurosci, 8, 1255, 10.1038/nn1514 Griffin, 1992, The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence, Cognit Psychol, 24, 411, 10.1016/0010-0285(92)90013-R Lichtenstein, 1977, Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?, Organ Behav Hum Perform, 20, 159, 10.1016/0030-5073(77)90001-0 Koriat, 1980, Reasons for confidence, J Exp Psychol: Hum Percept Perform, 6, 107 Kahneman, 2011 van den Berg, 2016, A common mechanism underlies changes of mind about decisions and confidence, eLife, 5, 10.7554/eLife.12192 Krajbich, 2010, Visual fixations and the computation and comparison of value in simple choice, Nat Neurosci, 13, 1292, 10.1038/nn.2635 Zylberberg, 2012, The construction of confidence in a perceptual decision, Front Integr Neurosci, 6, 79, 10.3389/fnint.2012.00079 Akaishi, 2014, Autonomous mechanism of internal choice estimate underlies decision inertia, Neuron, 81, 195, 10.1016/j.neuron.2013.10.018 Fischer, 2014, Serial dependence in visual perception, Nat Neurosci, 17, 738, 10.1038/nn.3689 Liberman, 2014, Serial dependence in the perception of faces, Curr Biol, 24, 2569, 10.1016/j.cub.2014.09.025 Ratcliff, 2013, Modeling confidence judgments, response times, and multiple choices in decision making: recognition memory and motion discrimination, Psychol Rev, 120, 697, 10.1037/a0033152 Meyniel, 2015, Confidence as Bayesian probability: from neural origins to behavior, Neuron, 88, 78, 10.1016/j.neuron.2015.09.039 de Gardelle, 2015, Weighting mean and variability during confidence judgments, PLOS ONE, 10, e0120870, 10.1371/journal.pone.0120870 Yeung, 2012, Metacognition in human decision-making: confidence and error monitoring, Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci, 367, 1310, 10.1098/rstb.2011.0416 Sperling, 1960, The information available in brief visual presentations, Psychol Monogr: Gen Appl, 74, 1, 10.1037/h0093759 Fleming, 2010, Relating introspective accuracy to individual differences in brain structure, Science, 329, 1541, 10.1126/science.1191883 Ais, 2016, Individual consistency in the accuracy and distribution of confidence judgments, Cognition, 146, 377, 10.1016/j.cognition.2015.10.006 Barttfeld, 2013, Distinct patterns of functional brain connectivity correlate with objective performance and subjective beliefs, Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 110, 11577, 10.1073/pnas.1301353110 Friedrich, 1993, Primary error detection and minimization (PEDMIN) strategies in social cognition: a reinterpretation of confirmation bias phenomena, Psychol Rev, 100, 298, 10.1037/0033-295X.100.2.298 Nickerson, 1998, Confirmation bias: a ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises, Rev Gen Psychol, 2, 175, 10.1037/1089-2680.2.2.175 Klayman, 1987, Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing, Psychol Rev, 94, 211, 10.1037/0033-295X.94.2.211 Festinger, 1962 Festinger, 1956 Kepecs, 2012, A computational framework for the study of confidence in humans and animals, Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci, 367, 1322, 10.1098/rstb.2012.0037 O’Connell, 2012, A supramodal accumulation-to-bound signal that determines perceptual decisions in humans, Nat Neurosci, 15, 1729, 10.1038/nn.3248 FitzGerald, 2015, Precision and neuronal dynamics in the human posterior parietal cortex during evidence accumulation, Neuroimage, 107, 219, 10.1016/j.neuroimage.2014.12.015 Murphy, 2015, Neural evidence accumulation persists after choice to inform metacognitive judgments, eLife, e11946, 10.7554/eLife.11946 Fleming, 2014, How to measure metacognition, Front Psychol, 8 Silver, 2012 Tetlock, 2005