Impact of climate change on human infectious diseases: Empirical evidence and human adaptation

Abdelwhab, 2010, Circulation of avian influenza H5N1 in live bird markets in Egypt, Avian Dis., 54, 911, 10.1637/9099-100809-RESNOTE.1 Acuna-Soto, 2002, Megadrought and megadeath in 16th century Mexico, Rev. Biomed., 13, 289, 10.32776/revbiomed.v13i4.329 Ahern, 2005, Global health impacts of floods: epidemiologic evidence, Epidemiol. Rev., 27, 36, 10.1093/epirev/mxi004 Akhtar, 2002, Health Planning and the Resurgence of Malaria in Urban India Altekruse, 1998, Microbial food borne pathogens, Vet. Clin. North Am. Food Anim. Pract., 14, 31, 10.1016/S0749-0720(15)30277-2 Altizer, 2013, Climate change and infectious diseases: from evidence to a predictive framework, Science, 341, 514, 10.1126/science.1239401 Bai, 2014, Temperature and mortality on the roof of the world: a time-series analysis in three Tibetan counties, Sci. Total Environ., 485, 41, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.02.094 Beck-Johnson, 2013 Bissell, 1983, Delayed-impact infectious disease after a natural disaster, J. Emerg. Med., 1, 59, 10.1016/0736-4679(83)90010-0 Bouma, 2003, Methodological problems and amendments to demonstrate effects of temperature on the epidemiology of malaria. A new perspective on the highland epidemics in Madagascar, 1972–1989, Trans. R. Soc. Trop. Med. Hyg., 97, 133, 10.1016/S0035-9203(03)90099-X Bouzid, 2014, Climate change and the emergence of vector-borne diseases in Europe: case study of dengue fever, BMC Public Health, 14, 781, 10.1186/1471-2458-14-781 Bridges, 2003, Transmission of influenza: implications for control in health care settings, Clin. Infect. Dis., 37, 1094, 10.1086/378292 Bunyavanich, 2003, The impact of climate change on child health, Ambul. Pediatr., 3, 44, 10.1367/1539-4409(2003)003<0044:TIOCCO>2.0.CO;2 CDC, 1999, Needs assessment following Hurricane Georges — Dominican Republic, 1998, Morb. Mortal. Wkly Rep., 48, 93 CDC, 2000, Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome — Panama, 1999–2000, Morb. Mortal. Wkly Rep., 49, 205 CDC, 2005, Transmission of malaria in resort areas — Dominican Republic, 2004, Morb. Mortal. Wkly Rep., 53, 1195 CDC, 2010, Waterborne diseases Chen, 1999, 洪涝和于旱灾害对肾综合征出血热流行影响和防治措施建议[in Chinese], 15, 665 Chen, 2010, Ambient influenza and avian influenza virus during dust storm days and background days, Environ. Health Perspect., 118, 1211, 10.1289/ehp.0901782 Chretien, 2007, Drought-associated Chikungunya emergence along coastal East Africa, Am. J.Trop. Med. Hyg., 76, 405, 10.4269/ajtmh.2007.76.405 Chretien, 2014, Global climate anomalies and potential infectious disease risks: 2014–2015, PLoS Curr., 7 Christophers, 1960 Chung, 1993, Comparative survival of indicator viruses and enteric viruses in seawater and sediment, Water Sci. Technol., 27, 425, 10.2166/wst.1993.0385 Confalonieri, 2003, Climate variability, vulnerability and health in Brazil, Terra Livre., 19, 193 Confalonieri, 2007, Human health Cordova, 2000, Murray Valley encephalitis in Western Australia in 2000, with evidence of southerly spread, Commun. Dis. Intell., 24, 368 Costello, 2009, Managing the health effects of climate change, Lancet, 373, 1773, 10.1016/S0140-6736(09)60935-1 Cox, 1995, Stability of Airborne Microbes and Allergens Dwight, 2004, Health effects associated with recreational water use: urban versus rural California, Am. J. Public Health, 94, 565, 10.2105/AJPH.94.4.565 Ebi, 2001, Association of normal weather periods and El Niño events with hospitalization for viral pneumonia in females: California, 1983–1998, Am. J. Public Health, 91, 1200, 10.2105/AJPH.91.8.1200 EEA, 2008, Impact of Europe's Changing Climate—2008 Indicator-based Assessment Engelthaler, 1999, Climatic and environmental patterns associated with hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, Four Corners region, United States, Emerg. Infect. Dis., 5, 87, 10.3201/eid0501.990110 Epstein, 1999, Climate and health, Science, 285, 347, 10.1126/science.285.5426.347 Epstein, 2000, Is global warming harmful to health?, Sci. Am., 283, 50, 10.1038/scientificamerican0800-50 Epstein, 2001, Climate change and emerging infectious diseases, Microbes Infect., 3, 747, 10.1016/S1286-4579(01)01429-0 Epstein, 2001, West Nile virus and the climate, J. Urban Health, 78, 367, 10.1093/jurban/78.2.367 Epstein, 1998, Biological and physical signs of climate change: focus on mosquito-borne diseases, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 79, 409, 10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<0409:BAPSOC>2.0.CO;2 Frank, 2006, Vibrio vulnificus wound infections after contact with the Baltic Sea, Germany, Eur. Surg., 11, 1 Gage, 2005, Natural history of plague: perspectives from more than a century of research, Annu. Rev. Entomol., 50, 505, 10.1146/annurev.ento.50.071803.130337 Gage, 2008, Climate and vectorborne diseases, Am. J. Prev. Med., 35, 436, 10.1016/j.amepre.2008.08.030 Gerba, 1999, Virus survival and transplant in groundwater, J. Ind. Microbiol. Biotechnol., 22, 535, 10.1038/sj.jim.2900663 Githeko, 2001, Predicting malaria epidemics in the Kenyan highlands using climate data: a tool for decision makers, Global Chang. Hum. Health, 2, 54, 10.1023/A:1011943131643 Griffin, 2007, Atmospheric movement of microorganisms in clouds of desert dust and implications for human health, Clin. Microbiol. Rev., 20, 459, 10.1128/CMR.00039-06 Guill, 2001, The effects of Hurricane Mitch on a community in northern Honduras, Prehosp. Disaster Med., 16, 166, 10.1017/S1049023X00025929 Haines, 2004, Health effects of climate change, J. Am. Med. Assoc., 291, 99, 10.1001/jama.291.1.99 Halstead, 1996, Human factors in emerging infectious disease, EMHJ, 2, 21 Hamnett, 1999 Harvell, 2002, Climate warming and disease risks for terrestrial and marine biota, Science, 296, 2158, 10.1126/science.1063699 Hay, 2002, Climate change and the resurgence of malaria in the East African highlands, Nature, 415, 905, 10.1038/415905a Hjelle, 2000, Outbreak of hantavirus infection in the Four Corners region of the United States in the wake of the 1997–1998 El Nino-Southern Oscillation, J. Infect. Dis., 181, 1569, 10.1086/315467 Hofstra, 2011, Quantifying the impact of climate change on enteric waterborne pathogen concentrations in surface water, Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain., 3, 471, 10.1016/j.cosust.2011.10.006 Hoshen, 2004, A weather-driven model of malaria transmission, Malar. J., 3, 32, 10.1186/1475-2875-3-32 IPCC, 2001, Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report IPCC, 2007, Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability IPCC, 2012, Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation Islam, 2009, Effects of local climate variability on transmission dynamics of cholera in Matlab, Bangladesh, Trans. R. Soc. Trop. Med. Hyg., 103, 1165, 10.1016/j.trstmh.2009.04.016 IWGCCH, 2010, A human health perspective on climate change Jiang, 2014, Identifying risk factors of avian infectious disease at household level in Poyang Lake region, China, Prev. Vet. Med., 116, 151, 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2014.04.016 Jofre, 2010, Water-borne infectious disease outbreaks associated with water scarcity and rainfall events Jones, 2001, Campylobacters in water, sewage and the environment, J. Appl. Microbiol., 90, 68S, 10.1046/j.1365-2672.2001.01355.x Kan, 2011, Climate change and human health in China, Environ. Health Perspect., 119, A60, 10.1289/ehp.1003354 Khasnis, 2005, Global warming and infectious disease, Arch. Med. Res., 36, 689, 10.1016/j.arcmed.2005.03.041 Ko, 1999, Urban epidemic of severe leptospirosis in Brazil, Lancet, 354, 820, 10.1016/S0140-6736(99)80012-9 Kouadio, 2012, 95 Kovats, 2003, Niño and health, Lancet, 362, 1481, 10.1016/S0140-6736(03)14695-8 Kovats, 2000 Kuhn, 2005 Leal-Castellanos, 2003, Risk factors and the prevalence of leptospirosis infection in a rural community of Chiapas, Mexico, Epidemiol. Infect., 131, 1149, 10.1017/S0950268803001201 Li, 2014, Global spatiotemporal and genetic footprint of the H5N1 avian influenza virus, Int. J. Health Geogr., 13, 14, 10.1186/1476-072X-13-14 Lindsay, 2000, Effect of 1997–98 EI Niño on highland malaria in Tanzania, Lancet, 355, 989, 10.1016/S0140-6736(00)90022-9 Lloyd, 2007, Global diarrhoea morbidity, weather and climate, Clim. Res., 34, 119, 10.3354/cr034119 Lofgren, 2007, Influenza seasonality: underlying causes and modeling theories, J. Virol., 81, 5429, 10.1128/JVI.01680-06 Lowen, 2007, Influenza virus transmission is dependent on relative humidity and temperature, PLoS Pathog., 3, 1470, 10.1371/journal.ppat.0030151 Lubchenco, 2012, Predicting and managing extreme weather events, Phys. Today, 65, 31, 10.1063/PT.3.1475 MacKenzie, 1994, A massive outbreak in Milwaukee of Cryptosporidium infection transmitted through the public water supply, N. Engl. J. Med., 331, 161, 10.1056/NEJM199407213310304 Mackenzie, 2000, The Effect of Climate on the Incidence of Vector-borne Viral Diseases in Australia: The Potential Value of Seasonal Forecasting Martens, 1997, Sensitivity of malaria, schistosomiasis and dengue to global warming, Clim. Chang., 35, 145, 10.1023/A:1005365413932 McMichael, 1996 Mellor, 2000, Climatic and geographic influences on arboviral infections and vectors, Rev. Sci. Tech., 19, 41, 10.20506/rst.19.1.1211 Nicholls, 1993, Niño-Southern Oscillation and vector-borne disease, Lancet, 342, 1284, 10.1016/0140-6736(93)92368-4 Nielsen, 2002, Lymphatic filariasis in Lower Shire, southern Malawi, Trans. R. Soc. Trop. Med. Hyg., 96, 133, 10.1016/S0035-9203(02)90279-8 Obiri-Danso, 2001, The effects of UVB and temperature on the survival of natural populations and pure cultures of Campylobacter jejuni, Camp. coli, Camp. lari and urease-positive thermophilic campylobacters (UPTC) in surface waters, J. Appl. Microbiol., 90, 256, 10.1046/j.1365-2672.2001.01239.x Ostfeld, 2015, Climate change and Ixodes tick-borne diseases of humans, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. Ser. B Biol. Sci., 370 PAHO, 1998, Impact of Hurricane Mitch on Central America, Epidemiol. Bull., 19, 1 Pampana, 1969 Pan, 2003, The influence of flood disasters to the leptospirosis epidemic, Chin. J. Nat. Med., 5, 73 Patz, 1996, Global climate change and emerging infectious diseases, J. Am. Med. Assoc., 275, 217, 10.1001/jama.1996.03530270057032 Patz, 2003 Paz, 2006, The West Nile Virus outbreak in Israel (2000) from a new perspective: the regional impact of climate change, Int. J. Environ. Health Res., 16, 1, 10.1080/09603120500392400 Reacher, 2004, Health impacts of flooding in Lewes: a comparison of reported gastrointestinal and other illness and mental health in flooded and non-flooded households, Commun. Dis. Public Health, 7, 39 Reid, 2000 Reiter, 2001, Climate change and mosquito-borne disease, Environ. Health Perspect., 109, 141, 10.1289/ehp.01109s1141 Rodó, 2013, Climate change and infectious diseases: can we meet the needs for better prediction?, Clim. Chang., 118, 625, 10.1007/s10584-013-0744-1 Sanders, 1999, Increase of leptospirosis in dengue-negative patients after a hurricane in Puerto Rico in 1996, Am.J.Trop. Med. Hyg., 61, 399, 10.4269/ajtmh.1999.61.399 Sarkar, 2002, Population-based case–control investigation of risk factors for leptospirosis during an urban epidemic, Am.J.Trop. Med. Hyg., 66, 605, 10.4269/ajtmh.2002.66.605 Schlesinger, 2006, Transport of microorganisms to Israel during Saharan dust events, Aerobiologia, 22, 259, 10.1007/s10453-006-9038-7 Semenza, 2009, Climate change and infectious diseases in Europe, Lancet Infect. Dis., 9, 365, 10.1016/S1473-3099(09)70104-5 Senior, 2008, Climate change and infectious disease: a dangerous liaison?, Lancet Infect. Dis., 8, 92, 10.1016/S1473-3099(08)70008-2 Shah, 2004, Outbreak of dengue in Mumbai and predictive markers for dengue shock syndrome, J. Trop. Pediatr., 50, 301, 10.1093/tropej/50.5.301 Shaman, 2009, Absolute humidity modulates influenza survival, transmission, and seasonality, PNAS, 106, 3243, 10.1073/pnas.0806852106 Shaman, 2002, Drought-induced amplification of Saint Louis encephalitis virus, Florida, Emerg. Infect. Dis., 8, 575, 10.3201/eid0806.010417 Shanks, 2002, Meteorologic influences on Plasmodium falciparum malaria in the highland tea estates of Kericho, western Kenya, Emerg. Infect. Dis., 8, 1404, 10.3201/eid0812.020077 Shultz, 2005, Epidemiology of tropical cyclones: the dynamics of disaster, disease, and development, Epidemiol. Rev., 27, 21, 10.1093/epirev/mxi011 Stenseth, 2015, Testing for effects of climate change on competitive relationships and coexistence between two bird species, Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci., 282, 20141958, 10.1098/rspb.2014.1958 Thomson, 2006, Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles, Nature, 439, 576, 10.1038/nature04503 Thu., 1998, The effect of temperature and humidity on dengue virus propagation in Aedes aegypti mosquitos. Southeast Asian, J. Trop. Med. Pub. Health, 29, 280 Tian, 2015, How environmental conditions impact mosquito ecology and Japanese encephalitis: an eco-epidemiological approach, Environ. Int., 79, 17, 10.1016/j.envint.2015.03.002 Tian, 2015, Changes in rodent abundance and weather conditions potentially drive Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome outbreaks in Xi'an, China, 2005–2012, PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis., 9, 1, 10.1371/journal.pntd.0003530 Tian, 2015, Avian influenza H5N1 viral and bird migration networks in Asia, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 112, 172, 10.1073/pnas.1405216112 Toole, 1997, Communicable Diseases and Disease Control Tyagi, 2004, Breeding of dengue vector Aedes aegypti (Linnaeus) in rural Thar desert, North-western Rajasthan, India, Dengue Bull., 28, 220 UNEP, 2013 Viboud, 2004, Association of influenza epidemics with global climate variability, Eur. J. Epidemiol., 19, 1055, 10.1007/s10654-004-2450-9 Wang, 2013, Risk factors for infectious diseases in backyard poultry farms in the Poyang lake area, China, PLoS One, 8 Wang, 2010, Dry weather induces outbreaks of human West Nile virus infections, BMC Infect. Dis., 10, 38, 10.1186/1471-2334-10-38 Wang, 2014, Serological evidence of H7, H5 and H9 avian influenza virus co-infection among herons in a city park in Jiangxi, China, Sci. Rep., 4, 6345, 10.1038/srep06345 Watson, 1997, The Regional Impacts of Climate Change: An Assessment of Vulnerability Wei, 2012, Developed and developing world responsibilities for historical climate change and CO2 mitigation, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 109, 12911, 10.1073/pnas.1203282109 Weng, 2013, Use of earth observation data for applications in public health, Geocarto Int., 1 Wilby, 2005, Climate change impacts and adaptation: a science agenda for the Environment Agency of England and Wales, Weather, 60, 206, 10.1256/wea.29.05 Willox, 2015, Examining relationships between climate change and mental health in the Circumpolar North, Reg. Environ. Chang., 15, 169, 10.1007/s10113-014-0630-z Woodruff, 1990, Disease surveillance and control after a flood: Khartoum, Sudan, 1988, Disasters, 14, 151, 10.1111/j.1467-7717.1990.tb01056.x Wu, 2014, Impact of global change on transmission of human infectious diseases, Sci. China Earth Sci., 57, 189, 10.1007/s11430-013-4635-0 Xiao, 2014, Animal reservoir, natural and socioeconomic variations and the transmission of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome in Chenzhou, China, 2006–2010, PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis., 8, e2615, 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002615 Xu, 2014, Climatological and geographical impacts on global pandemic of influenza A (H1N1) Yang, 2013, The role of satellite remote sensing in climate change studies, Nat. Clim. Chang., 3, 875, 10.1038/nclimate1908 Yu, 2015, Hantavirus infection in rodents and haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Shaanxi Province, China, 1984–2012, Epidemiol. Infect., 143, 405, 10.1017/S0950268814001009 Zell, 2004, Global climate change and the emergence/re-emergence of infectious diseases, Int. J. Med. Microbiol. NLM, 293, 16 Zhang, 2014, Human infection with Influenza Virus A(H10N8) from live poultry markets, China, Emerg. Infect. Dis., 20, 2076, 10.3201/eid2012.140911 Zhou, 2010, Effects of low temperature on the schistosome-transmitting snail Oncomelania hupensis and the implications of global climate change, Molluscan Res., 30, 102 Zhu, 2001, Extreme weather events and their probabilistic prediction by the NCEP ensemble forecast system