Self-Perceived Infertility is Not Always Associated with Having Fewer Children: Evidence from German Panel Data

Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 40 - Trang 1-26 - 2024
Arthur L. Greil1, Desmond D. Wallace1, Jasmin Passet-Wittig2, Julia McQuillan3, Martin Bujard2, Michele H. Lowry1
1Division of Social Sciences, Alfred University, Alfred, USA
2Family and Fertility Research Area, Federal Institute for Population Research, Wiesbaden, Germany
3Department of Sociology, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, USA

Tóm tắt

Proximate determinants theory considers infertility rates a risk factor for lower fertility rates, but the assumption that people who perceive infertility will have fewer children has not been tested. This study investigates the association of self-perceived infertility with the number of children people have had after 11 years. Infertility implies reduced chances of conception (rather than sterility), but people do not always consistently perceive infertility over time. If people who think they are infertile at one time can later report no infertility, then does self-perceived infertility necessarily lead to having fewer children? We answer this question by analyzing 11 waves of the German family panel (pairfam) data using negative binomial growth curve models for eight core demographic subgroups created by combinations of gender (men/women), parity (0/1+children), and initial age groups (25–27 and 35–37). Those who repeatedly perceived themselves to be infertile (three times or more) had fewer children than those who perceived themselves to be infertile once or twice in only four of eight gender by initial parity by age groups. Only in four groups did people who perceived themselves to be infertile once or twice have fewer children than those who never perceived themselves to be infertile in both the unadjusted and adjusted models. Thus, self-perceived infertility does not necessarily result in fewer children. Rather, the association depends upon life course context and gender.

Tài liệu tham khảo

Abbey, A., Andrews, F. M., & Halman, L. J. (1994). Psychological predictors of life quality: How are they affected by infertility, gender, and parenthood? Journal of Family Issues, 15, 253–271. https://doi.org/10.1177/0192513X94015002006 Allison, P. D. (2009). Fixed effects regression analysis (2nd ed.). Sage. Allison, P. D. (2014). Event history and survival analysis. Sage. Bauerschuster, S., Hener, T., & Rainer, H. (2016). Children of a (policy) revolution: The introduction of universal child care and its effect on fertility. Journal of the European Economic Association, 14, 975–1005. https://doi.org/10.1111/jeea.12158 Beaujouan, É., Reimondos, A., Gray, E., Evans, A., & Sobotka, T. (2019). Declining realization of fertility intentions with age. Human Reproduction, 34, 1906–1914. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrepg/dez150 Bergsvik, J., Fauske, A., & Hart, R. K. (2020). Effects of policy on fertility: A systematic review of (quasi)experiments. Discussion Papers No. 922. Statistics Norway. https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ssb:dispap:922 Bongaarts, J. (1978). A framework for analyzing the proximate determinants of fertility. Population and Development Review, 4, 105–132. Bongaarts, J., & Feeney, G. (1998). On the quantum and tempo of fertility. Population and Development Review, 24, 271–291. Breyer, B. N., Mith, J. F., Shindel, A. W., Sharlip, I. D., & Eisenberg, M. L. (2010). The impact of infertility on family size in the USA: Data from the national survey of family growth. Human Reproduction, 25, 2360–2365. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/deq152 Britton, L. E., Judge-Golden, C. P., Wolgemuth, T. E., Zhao, X., Mor, M. K., Callegari, L. S., & Borrero, S. (2019). Associations between perceived susceptibility to pregnancy and contraceptive use in a national sample of women veterans. Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health, 51(4), 211–218. https://doi.org/10.1363/psrh.12122 Brüderl, J., Hank, K., Huinink, J., Nauck, B., Neyer, F. J., Walper, S., Alt, P., Buhr, P., Castiglioni, L., Finn, C., & Hajek, K. (2016). The German family panel (pairfam). GESIS Data Archive, Cologne. https://doi.org/10.4232/pairfam.5678.10.0.0 Bujard, M. (2011). Family policy and demographic effects: The case of Germany. Demográfia English Edition, 54, 56–78. Burke, P. J., & Stets, J. E. (2009). Identity theory. Oxford University Press. Chandra, A., Copen, C. E., & Stephen, E. H. (2014). Infertility and impaired fecundity in the United States, 1982–2010: Data from the National Survey of Family Growth. No. 2013. US Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Dik, J., Habbema, F., Eijkmanns, J. C., Nargund, G., Beets, G., Leridon, H., & te Velde, E. R. (2009). The effect of in vitro fertilization in western countries. Human Reproduction, 6, 1414–1419. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/dep004 Gemmill, A. (2018). Perceived subfecundity and contraceptive use among young adult US women. Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health, 50, 119–127. https://doi.org/10.1363/psrh.12072 Gemmill, A., & Cowan, S. K. (2021). Low perceived susceptibility to pregnancy as a reason for contraceptive nonuse among women with unintended births. Demographic Research, 44, 759–774. https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2021.44.31 Gemmill, A., Sedlander, E., & Bornstein, M. (2021). Variation in self-perceived fecundity among young adult US women. Women’s Health Issues, 31, 31–39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.whi.2020.07.002 Goffman, E. (1959). The presentation of self in everyday life. Anchor Books. Goodchild, S. (2018). Public reaction to fertility awareness campaigns. Focus on Reproduction, July 4. https://www.focusonreproduction.eu/article/ESHRE-Meetings-FA Greil, A. L., Johnson, K. M., McQuillan, J., Shreffler, K. M., Leyser-Whalen, O., & Lowry, M. (2020). Does self-identifying as having a health problem precede medical contact? The case of infertility. Sociological Focus, 53, 236–253. https://doi.org/10.1080/00380237.2020.1782792 Greil, A. L., Leyser-Whalen, O., McQuillan, J., Shreffler, K. M., Lowry, M., & Johnson, K. M. (2014). Patterns of seeing a doctor and self-labelling as infertile: A longitudinal analysis of a representative sample of US women. Sociology of Health and Illness, 32, 140–162. Habbema, J. D. F., Eijkemans, M. J., Leridon, H., & te Velde, E. R. (2015). Realizing a desired family size: When should couples start? Human Reproduction, 30, 2215–2221. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/dev148] Habbema, J. D. F., Eijkemans, M. J., Nargund, G., Beets, G., Leridon, H., & Te Velde, E. R. (2009). The effect of in vitro fertilization on birth rates in western countries. Human Reproduction, 24, 1414–1419. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/dep004 Hoorens, S., Gallo, F., Cave, J. A. K., & Grant, J. C. (2007). Can assisted reproductive technologies help to offset population aging? An assessment of the demographic impact of ART in Demark and UK. Human Reproduction, 22, 2471–2475. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/dem181 Huinink, J., Brüderl, J., Nauck, B., Walper, S., Castiglioni, L., & Feldhaus, M. (2011). Panel analysis of intimate relationships and family dynamics (pairfam): Conceptual framework and design. Journal of Family Research, 23, 77–101. Huinink, J., & Kohli, M. (2014). A life-course approach to fertility. Demographic Research, 30, 1293–1326. https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2014.30.45 Imai, K., King, G., & Lau, O. (2008). Toward a common framework for statistical analysis and development. Journal of Computational Graphics and Statistics, 17, 892–913. https://doi.org/10.1198/106186008X384898 Johnson, K. M., Greil, A. L., Shreffler, K. M., & McQuillan, J. (2019). Fertility and infertility: Toward an integrative research agenda. Population Research and Policy Review. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-018-9476-2 Johnson-Hanks, J., Bachrach, C., Morgan, S. P., & Kohler, H.-P. (2011). Understanding family change and variation: Structure, conjuncture, and action. Springer Verlag. Kreyenfeld, M., & Konietzka, D. (2017). Analyzing childlessness. In M. Kreyenfeld & D. Konietzka (Eds.), Childlessness in Europe: Contexts, causes, and consequences (pp. 3–15). Springer. Lazzari, E., Gray, E., & Baffour, B. (2022). A dyadic approach to the study of perceived infertility and contraceptive use. Demographic Research, 47, 1–36. https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes2022.47.1 Lazzari, E., Gray, E., & Chambers, G. (2021). The contribution of assisted reproductive technology to fertility rates and parity transition: An analysis of Australian data. Demographic Research, 45, 1081–1096. https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2021.45.35 Lazzari, E., Potančoková, M., Sobotka, T., Gray, E., & Chambers, G. M. (2023). Projecting the contribution of assisted reproductive technology to completed cohort fertility. Population Research and Policy Review, 42, 6. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-023-09765-3 Leridon, H. (2004). Can assisted reproductive technology compensate for the natural decline in fertility with age? A model assessment. Human Reproduction, 19, 1548–1553. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/deh304 Leridon, H. (2008). A new estimate of permanent sterility by age: Sterility defined as the inability to conceive. Population Studies, 62, 15–24. https://doi.org/10.1080/00324720701804207 Leridon, H. (2017). Biological effects of first birth postponement and assisted reproductive technology on completed fertility. Population, 72, 445–472. https://doi.org/10.3917/pope.1703.0445 Liu, K., & Case, A. (2011). Advanced reproductive age and fertility. Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology Canada, 33, 1165–1175. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1701-2163(16)35087-3 Loftus, J. (2009). “Oh, no, I’m not infertile”: Culture, support groups, and the infertile identity. Sociological Focus, 42, 394–415. https://doi.org/10.1080/00380237.2009.10571364 Loftus, J., & Andriot, A. L. (2012). “That’s what makes a woman”: Infertility and coping with a failed life course transition. Sociological Spectrum, 32, 226–243. https://doi.org/10.1080/02732173.2012.663711 Lowry, M. H., Greil, A. L., McQuillan, J., Burch, A., & Shreffler, K. M. (2020). Medically defined infertility versus self-perceived fertility problem: Implications of survey wording for assessing associations with depressive symptoms. Women’s Health Reports. https://doi.org/10.1089/whr.2020.0032 Machado, M. P., & Danto-de-Gadeano, A. (2015). Coverage of Infertility treatment and fertility outcomes. SERIES, 6, 407–439. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13209-015-0135-0 Manzi, C., Vignoles, V., & Regalia, C. (2010). Accommodating a new identity: Possible selves, identity change and well-being across two life transitions. European Journal of Social Psychology, 40, 970–984. https://doi.org/10.1002/ejsp.669 McCall, G. J., & Simmons, J. L. (1978). Identities in interaction: An examination of human associations in everyday life. Free Press. McQuillan, J., Passet-Wittig, J., Greil, A. L., & Bujard, M. (2022). Is perceived inability to procreate associated with life satisfaction? Evidence from a German panel study. Reproductive Biomedicine and Society Online, 14, 87–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rbms.2021.09.004 Mead, G. H. (1934). Mind, self, and society. University of Chicago Press. Mills, M., Rindfuss, R. R., McDonald, P., & Te Velde, E. P. (2011). Why do people postpone parenthood? Reasons and social policy incentives. Human Reproduction Update, 17, 848–860. https://doi.org/10.1093/humupd/dmr026 Morgan, S. P., & Rackin, H. (2010). The correspondence between fertility intentions and behavior in the United States. Population and Development Review, 36, 91–118. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00319.x Nakagawa, H. M. (2018). Fertility awareness campaign. JBRA Assisted Reproduction, 22, 284–285. https://doi.org/10.5935/1518-0557.20180074 Nauck, B. (2014). Value of children and fertility: Results from a cross-cultural comparative survey in eighteen areas in Asia, Africa, Europe and America. Advances in Life Course Research, 21, 135–148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.alcr.2014.01.004 Ní Bhrolcháin, M., & Beaujouan, E. (2012). Fertility postponement is largely due to rising educational enrolment. Population Studies, 66, 311–327. https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2012.697569 OECD. (2019). SF2.3: Age of mothers at childbirth and age-specific fertility. OECD Data Base. https://www.oecd.org/els/soc/sf_2_3_age_mothers_childbirth.pdf OECD. (2021), Fertility rates (indicator). https://doi.org/10.1787/8272fb01-en. Accessed 09 Sept 2021. Ohinata, A. (2011). Did the U.S. fertility mandates affect the time of first birth? Center Working Papers Series, No. 2011–102. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1924169. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1924169 Passet-Wittig, J., Bujard, J., McQuillan, J., & Greil, A. L. (2020). Is perception of inability to procreate a temporal phenomenon? A longitudinal exploration of changes and determinants among women and men of reproductive age in Germany. Advances in Life Course Research. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.alcr.2020.100339 Passet-Wittig, J., & Bujard, M. (2021). Medically assisted reproduction in developed countries: Overview and societal challenges. In N. F. Schneider, M. Kreyenfeld, & Michaela (Eds.), Research handbook on the sociology of the family (pp. 417–438). Edward Elgar. Passet-Wittig, J., Schneider, N. F., Letzel, S., Schuhrke, B., Seufert, R., Zier, U., & Münster, E. (2016). Prävalenz von Infertilität und Nutzung der Reproduktionsmedizin in Deutschland [Prevalence of infertility and use of reproductive medicine in Germany]. Journal für Reproduktionsmedizin und Endokrinologie/Journal of Reproductive Medicine and Endocrinology, 13, 80–90. Piangiani, G. (2016). Italy’s “Fertility Day” call to make babies arouses anger, not ardor. New York Times, September 13. https://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/14/world/europe/italy-births-fertility-europe.html Polis, C. B., & Zabin, L. S. (2012). Missed conceptions or misconceptions: Perceived infertility among unmarried young adults in the United States. Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health, 44, 30–38. https://doi.org/10.1363/4403012 Schmidt, L. (2007). Effects of insurance mandates on fertility. Journal of Health Economics, 26, 431–436. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2006.10.012 Schmidt, L., Sobotka, T., Bentzen, J. G., Nyboe Andersen, A., ESHRE Reproduction and Society Task Force. (2012). Demographic and medical consequences of the postponement of parenthood. Human Reproduction Update, 18, 29–43. https://doi.org/10.1093/humupd/dmr040 Shreffler, K. M., Tiemeyer, S., Dorius, C., Spierling, T., Greil, A. L., & McQuillan, J. (2016). Infertility and fertility intentions, desires, and outcomes among U.S. women. Demographic Research, 35, 1147–1168. Sobotka, T. (2004). Postponement of childbearing and low fertility in Europe. Thesis, University of Groningen. https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/postponement-of-childbearing-and-low-fertility-in-europe Sobotka, T., Hansen, M. A., Jensen, T. K., Pederson, A. T., & Skakkebæk, N. E. (2008). The contribution of assisted reproduction to completed fertility: An analysis of Danish data. Population and Development Review, 34, 79–101. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2008.00206.x te Velde, E., Habbema, D., Leridon, H., & Eijkemans, M. (2012). The effect of postponement of first motherhood on permanent involuntary childlessness and total fertility rate in six European countries since the 1970s. Human Reproduction, 27, 1179–1183. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/der455 Testa, M. R. (2012). Family sizes in Europe: Evidence from the 2011 Eurobarometer Survey. European Demographic Research Paper, 12–02. https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/Institute/VID/PDF/Publications/EDRP/edrp_2012_02.pdf Thomas, W. I., & Thomas, D. S. (1928). The child in America: Behavior problems and programs. Knopf. Tierney, K. (2022). The future of assisted reproductive technology live births in the United States. Population Research and Policy Review, 41, 2289–2309. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-022-09731-5 White, L., McQuillan, J., Greil, A. L., & Johnson, D. R. (2006). Infertility: Testing a helpseeking model. Social Science and Medicine, 62, 1031–1041. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2005.11.012 Zegers-Hochschild, F., Adamson, G. D., Dyer, S., Racowsky, C., De Mouzon, J., Rienzi, L., Sunde, A., Schmidt, L., Cooke, I. D., Simpson, J. L., & van der Poel, S. (2017). The international glossary on infertility and fertility care, 2017. Human Reproduction, 32, 1786–1801. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/dex234