A stochastic framework for uncertainty analysis in electric power transmission systems with wind generation
Tài liệu tham khảo
Kroger, 2011
Billinton, 1994, 229
Ivey, 1999
NERC North American Electric Reliability Corporation, 2009
Xu, 2013, Optimal planning for wind power capacity in an electric power system, Renew Energy, 53, 280, 10.1016/j.renene.2012.11.015
Hart, 2011, A Monte Carlo approach to generator portfolio planning and carbon emissions assessments of systems with large penetrations of variable renewables, Renew Energy, 36, 2278, 10.1016/j.renene.2011.01.015
Li, 2012, Uncertainty analysis of the adequacy assessment model of a distributed generation system, Renew Energy, 41, 235, 10.1016/j.renene.2011.10.025
Abdullah, 2013, Probabilistic load flow incorporating correlation between time-varying electricity demand and renewable power generation, Renew Energy, 55, 532, 10.1016/j.renene.2013.01.010
Ding, 2011, Long-term reserve expansion of power systems with high wind power penetration using universal generating function methods, IEEE Trans Power Syst, 26, 766, 10.1109/TPWRS.2010.2054841
Grigg, 1999, The IEEE reliability test System-1996. A report prepared by the reliability test system Task Force of the application of probability methods subcommittee, IEEE Trans Power Syst, 14, 1010, 10.1109/59.780914
Dobson, 2001, An initial model for complex dynamics in electric power systems blackouts
Anghel, 2007, Stochastic model for power grid dynamics
Giorsetto, 1983, Development of a new procedure for reliability modeling of wind turbine generators, IEEE Transaction Power Apparatus Syst, PAS-102
Wood, 1996
Grigsby, 2007
Carslaw, 1959
Ackermann, 2005
Billington R, Huang D. Aleatory and epistemic uncertainty considerations in power system reliability evaluation, probabilistic methods applied to power systems. In: PMAPS '08. Proceedings of the 10th international conference on, 25–29 May 2008.
Hoffman, 1994, Propagation of uncertainty in risk assessments: the need to distinguish between uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and uncertainty due to variability, Risk Anal, 14, 707, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1994.tb00281.x
Apostolakis, 1990, The concept of probability in safety assessments of technological systems, Science, 250, 1359, 10.1126/science.2255906
Matos, 2008, The fuzzy power flow revisited, IEEE Trans Power Syst, 23, 213, 10.1109/TPWRS.2007.913686
Gouveia, 2009, Symmetric ac fuzzy power flow model, Eur J Oper Res, 197, 1012, 10.1016/j.ejor.2007.12.044
Billinton, 2008, Adequacy assessment of composite power generation and transmission systems with wind energy, Int J Reliability Saf, 2, 79, 10.1504/IJRS.2008.020774
Karki, 2010, Incorporating wind power in generating system reliability evaluation, Int J Syst Assurance Engi Manag, 2, 120
Johnson, 2006
Safari, 2010, A statistical investigation of wind characteristics and wind energy potential based on the Weibull and Rayleigh models in Rwanda, Renew Energy, vol. 35, 2874, 10.1016/j.renene.2010.04.032
Foley, 2012, Current methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation, Renew Energy, 37, 1, 10.1016/j.renene.2011.05.033
Slootweg, 2002, Modeling of large wind farms in power system simulations, IEEE Proc.-c, Power Eng, 503
Thiringer, 1993, Control by variable rotor speed of a fixed-pitch wind turbine operating in a wide speed range, IEEE Transaction Energy Convers, 8, 520, 10.1109/60.257068
Jin T, Tian Z. Uncertainty analysis for wind energy production with dynamic power curves. In: IEEE 11th international conference on probabilistic methods applied to power systems (PMAPS), San Marcos, TX, USA, 14–17 June 2010.
Billinton, 2009, Composite system adequacy assessment incorporating large scale wind energy conversion systems, considering wind speed correlation, IEEE Transaction Power Syst, 24