Highway accident severities and the mixed logit model: An exploratory empirical analysis

Accident Analysis & Prevention - Tập 40 - Trang 260-266 - 2008
John C. Milton1, Venky N. Shankar2, Fred L. Mannering3
1Washington State Department of Transportation, Urban Corridors, PO Box 47330, Olympia, WA 98504, United States
2Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pennsylvania State University, 226C Sackett Building, University Park, PA 16802, United States
3School of Civil Engineering, 550 Stadium Mall Drive, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907-2051, United States

Tài liệu tham khảo

Abdel-Aty, 2003, Analysis of driver injury severity levels at multiple locations using ordered probit models, J. Safety Res., 34, 597, 10.1016/j.jsr.2003.05.009 Bhat, 2001, Quasi-random maximum simulated likelihood estimation of the mixed multinomial logit model, Transport. Res. Part B, 17, 677, 10.1016/S0191-2615(00)00014-X Bhat, 2003, Simulation estimation of mixed discrete choice models using randomized and scrambled Halton sequences, Transport. Res. Part B, 37, 837, 10.1016/S0191-2615(02)00090-5 Bhat, 1998, A comparison of two alternate behavioral choice mechanisms for household auto ownership decisions, Transport. Res. Part B, 32, 61, 10.1016/S0191-2615(97)00014-3 Boersch-Supan, 1993, Smooth unbiased multivariate probability simulators for maximum likelihood estimation of limited dependent variable models, J. Econom., 58, 347, 10.1016/0304-4076(93)90049-B Brownstone, 1999, Forecasting new product penetration with flexible substitution patterns, J. Econom., 89, 109, 10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00057-8 Chang, 1999, Analysis of injury severity and vehicle occupancy in truck- and non-truck-involved accidents, Accident Anal. Prevent., 31, 579, 10.1016/S0001-4575(99)00014-7 Carson, 2001, The effect of ice warning signs on accident frequencies and severities, Accident Anal. Prevent., 33, 99, 10.1016/S0001-4575(00)00020-8 Duncan, 1998, Applying the ordered probit model to injury severity in truck-passenger car rear-end collisions, Transport. Res. Rec., 1635, 63, 10.3141/1635-09 Eluru, 2007, A joint econometric analysis of seat belt use and crash-related injury severity, Accident Anal. Prevent., 39, 1037, 10.1016/j.aap.2007.02.001 Geweke, 1994, Alternative computational approaches to inference in the multinomial probit model, Rev. Econom. Stat., 76, 609, 10.2307/2109766 Islam, 2006, Driver aging and its effect on male and female single-vehicle accident injuries: some additional evidence, J. Safety Res., 37, 267, 10.1016/j.jsr.2006.04.003 Khattak, 2001, Injury severity in multi-vehicle rear-end crashes, Transport. Res. Rec., 1746, 59, 10.3141/1746-08 Khattak, 2002, Factors related to more severe older driver traffic crash injuries, J. Transport. Eng., 128, 243, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(2002)128:3(243) Khorashadi, 2005, Differences in rural and urban driver-injury severities in accidents involving large trucks: an exploratory analysis, Accident Anal. Prevent., 37, 910, 10.1016/j.aap.2005.04.009 Kockelman, 2002, Driver injury severity: an application of ordered probit models, Accident Anal. Prevent., 34, 313, 10.1016/S0001-4575(01)00028-8 Kweon, 2003, Overall injury risk to different drivers: combining exposure, frequency, and severity models, Accident Anal. Prevent., 35, 414 Lee, 2002, Impact of roadside features on the frequency and severity of run-off-roadway accidents: an empirical analysis, Accident Anal. Prevent., 34, 149, 10.1016/S0001-4575(01)00009-4 Lui, 1988, An application of a conditional logistic regression to study the effects of safety belts, principal impact points, and car weights on drivers’ fatalities, J. Safety Res., 19, 197, 10.1016/0022-4375(88)90024-2 Mannering, 2005 McFadden, 1981, Econometric models of probabilistic choice McFadden, 1994, Estimation by simulation, Rev. Econ. Stat., 76, 591, 10.2307/2109765 McFadden, 2000, Mixed MNL models for discrete response, J. Appl. Econom., 15, 447, 10.1002/1099-1255(200009/10)15:5<447::AID-JAE570>3.0.CO;2-1 Milton, 1998, The relationship among highway geometrics, traffic-related elements and motor vehicle accident frequencies, Transportation, 25, 395, 10.1023/A:1005095725001 O’Donnell, 1996, Predicting the severity of motor vehicle accident injuries using models of ordered multiple choice, Accident Anal. Prevent., 28, 739, 10.1016/S0001-4575(96)00050-4 Poch, 1996, Negative binomial analysis of intersection-accident frequencies, J. Transport. Eng., 122, 105, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(1996)122:2(105) Renski, 1999, Impact of speed limit increases on crash injury severity: analysis of single-vehicle crashes on North Carolina interstate highways, Transport. Res. Rec., 1665, 100, 10.3141/1665-14 Revelt, 1997, Mixed logit with repeated choices: households’ choice of appliance efficiency level, Rev. Econ. Stat., 80, 647, 10.1162/003465398557735 Revelt, D., Train, K., 1999. Customer specific taste parameters and mixed logit. Working Paper, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Economics. Saccomanno, 1996, Reliability of statistical road accident injury severity models, Transport. Res. Rec., 1542, 14, 10.3141/1542-03 Savolainen, 2007, Probabilistic models of motorcyclists’ injury severities in single- and multi-vehicle crashes, Accident Anal. Prevent., 39, 955, 10.1016/j.aap.2006.12.016 Shankar, 1995, Effect of roadway geometrics and environmental factors on rural accident frequencies, Accident Anal. Prevent., 27, 371, 10.1016/0001-4575(94)00078-Z Shankar, 1996, An exploratory multinomial logit analysis of single-vehicle motorcycle accident severity, J. Safety Res., 27, 183, 10.1016/0022-4375(96)00010-2 Shankar, 1996, Statistical analysis of accident severity on rural freeways, Accident Anal. Prevent., 28, 391, 10.1016/0001-4575(96)00009-7 Shankar, 1997, Modeling accident frequencies as zero-altered probability processes: an empirical inquiry, Accident Anal. Prevent., 29, 829, 10.1016/S0001-4575(97)00052-3 Stern, 1997, Simulation-based estimation, J. Econ. Literature, 35, 2006 Train, 1997, Mixed logit models for recreation demand Train, K., 1999. Halton sequences for mixed logit. Working Paper, University of California Berkley, Department of Economics. Train, 2003 Ulfarsson, 2004, Differences in male and female injury severities in sport-utility vehicle, minivan, pickup and passenger car accidents, Accident Anal. Prevent., 36, 135, 10.1016/S0001-4575(02)00135-5 Washington, S., Karlaftis, M., Mannering, F., 2003. Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis. Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, FL. Winston, 2006, An exploration of the offset hypothesis using disaggregate data: the case of airbags and antilock brakes, J. Risk Uncertainty, 32, 83, 10.1007/s11166-006-8288-7 Yamamoto, 2004, Bivariate ordered-response probit model of driver's and passenger's injury severities in collisions with fixed object, Accident Anal. Prevent., 36, 869, 10.1016/j.aap.2003.09.002 Yau, 2004, Risk factors affecting the severity of single vehicle traffic accidents in Hong Kong, Accident Anal. Prevent., 36, 333, 10.1016/S0001-4575(03)00012-5