Spread of COVID-19 in China: analysis from a city-based epidemic and mobility model
Tài liệu tham khảo
Agaard-Hansen, 2010, Population movement: A key factor in the epidemiology of neglected tropical diseases, Tropical Medicine and International Health, 15, 1281, 10.1111/j.1365-3156.2010.02629.x
Anderson, 1992
Arino, 2007, Quarantine in a multi-species epidemic model with spatial dynamics, Mathematical Biosciences, 206, 46, 10.1016/j.mbs.2005.09.002
Balcan, 2010, Modeling the spatial spread of infectious diseases: The global epidemic and mobility computational model, Journal of Computational Science, 1, 132, 10.1016/j.jocs.2010.07.002
Brockmann, 2013, The hidden geometry of complex, network-driven contagion phenomena, Science, 342, 1337, 10.1126/science.1245200
Chinazzi, 2020, The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, Science, 368, 395, 10.1126/science.aba9757
Colizza, 2007, Reaction-diffusion processes and metapopulation models in heterogeneous networks, Nature Physics, 3, 276, 10.1038/nphys560
Coronaviridae Study Group of the International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses, 2020, The species severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus: Classifying 2019-nCoV and naming it SARS-CoV-2, Nature Microbiology, 5, 536, 10.1038/s41564-020-0695-z
Dai, 2011, Racial/ethnic and socioeconomic disparities in urban green space accessibility: Where to intervene?, Landscape and Urban Planning, 102, 234, 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2011.05.002
Elizabeth, 2007, NetLogo, a multi-agent simulation environment, Artificial Life, 13, 303, 10.1162/artl.2007.13.3.303
Erdős, 1961, On the strength of connectedness of a random graph, Acta Mathematica Hungarica, 12, 261
Eubank, 2004, Modelling disease outbreaks in realistic urban social networks, Nature, 429, 180, 10.1038/nature02541
Ferguson, 2005, Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia, Nature, 437, 209, 10.1038/nature04017
Gao, 2020, Visualising the expansion and spread of coronavirus disease 2019 by cartograms, Environment and Planning A, 52, 698, 10.1177/0308518X20910162
Gu, 2020, The inflection point about COVID-19 may have passed, Science Bulletin, 65, 865, 10.1016/j.scib.2020.02.025
Hu, 1935, The distribution of population in China, with statistics and maps, Acta Geographica Sinica, 02, 191
Jia, 2020, Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China, Nature, 582, 389, 10.1038/s41586-020-2284-y
Jiao, 2017, Impacts of high-speed rail lines on the city network in China, Journal of Transport Geography., 60, 257, 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2017.03.010
Jiao, 2014, Impacts on accessibility of China’s present and future HSR network, Journal of Transport Geography, 40, 123, 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2014.07.004
Kermack, 1927, A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics, Proceedings of The Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering, 115, 700
Khan, 2009, Spread of a novel influenza A (H1N1) virus via global airline transportation, The New England Journal of Medicine, 361, 212, 10.1056/NEJMc0904559
Kraemer, 2020, The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China, Science, 368, 493, 10.1126/science.abb4218
Lai, 2015, An early warning system for detecting H1N1 disease outbreak – A spatio-temporal approach, International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 29, 1251, 10.1080/13658816.2015.1030671
Lai, 2020, Effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions to contain COVID-19 in China, Nature
Merler, 2010, The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza, Proceedings. Biological Sciences, 277, 557, 10.1098/rspb.2009.1605
Murray, 1993
Paine, 2010, Transmissibility of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in New Zealand: Effective reproduction number and influence of age, ethnicity and importations, Euro Surveillance, 15, 9
Pan, 2019, Spatial pattern of population mobility among cities in China: Case study of the national day plus mid-autumn festival based on Tencent migration data, Cities, 94, 55, 10.1016/j.cities.2019.05.022
Prothero, 1963, Population mobility and trypanosomiasis in Africa, Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 28, 615
Read, 2020, Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: Early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic predictions, medRxiv
Schlagenhauf, 2014, Travel-associated infection presenting in Europe (2008–12): An analysis of EuroTravNet longitudinal, surveillance data, and evaluation of the effect of the pre-travel consultation, The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 15, 263
Shi, 2020, Should internal migrants be held accountable for spreading COVID-19?, Environment and Planning A, 52, 695, 10.1177/0308518X20916764
Small, 2005, Small world and scale free model of transmission of SARS, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 15, 1745, 10.1142/S0218127405012776
Szakolczai, 1969, Increasing or decreasing returns to scale in the constant elasticity of substitution production function, Review of Economics & Statistics, 51, 84, 10.2307/1926951
Tang, 2009, Epidemic spreading by objective traveling, Europhysics Letters, 87, 18005, 10.1209/0295-5075/87/18005
Tizzoni, 2012, Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: Case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm, BMC Medicine, 10, 165, 10.1186/1741-7015-10-165
Wang, 2014, Spatial epidemiology of networked metapopulation: An overview, Chinese Science Bulletin, 59, 3511, 10.1007/s11434-014-0499-8
Wei, 2018, The rich-club phenomenon of China's population flow network during the country's spring festival, Applied Geography, 96, 77, 10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.05.009
Wu, 2020, Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: A modelling study, The Lancet, 395, 689, 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30260-9
Xu, 2020, Epidemiological data from the COVID-19 outbreak, real-time case information, Scientific Data, 7, 1, 10.1038/s41597-020-0448-0
Zhang, 2009, Dynamical behaviour of an epidemic on complex networks with population mobility, Chinese Physics B, 18, 3639, 10.1088/1674-1056/18/9/006
Zhang, 2015, Internal migration and the health of the returned population: A nationally representative study of China, BMC Public Health, 15, 719, 10.1186/s12889-015-2074-x
Zhang, 2020, Exploring the roles of high-speed train, air and coach services in the spread of COVID-19 in China, Transport Policy, 10.1016/j.tranpol.2020.05.012
Zhao, 2020, Quantifying the association between domestic travel and the exportation of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases from Wuhan, China in 2020: a correlational analysis, Journal of Travel Medicine, 27, 10.1093/jtm/taaa022