The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff

Abdella, 1996, Parameterization of the surface-layer exchange coefficients for atmospheric models, B, Layer Met., 80, 223, 10.1007/BF00119544 Arora, 2001, Assessment of simulated water balance for continental-scale river basins in an AMIP 2 simulation, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 14827, 10.1029/2000JD900698 Arora, 2001, Streamflow simulations for continental scale river basins in a global atmospheric general circulation model, Adv. Water Resour., 24, 775, 10.1016/S0309-1708(00)00078-6 Arora, V.K., Boer, G.J., 2000. The effects of simulated climate change on the hydrology of major river basins, CAS/JSC WGNE Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling, Report No. 30, February 2000, WMO/TD No. 987, 7.1–7.2. Arora, V.K., Boer, G.J., 2002. A GCM-based assessment of simulated global moisture budget and the role of land-surface moisture reservoirs in processing precipitation, accepted, Climate Dynamics. Arora, 2001, Effects of simulated climate change on the hydrology of major river basins, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 3335, 10.1029/2000JD900620 Avila, 1996, Climate change implications for streamflow and streamwater chemistry in a Mediterranean catchment, J. Hydrol., 177, 99, 10.1016/0022-1694(95)02789-0 Boer, G.J., 1995. A hybrid moisture variable suitable for spectral GCMs, in Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling, WGNE Report No. 21, WMO/TD-No. 665, World Meteorological Organisation, Geneva. Boer, 2000, A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: experimental design and comparison with the instrumental record for the twentieth century, Clim. Dyn., 16, 405, 10.1007/s003820050337 Boer, 2000, A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: projected climate to the twenty-first century, Clim. Dyn., 16, 427, 10.1007/s003820050338 Budyko, 1948 Budyko, 1951, On climatic factors of runoff, Prob. Fiz. Geogr., 16 Budyko, 1974 Budyko, 1961, The determination of evaporation from the land surface, Izv. Ak. Nauk SSR, Se. Geog., 6, 3 Chiew, 1995, Simulation of the impacts of climate change on runoff and soil moisture in Australian catchments, J. Hydrol., 167, 121, 10.1016/0022-1694(94)02649-V Dooge, 1992, Sensitivity of runoff to climate change: a Hortonian approach, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 73, 2013, 10.1175/1520-0477(1992)073<2013:SORTCC>2.0.CO;2 Dooge, 1999, A simple model for estimating the sensitivity of runoff to long-term changes in precipitation without a change in vegetation, Adv. Water Resour., 23, 153, 10.1016/S0309-1708(99)00019-6 Fiorino, M., 1997. AMIP II sea surface temperature and sea ice concentration observations, AMIP web site, http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/amip/AMIP2EXPDSN/BCS_OBS/amip2_bcs.htm. Flato, 2000, The Canadian centre for climate modelling and analysis global coupled model and its climate, Clim. Dyn., 16, 451, 10.1007/s003820050339 Gates, L.W., Boyle, J.S., Covey, C., Dease, C.G., Doutriaux, C.M., Drach, R.S., Fiorino, M., Glecker, P.J., Hnilo, J.J., Marlais, S.M., Phillips, T.J., Potter, G.L., Santer, B.D., Sperber, K.R., Taylor, K.E., Williams, D.N., 1999. An overview of the results of the atmospheric model intercomparison project (AMIP I). Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 80(1), 29–56. Holzer, 1996, Optimal spectral topography and its effect on model climate, J. Clim., 2443, 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<2443:OSTAIE>2.0.CO;2 Koster, 1999, A simple framework for examining the interannual variability of land surface moisture fluxes, J. Clim., 12, 1911, 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1911:ASFFET>2.0.CO;2 Langner, 1991, A global three dimensional model of the tropospheric sulphur cycle, J. Atmos. Chem., 13, 225, 10.1007/BF00058134 McFarlane, 1992, The Canadian climate centre second-generation general circulation model and its equilibrium climate, J. Clim., 5, 1013, 10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<1013:TCCCSG>2.0.CO;2 Milly, 1994, Climate, soil water storage, and the average annual water balance, Water Resour. Res., 30, 2143, 10.1029/94WR00586 Mitchell, 1995, Climate response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosols, Nature, 376, 501, 10.1038/376501a0 Nemec, 1982, Sensitivity of water resources systems to climate variations, Hydrol. Sci. J., 27, 327, 10.1080/02626668209491113 Ol'dekop, 1911, On evaporation from the surface of river basins, Trans. Met. Obs. lur-evskogo, Univ. Tartu, 4 Pacanowski, R.C., Dixon, R.C., Rosati, A., 1993. The GFDL modular ocean model users guide, GFDL Ocean Group Tech. Rep. 2, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, USA, 46 pp. Pike, 1964, The estimation of annual runoff from meteorological data in a tropical climate, J. Hydrol., 2, 116, 10.1016/0022-1694(64)90022-8 Ponce, 2000, Characterization of drought across the climate spectrum, J. Hydrol. Engng, ASCE, 5, 222, 10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2000)5:2(222) Reader, 1998, The modification of greenhouse gas warming by the direct effect of sulphate aerosols, Clim. Dyn., 14, 593, 10.1007/s003820050243 Schreiber, 1904, Über die Beziehungen zwischen dem Niederschlag und der Wasserführung der Flüße in Mitteleuropa, Z. Meteorol., 21, 441 Singh, 1997, Impact assessment of climate change on the hydrological response of a snow and glacier melt runoff dominated Himalayan river, J. Hydrol., 193, 316, 10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03142-3 Turc, 1954, Le bilan d'eau des sols. Relation entre la précipitation, l;évaporation et l;écoulement, Ann. Agron., 5, 491 Verseghy, 1993, CLASS—a Canadian land surface scheme for GCMs: II. Vegetation model and coupled runs, Int. J. Climatol., 13, 347, 10.1002/joc.3370130402 Zhang, 1995, Sensitivity of climate simulations to the parameterization of cumulus convection in the CCC GCM, Atmos.–Ocean, 407, 10.1080/07055900.1995.9649539 Zhang, 2001, Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale, Water Resour. Res., 37, 701, 10.1029/2000WR900325