Large engineering project risk management using a Bayesian belief network

Abellan, J., Gomez-Olmedo, M., & Moral, S. (2006). Some variations on the PC algorithm. In Proceedings of the third European workshop on probabilistic graphical models (PGM’06) Prague (pp. 1–8). Akintoye, 1996, Risk analysis and management in construction, International Journal of Project Management, 15, 31, 10.1016/S0263-7863(96)00035-X Alquier, A. M. & Tignol, M. H. (2001). Project management technique to estimate and manage risk of innovative projects. In IPMA International Symposium and NORDNET 2001. Stockholm, Sweden. Baccarini, 2001, The risk ranking of projects: a methodology, International Journal of Project Management, 19, 139, 10.1016/S0263-7863(99)00074-5 Baloi, 2003, Modelling global risk factors affecting construction cost performance, International Journal of Project Management, 21, 261, 10.1016/S0263-7863(02)00017-0 Boehm, 1991, Software risk management: Principles and practices, IEEE Software, 8, 32, 10.1109/52.62930 Brodda, 2004, Knowledge-driven production and qualification: Key factors for sustainable productivity, Journal of Ship Production, 20, 100, 10.5957/jsp.2004.20.2.100 Carr, 2001, A fuzzy approach to construction project risk assessment and analysis: Construction project risk management system, Advances in Engineering Software, 32, 847, 10.1016/S0965-9978(01)00036-9 Chapman, 1997, Project risk analysis and management – PRAM the generic process, International Journal of Project Management, 15, 273, 10.1016/S0263-7863(96)00079-8 Cheng, 2002, Learning Bayesian networks from data: An information-theory based approach, Artificial Intelligence, 137, 43, 10.1016/S0004-3702(02)00191-1 Clarkson Research Service (2007). Shipping Sector Reports Clarkson Research Service. Cooper, 2005 de Klert, A. M. (2001). The value of project risk management. In Management of engineering and technology, 2001. PICMET ‘01. Portland international conference on 2001 (pp. 570–576). del Cano, 2002, Integrated methodology for project risk management, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 128, 473, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2002)128:6(473) Dey, 1994, Planning for project control through risk analysis: A petroleum pipeline-laying project, International Journal of Project Management, 12, 23, 10.1016/0263-7863(94)90006-X Duffey, 1999, Risk analysis for large engineering projects: modeling cost uncertainty for ship production activities, Journal of Engineering Valuation and Cost Analysis, 2, 285 Edwards, 1998, Risk and risk management in construction: a review and future directions for research, Engineering Construction and Architectural Management, 5, 339, 10.1108/eb021087 Fan, 2004, BBN-based software project risk management, The Journal of Systems and Software, 73, 193, 10.1016/j.jss.2003.12.032 Gatti, 2007, Measuring value-at-risk in project finance transactions, European Financial Management, 13, 135, 10.1111/j.1468-036X.2006.00288.x Han, 2001, Approaches for making risk-based go/no-go decision international projects, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 127, 255, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2001)127:4(300) Heckerman, 1997, Bayesian networks for data mining, Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, 1, 79, 10.1023/A:1009730122752 Heckerman, 1995, Real-world applications of Bayesian networks, Communications of the ACM, 38, 24, 10.1145/203330.203334 IBKERI (2007). Trends and medium-to-long term prospects of Korean shipbuilding industry. Industrial Bank of Korea Economic Research Institute (in Korean). Koenig, 2002, Technical and economic breakdown of value added in shipbuilding, Journal of Ship Production, 18, 13, 10.5957/jsp.2002.18.1.13 Kuchta, 2001, Use of fuzzy numbers in project risk (criticality) assessment, International Journal of Project Management, 19, 305, 10.1016/S0263-7863(00)00022-3 Kuo, 1998 Kwak, 2004, Project risk management: Lessons learned from software development environment, Technovation, 24, 915, 10.1016/S0166-4972(03)00033-6 Ling, 2006, Risks faced by Singapore firms when undertaking construction projects in India, International Journal of Project Management, 24, 261, 10.1016/j.ijproman.2005.11.003 Lu, 2000, China shipbuilding management challenges in the 1980s, Maritime Policy Management, 27, 71, 10.1080/030888300286707 Lyons, 2004, Project risk management in the Queensland engineering construction industry: A survey, International Journal of Project Management, 22, 51, 10.1016/S0263-7863(03)00005-X Miller, 2001, Understanding and managing risks in large engineering projects, International Journal of Project Management, 19, 437, 10.1016/S0263-7863(01)00045-X 1997 Moyst, 2005, Factors affecting ship design and construction lead time and cost, Journal of Ship Production, 21, 186, 10.5957/jsp.2005.21.3.186 Mustafa, 1991, Project risk assessment using the analytic hierarchy process, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 38, 46, 10.1109/17.65759 NASA, 1995 Patterson, 2002, A risk register database system to aid the management of project risk, International Journal of Project Management, 20, 365, 10.1016/S0263-7863(01)00040-0 Phelps, 2003, Strategic outsourcing: A process for shipbuilders, Journal of Ship Production, 19, 16, 10.5957/jsp.2003.19.1.16 Raz, 2001, Use and benefits of tools for project risk management, International Journal of Project Management, 19, 9, 10.1016/S0263-7863(99)00036-8 Saynisch, 2005, Beyond frontiers of traditional project management: The concept of project management second order (PM-2) as an approach of evolutionary management, World Futures, 61, 555, 10.1080/02604020500288109 Simister, 1994, Usage and benefits of project risk analysis and management, International Journal of Project Management, 12, 5, 10.1016/0263-7863(94)90003-5 Spirtes, 1993 Tummala, 1996, A risk management model to assess safety and reliability risks, The International Journal of Quality and Reliability Management, 13, 53, 10.1108/02656719610128493 Ulegine, 2007, An integrated transportation decision support system for transportation policy decisions: The case of Turkey, Transportation Research Part A, Policy and Practice, 41, 40 Uusitalo, 2007, Advantages and challenges of Bayesian networks in environmental modelling, Ecological Modelling, 203, 312, 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.11.033 van der Gaag, 1996, Bayesian belief networks: Odds and ends, The Computer Journal, 39, 97, 10.1093/comjnl/39.2.97 Weimer-Jehle, 2006, Cross-impact balances: A system-theoretical approach to cross-impact analysis, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73, 334, 10.1016/j.techfore.2005.06.005 Williams, 1993, Risk-management infrastructure, International Journal of Project Management, 11, 5, 10.1016/0263-7863(93)90003-6 Williams, 1995, A classified bibliography of recent research relating to project risk management, European Journal of Operational Research, 85, 18, 10.1016/0377-2217(93)E0363-3 Zhi, 1995, Risk management for overseas construction projects, International Journal of Project Management, 13, 231, 10.1016/0263-7863(95)00015-I