Contributions of climate change and human activities to runoff change in seven typical catchments across China

Science of The Total Environment - Tập 605-606 - Trang 219-229 - 2017
Ran Zhai1,2, Fulu Tao1,2,3
1College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
2Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
3Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), FI-00790, Helsinki, Finland

Tóm tắt

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Ahn, 2014, Quantifying the relative impact of climate and human activities on streamflow, J. Hydrol., 515, 257, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.04.062

Bai, 2008, Analysis on the main causes resulting in vegetation degeneration in the Heihe river basin, Arid Zone Res., 25, 219, 10.3724/SP.J.1148.2008.00219

Bao, 2012, Attribution for decreasing streamflow of the Haihe River basin, northern China: climate variability or human activities?, J. Hydrol., 460-461, 117, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.06.054

Berbery, 2003, Eta model estimated land surface processes and the hydrologic cycle of the Mississippi basin, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 108, 8852, 10.1029/2002JD003192

Chang, 2015, Impact of climate change and human activities on runoff in the Weihe River Basin, China, Quat. Int., 380–381, 169, 10.1016/j.quaint.2014.03.048

Chang, 2016, Assessing the impact of climate variability and human activities on streamflow variation, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 1547, 10.5194/hess-20-1547-2016

Chien, 2013, Modeling the potential impacts of climate change on streamflow in agricultural watersheds of the Midwestern United States, J. Hydrol., 491, 73, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.03.026

Duan, 2014, Characteristics of precipitation concentration index (PCI) variations and monthly distribution of annual precipitation in China, Chin. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 1124

Feng, 2016, The role of climatic and anthropogenic stresses on long-term runoff reduction from the Loess Plateau, China, Sci. Total Environ., 571, 688, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.07.038

Fu, 2007, A two-parameter climate elasticity of streamflow index to assess climate change effects on annual streamflow, Water Resour. Res., 43, W11419, 10.1029/2007WR005890

Hansen, 2000, Global land cover classification at 1km spatial resolution using a classification tree approach, Int. J. Remote Sens., 21, 1331, 10.1080/014311600210209

Hu, 2012, Assessing the impacts of climate variability and human activities on streamflow in the water source area of Baiyangdian Lake, J. Geogr. Sci., 22, 895, 10.1007/s11442-012-0971-9

Huang, 2015, Quantitative estimation on contributions of climate changes and human activities to decreasing runoff in Weihe River Basin, China, Chin. Geogr. Sci., 25, 569, 10.1007/s11769-015-0734-5

Huntington, 2006, Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: review and synthesis, J. Hydrol., 319, 83, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.07.003

Jiang, 2016, Temporal changes of streamflow and its causes in the Liao River Basin over the period of 1953–2011, northeastern China, Catena, 145, 227, 10.1016/j.catena.2016.06.015

Kuang, 2016, The rapid and massive urban and industrial land expansions in China between 1990 and 2010: a CLUD-based analysis of their trajectories, patterns, and drivers, Landsc. Urban Plan., 145, 21, 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2015.10.001

Kunkel, 1999, Temporal fluctuations in weather and climate extremes that cause economic and human health impacts: a review, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 80, 1077, 10.1175/1520-0477(1999)080<1077:TFIWAC>2.0.CO;2

Liang, 2001, A new surface runoff parameterization with subgrid-scale soil heterogeneity for land surface models, Adv. Water Resour., 24, 1173, 10.1016/S0309-1708(01)00032-X

Lindner, 2010, Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems, For. Ecol. Manag., 259, 698, 10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.023

Liu, 2017, Contribution of multiple climatic variables and human activities to streamflow changes across China, J. Hydrol., 545, 145, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.12.016

Lohmann, 1996, A large-scale horizontal routing model to be coupled to land surface parametrization schemes, Tellus Ser. A Dyn. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 48, 708, 10.3402/tellusa.v48i5.12200

Lohmann, 1998, Regional scale hydrology: II. Application of the VIC-2L model to the Weser River, Germany, Hydrol. Sci. J., 43, 143, 10.1080/02626669809492108

Luo, 2016, Attribution of hydrological change in Heihe River Basin to climate and land use change in the past three decades, Sci Rep, 6, 33704, 10.1038/srep33704

Ma, 2010, Impact of climate variability and human activity on streamflow decrease in the Miyun Reservoir catchment, J. Hydrol., 389, 317, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.06.010

Milliman, 2008, Climatic and anthropogenic factors affecting river discharge to the global ocean, 1951–2000, Glob. Planet. Chang., 62, 187, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.03.001

Nash, 1970, River flow forecasting through conceptual models: part 1—a discussion of principles, J. Hydrol., 10, 282, 10.1016/0022-1694(70)90255-6

Naz, 2016, Regional hydrologic response to climate change in the conterminous United States using high-resolution hydroclimate simulations, Glob. Planet. Chang., 143, 100, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.06.003

Nijssen, 1997, Streamflow simulation for continental-scale river basins, Water Resour. Res., 33, 711, 10.1029/96WR03517

Saxton, 2006, Soil water characteristic estimates by texture and organic matter for hydrologic solutions, Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J., 70, 1569, 10.2136/sssaj2005.0117

Shadkam, 2016, Preserving the world second largest hypersaline lake under future irrigation and climate change, Sci. Total Environ., 559, 317, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.03.190

Su, 2005, Streamflow simulations of the terrestrial Arctic domain, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 110, D08112, 10.1029/2004JD005518

Sun, 2007, The changes of rainfall-runoff relationship and the impacts of human activities in the upper Chao Watershed, Prog. Geogr., 26, 41

Sun, 2016, Suspended sediment dynamics at different time scales in the Loushui River, south-central China, Catena, 136, 152, 10.1016/j.catena.2015.02.014

Todini, 1996, The ARNO rainfall-runoff model, J. Hydrol., 175, 339, 10.1016/S0022-1694(96)80016-3

Walling, 2003, Recent trends in the suspended sediment loads of the world's rivers, Glob. Planet. Chang., 39, 111, 10.1016/S0921-8181(03)00020-1

Wang, 2010, Quantitative assessment of climate change and human impacts on long-term hydrologic response: a case study in a sub-basin of the Yellow River, China, Int. J. Climatol., 30, 2130, 10.1002/joc.2023

Wang, 2013, Contributions of climate and human activities to changes in runoff of the Yellow and Yangtze rivers from 1950 to 2008, Sci. China Earth Sci., 56, 1398, 10.1007/s11430-012-4505-1

Wang, 2016, Attribution of runoff change for the Xinshui River catchment on the Loess Plateau of China in a changing environment, Water, 8, 267, 10.3390/w8060267

Wang, 2016, Simulating the hydrological responses to climate change of the Xiang River basin, China, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 124, 769, 10.1007/s00704-015-1467-1

Wu, 2016, Detecting climate signals in precipitation extremes from TRMM (1998–2013)-increasing contrast between wet and dry extremes during the “global warming hiatus”, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 1340, 10.1002/2015GL067371

Wu, 2015, Streamflow variation due to glacier melting and climate change in upstream Heihe River Basin, Northwest China, Phys. Chem. Earth, 79–82, 11, 10.1016/j.pce.2014.08.002

Wu, 2017, Contribution analysis of the long-term changes in seasonal runoff on the Loess Plateau, China, using eight Budyko-based methods, J. Hydrol., 545, 263, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.12.050

Xie, 2003, Applications of a surface runoff model with Horton and Dunne runoff for VIC, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 20, 165, 10.1007/s00376-003-0001-z

Xie, 2007, Regional parameter estimation of the VIC land surface model: methodology and application to river basins in China, J. Hydrometeorol., 8, 447, 10.1175/JHM568.1

Xu, 2010, Temporal trend of precipitation and runoff in major Chinese Rivers since 1951, Glob. Planet. Chang., 73, 219, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.07.002

Yang, 2009, Abrupt change of runoff and its major driving factors in Haihe River Catchment, China, J. Hydrol., 374, 373, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.040

Ye, 2013, Distinguishing the relative impacts of climate change and human activities on variation of streamflow in the Poyang Lake catchment, China, J. Hydrol., 494, 83, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.04.036

Yong, 2013, Spatial-temporal changes of water resources in a typical semiarid basin of North China over the past 50years and assessment of possible natural and socioeconomic causes, J. Hydrometeorol., 14, 1009, 10.1175/JHM-D-12-0116.1

Yuan, 2016, Quantitative assessment of the contribution of climate variability and human activity to streamflow alteration in Dongting Lake, China, Hydrol. Process., 30, 1929, 10.1002/hyp.10768

Zhang, 2011, Impact of human activities on the spatial and temporal variation of runoff of Jinghe Basin, Northwest China, J. Arid Land Res. Environ., 25, 66

Zhang, 2015, Analysis of dry/wet conditions in the Gan River Basin, China, and their association with large-scale atmospheric circulation, Glob. Planet. Chang., 133, 309, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.09.005

Zhang, 2016, Evaluation of impacts of climate change and human activities on streamflow in the Poyang Lake basin, China, Hydrol. Process., 30, 2562, 10.1002/hyp.10814

Zhao, 2014, Quantifying the impact of climate variability and human activities on streamflow in the middle reaches of the Yellow River basin, China, J. Hydrol., 519, 387, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.07.014

Zhao, 2015, Quantifying the anthropogenic and climatic contributions to changes in water discharge and sediment load into the sea: a case study of the Yangtze River, China, Sci. Total Environ., 536, 803, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.07.119

Zheng, 2014, Recent change of runoff and its components of baseflow and surface runoff in response to climate change and human activities for the Lishui watershed of southern China, Geogr. Res., 33, 237