The use of cusums and other techniques in modelling continuous covariates in logistic regression

Statistics in Medicine - Tập 11 Số 8 - Trang 1115-1129 - 1992
Patrick Royston1
1Department of Medical Physics, Royal Postgraduate Medical School, Ducane Road, London W12 0NN, U.K.

Tóm tắt

AbstractThe assessment of continuous covariates singly as possible predictors in a multivariable logistic regression model is an important first step in the analysis. An approach to plotting which uses a cusum (cumulative sum) of the binary response variable is described. Extreme‐deviation statistics associated with the cusum may be used to detect monotonic and non‐monotonic trends. Probability plots of the covariate in the two groups defined by the response variable may help to determine the appropriate scale (transformation) of the covariate and to anticipate possible problems with the logistic fit. The ratio of the variances in the response/non‐response groups is informative about the need for a quadratic term in the logistic model. Smoothed scatterplots of the response are valuable in displaying the observed and fitted values. The techniques are illustrated with two data sets.

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Cox D. R., 1989, Analysis of Binary Data

Hosmer D. W., 1989, Applied Logistic Regression

10.2307/2348040

Hastie T. J., 1990, Generalized Additive Models

10.1093/biomet/74.3.495

10.1038/bjc.1985.140

10.1111/j.1365-2141.1990.tb07790.x

Afnan M. Mastrominas M. Dimitry E. S. Davis S. andWinston R. M. L.‘The relationship between endometrial thickness and implantation rate following in‐vitro fertilisation and embryo transfer’ Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology in press (1992).

Goldsmith P. L., 1972, Statistical Methods for Research and Production

10.2307/2986299

10.1080/01621459.1972.10481232

10.2307/2987935

10.1002/sim.4780100811

10.1080/01621459.1979.10481038

Royston P. andThompson S. G.‘Assessing the relative adequacy of non‐nested regression models’ Biometrics submitted for publication (1992).

10.2307/2348064

10.2307/2346729

Pearson E. S., 1972, Biometrika Tables for Statisticians

Efron B., 1975, The efficiency of logistic regression compared to normal discrimination analysis, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 70, 892, 10.1080/01621459.1975.10480319