Towards a revised planetary boundary for consumptive freshwater use: role of environmental flow requirements

Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability - Tập 5 - Trang 551-558 - 2013
Dieter Gerten1, Holger Hoff1,2, Johan Rockström3, Jonas Jägermeyr1, Matti Kummu4, Amandine V Pastor5
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Earth System Analysis, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
2Stockholm Environment Institute, Kräftriket 2B, 10691, Stockholm, Sweden
3Stockholm Resilience Centre, Kräftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden
4Aalto University, Water & Development Research Group, P.O. Box 15200, 00076 Espoo, Finland
5Wageningen University, Earth System Science, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands

Tài liệu tham khảo

Rockström, 2009, A safe operating space for humanity, Nature, 461, 472, 10.1038/461472a Rockström, 2009, Planetary boundaries: exploring the safe operating space for humanity, Ecol Soc, 14, 32, 10.5751/ES-03180-140232 Rost, 2008, Agricultural green and blue water consumption and its influence on the global water system, Water Resour Res, 44, W09405, 10.1029/2007WR006331 deFries, 2012, Planetary opportunities: a social contract for global change science to contribute to a sustainable future, BioScience, 62, 603, 10.1525/bio.2012.62.6.11 Falkenmark, 2004, Balancing water for humans and nature, Earthscan Gerten, 2013, A vital link: water and vegetation in the anthropocene, Hydrol Earth Syst Sci, 17, 3841, 10.5194/hess-17-3841-2013 Smakhtin, 2004, A pilot global assessment of environmental water requirements and scarcity, Water Int, 29, 307, 10.1080/02508060408691785 Poff, 2010, The ecological limits of hydrologic alteration (ELOHA): a new framework for developing regional environmental flow standards, Freshw Biol, 55, 147, 10.1111/j.1365-2427.2009.02204.x Pastor, 2013, Accounting for environmental flow requirements in global water assessments, Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss, 10.5194/hessd-10-14987-2013 Tessmann, 1980 Tennant, 1976, Instream flow regimes for fish, wildlife, recreation and related environmental resources, Fisheries, 1, 6, 10.1577/1548-8446(1976)001<0006:IFRFFW>2.0.CO;2 Biemans, 2011, Impact of reservoirs on river discharge and irrigation water supply during the 20th century, Water Resour Res, 47, W03509, 10.1029/2009WR008929 Fader, 2010, Virtual water content of temperate cereals and maize: present and potential future patterns, J Hydrol, 384, 218, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.12.011 Postel, 1996, Human appropriation of renewable freshwater, Science, 271, 785, 10.1126/science.271.5250.785 Falkenmark, 1998, Dilemma when entering the 21st century—rapid change but lack of a sense of urgency, Water Policy, 1, 421, 10.1016/S1366-7017(98)00032-4 Falkenmark, 2007 Molden, 2009, The devil is in the detail, Nature Reports, 3, 116 Postel, 2013, Sustaining freshwater and its dependents, 51 Vörösmarty, 2005, 165 Kummu, 2011, How close do we live to water? A global analysis of population distance to freshwater bodies, PLoS ONE, 6, e20578, 10.1371/journal.pone.0020578 Haddeland, 2011, Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: setup and first results, J Hydrometeor, 12, 869, 10.1175/2011JHM1324.1 Kummu, 2013, Climate-driven interannual variability of water scarcity in food production: a global analysis, Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss, 10, 6931, 10.5194/hessd-10-6931-2013 Hanasaki, 2008, An integrated model for the assessment of global water resources—part 1: model description and input meteorological forcing, Hydrol Earth Syst Sci, 12, 1007, 10.5194/hess-12-1007-2008 van der Ent, 2010, Origin and fate of atmospheric moisture over continents, Water Resour Res, 46, W09525, 10.1029/2010WR009127 Douglas, 2007, Policy implications of a pan-tropic assessment of the simultaneous hydrological and biodiversity impacts of deforestation, Water Resour Manage, 21, 211, 10.1007/s11269-006-9050-2 Gerten, 2008, Causes of change in 20th century global river discharge, Geophys Res Lett, 35, L20405, 10.1029/2008GL035258 Keys, 2012, Analyzing precipitation sheds to understand the vulnerability of rainfall dependent regions, Biogeosciences, 9, 733, 10.5194/bg-9-733-2012 Gerten, 2011, Global water availability and requirements for future food production, J Hydrometeor, 12, 885, 10.1175/2011JHM1328.1 Kummu, 2010, Is physical water scarcity a new phenomenon? Global assessment of water shortage over the last two millennia, Environ Res Lett, 5, 034006, 10.1088/1748-9326/5/3/034006 Wada, 2011, Modelling global water stress of the recent past: on the relative importance of trends in water demand and climate variability, Hydrol Earth Syst Sci, 15, 3785, 10.5194/hess-15-3785-2011 Shiklomanov, 2003 Hanasaki, 2010, An estimation of global virtual water flow and sources of water withdrawal for major crops and livestock products using a global hydrological model, J Hydrol, 384, 232, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.09.028 Alcamo, 2007, Future long-term changes in global water resources driven by socio-economic and climatic changes, Hydrol Sci J, 52, 247, 10.1623/hysj.52.2.247 Konzmann, 2013, Climate impacts on global irrigation requirements under 19 GCMs, simulated with a vegetation and hydrology model, Hydrol Sci J, 58, 1, 10.1080/02626667.2013.746495 2008 Beringer, 2011, Bioenergy production potential of global biomass plantations under environmental and agricultural constraints, Glob Change Biol Bioenergy, 3, 299, 10.1111/j.1757-1707.2010.01088.x Kummu, 2012, Lost food, wasted resources: global food supply chain losses and their impacts on freshwater, cropland, and fertiliser use, Sci Total Environ, 438, 477, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2012.08.092 2007 Rost, 2009, Global potential to increase crop production through water management in rainfed agriculture, Environ Res Lett, 4, 044002, 10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/044002 Foley, 2011, Solutions for a cultivated planet, Nature, 478, 337, 10.1038/nature10452 Fader, 2013, Spatial decoupling of agricultural production and consumption: quantifying dependence of countries on food imports due to domestic land and water constraints, Environ Res Lett, 8, 014046, 10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014046 Galaz, 2012, Environment: planetary boundaries concept is valuable, Nature, 486, 191, 10.1038/486191c Rockström, 2012 Cook, 2007, North American drought: reconstructions, causes, and consequences, Earth-Sci Rev, 81, 93, 10.1016/j.earscirev.2006.12.002 Helbing, 2013, Globally networked risks and how to respond, Nature, 497, 51, 10.1038/nature12047 Folke, 2013, Respecting planetary boundaries and reconnecting to the biosphere, 19 Liu, 2013, Water conservancy projects in China: achievements, challenges and way forward, Glob Environ Change, 23, 633, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.02.002