Development of a prediction model for child maltreatment recurrence in Japan: A historical cohort study using data from a Child Guidance Center

Administrative Evaluation Bureau, 2013 Akaike, 1973, Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle, 267 Bae, 2007, Abuse type and substantiation status varying by recurrence, Children and Youth Services Review, 29, 856, 10.1016/j.childyouth.2007.01.002 Bae, 2009, Multiple child maltreatment recurrence relative to single recurrence and no recurrence, Children and Youth Services Review, 31, 617, 10.1016/j.childyouth.2008.11.005 Barth, 2006, Substance abuse treatment and the recurrence of maltreatment among caregivers with children living at home: A propensity score analysis, Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment, 30, 93, 10.1016/j.jsat.2005.10.008 Berlin, 2011, Intergenerational continuity in child maltreatment: Mediating mechanisms and implications for prevention, Child Development, 82, 162, 10.1111/j.1467-8624.2010.01547.x Casanueva, 2015, Examining predictors of re-reports and recurrence of child maltreatment using two national data sources, Children and Youth Services Review, 48, 1, 10.1016/j.childyouth.2014.10.006 Cash, 2001, Risk assessment in child welfare: The art and science, Children and Youth Services Review, 23, 811, 10.1016/S0190-7409(01)00162-1 Coohey, 2013, Actuarial risk assessment in child protective services: Construction methodology and performance criteria, Children and Youth Services Review, 35, 151, 10.1016/j.childyouth.2012.09.020 D'Andrade, 2008, Risk and safety assessment in child welfare: Instrument comparisons, Journal of Evidence-Based Social Work, 5, 31, 10.1300/J394v05n01_03 DePanfilis, 1994, Assessing the safety of children at risk of maltreatment: Decision-making models, Child Welfare, 73, 229 DePanfilis, 1999, Epidemiology of child maltreatment recurrences, Social Service Review, 73, 218, 10.1086/514415 DePanfilis, 1999, Predicting child maltreatment recurrences during treatment, Child Abuse & Neglect, 23, 729, 10.1016/S0145-2134(99)00046-0 DePanfilis, 2002, The effect of services on the recurrence of child maltreatment, Child Abuse & Neglect, 26, 187, 10.1016/S0145-2134(01)00316-7 Dorsey, 2008, Caseworker assessments of risk for recurrent maltreatment: Association with case-specific risk factors and re-reports, Child Abuse & Neglect, 32, 377, 10.1016/j.chiabu.2007.06.006 Drake, 2006, Re-reporting of child maltreatment: Does participation in other public sector services moderate the likelihood of a second maltreatment report?, Child Abuse and Neglect, 30, 1201, 10.1016/j.chiabu.2006.05.008 Eastman, 2016, Risk of re-report: A latent class analysis of infants reported for maltreatment, Child Abuse & Neglect, 55, 22, 10.1016/j.chiabu.2016.03.002 English, 1999, Characteristics of repeated referrals to child protective services in Washington state, Child Maltreatment, 4, 297, 10.1177/1077559599004004003 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2007 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2007 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2009 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2010 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2011 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2012 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2013 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2013 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2013 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2014 Equal Employment, Children and Families Bureau, 2015 Fluke, 2003 Fluke, 1999, Recurrence of maltreatment: An application of the National Child Abuse and Neglect Data System (NCANDS), Child Abuse & Neglect, 23, 633, 10.1016/S0145-2134(99)00039-3 Fluke, 2008, Longitudinal analysis of repeated child abuse reporting and victimization: Multistate analysis of associated factors, Child Maltreatment, 13, 76, 10.1177/1077559507311517 Fluke, 2010, Placement decisions and disparities among aboriginal groups: An application of the decision making ecology through multi-level analysis, Child Abuse & Neglect, 34, 57, 10.1016/j.chiabu.2009.08.009 Fryer, 1994, A survival analysis of the revictimization of children: The case of Colorado, Child Abuse & Neglect, 18, 1063, 10.1016/0145-2134(94)90132-5 Fujiwara, 2006, Development of child abuse database at a medical institution, The Journal of the Japan Pediatric Society, 110, 926 Gillingham, 2015, Predictive risk modelling to prevent child maltreatment and other adverse outcomes for service users: Inside the black box of machine learning, British Journal of Social Work Hélie, 2010, Recurrent reporting of child maltreatment: State of knowledge and avenues for research, Children and Youth Services Review, 32, 416, 10.1016/j.childyouth.2009.10.013 Hasan, 2010, Hospital readmission in general medicine patients: A prediction model, Journal of General Internal Medicine, 25, 211, 10.1007/s11606-009-1196-1 Helie, 2013, A developmental approach to the risk of a first recurrence in child protective services, Child Abuse & Neglect, 37, 1132, 10.1016/j.chiabu.2013.05.001 Hindley, 2006, Risk factors for recurrence of maltreatment: A systematic review, Archives of Disease in Childhood, 91, 744, 10.1136/adc.2005.085639 Inkelas, 1997, Recidivism in child protective services, Children and Youth Services Review, 19, 139, 10.1016/S0190-7409(97)00011-X Johnson, 2011, The validity and utility of the California Family Risk Assessment under practice conditions in the field: A prospective study, Child Abuse & Neglect, 35, 18, 10.1016/j.chiabu.2010.08.002 Jonson-Reid, 2003, Cross-type recidivism among child maltreatment victims and perpetrators, Child Abuse & Neglect, 27, 899, 10.1016/S0145-2134(03)00138-8 Jonson-Reid, 2010, Understanding service use and victim patterns associated with re-reports of alleged maltreatment perpetrators, Children and Youth Services Review, 32, 790, 10.1016/j.childyouth.2010.01.013 Kato, 2009, The effects of common assessment tool and the joint training for the interagency individual case conference at the formal regional network for the child maltreatment, Journal of the University of Marketing and Distribution Sciences: Humanities, Arts & Sciences, 21, 115 MacMillan, 2009, Interventions to prevent child maltreatment and associated impairment, Lancet, 373, 250, 10.1016/S0140-6736(08)61708-0 Maguire-Jack, 2014, Predicting recurrent maltreatment among high-risk families: Applying the Decision-Making Ecology Framework, Children and Youth Services Review, 43, 29, 10.1016/j.childyouth.2014.04.014 Marshall, 1999, Survival analysis of risk factors for recidivism in child abuse and neglect, Child Maltreatment, 4, 287, 10.1177/1077559599004004002 Maruyama, 2009 Murphy, 1992, What happens after the care and protection petition? Reabuse in a court sample, Child Abuse & Neglect, 16, 485, 10.1016/0145-2134(92)90065-Y National Association of Child Guidance Center Directors, 1997, Report of intra-familial child abuse survey, Zenjisou, 62 National Association of Child Guidance Center Directors, 2009, Survey on promotion of family support work among the child guidance centers in Japan, Zenjisou, 87 National Association of Child Guidance Center Directors, 2013, Case studies of child victim of sexual violence treated at the child guidance centers in Japan, Zenjisou, 95 Norman, 2012, The long-term health consequences of child physical abuse, emotional abuse, and neglect: A systematic review and meta-analysis, PLoS Medicine, 9, e1001349, 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001349 Palusci, 2011, Risk factors and services for child maltreatment among infants and young children, Children and Youth Services Review, 33, 1374, 10.1016/j.childyouth.2011.04.025 Pregibon, 1981, Logistic regression diagnostics, Annals of Statistics, 9, 705, 10.1214/aos/1176345513 Putnam-Hornstein, 2015, Risk of re-reporting among infants who remain at home following alleged maltreatment, Child Maltreatment, 20, 92, 10.1177/1077559514558586 Sato, 2008, Evaluation of a risk assessment scale for child abuse in the field of public health and development of systematic community public health activities for abuse prevention, Jpn J Child Abuse Negl, 10, 66 Sledjeski, 2008, The use of risk assessment to predict recurrent maltreatment: A classification and regression tree analysis (CART), Prevention Science, 9, 28, 10.1007/s11121-007-0079-0 Tanaka, 2011, The linkages among childhood maltreatment, adolescent mental health, and self-compassion in child welfare adolescents, Child Abuse & Neglect, 35, 887, 10.1016/j.chiabu.2011.07.003 Tanaka, 2015, Child maltreatment and educational attainment in young adulthood: Results from the Ontario Child Health Study, Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 30, 195, 10.1177/0886260514533153 White, 2015, Risk factors for child maltreatment recurrence: An updated systematic review, Medicine, Science and the Law, 55, 259, 10.1177/0025802414543855 Widom, 2012, A prospective investigation of physical health outcomes in abused and neglected children: New findings from a 30-year follow-up, American Journal of Public Health, 102, 1135, 10.2105/AJPH.2011.300636 Wolock, 1996, Parental substance abuse as a predictor of child maltreatment re-reports, Child Abuse & Neglect, 20, 1183, 10.1016/S0145-2134(96)00114-7 Wood, 1997, Risk predictors for re-abuse or re-neglect in a predominantly Hispanic population, Child Abuse & Neglect, 21, 379, 10.1016/S0145-2134(96)00178-0