Assessment of heavy precipitation events associated with floods due to strong moisture transport during summer monsoon over India

Ajayamohan, 2008, Indian Ocean dipole modulates the number of extreme rainfall events over India in a warming environment, J. Met. Soc. Japan., 86, 245, 10.2151/jmsj.86.245 Alapaty, 1995, Sensitivity of monsoon circulations to changes in sea surface temperatures, Atmos. Environ., 29, 2139, 10.1016/1352-2310(94)00141-7 Ashok, 2007, On the impacts of ENSO and Indian Ocean dipole events on sub-regional Indian summer monsoon rainfall, Nat. Hazards, 42, 273, 10.1007/s11069-006-9091-0 EM-DAT Bose, 1957, Preliminary meteorological study associated with West Bengal Rivers, Indian J. Power River Val. Dev., 7, 23 Chawla, 2018, Assessment of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for simulation of extreme rainfall events in the upper Ganga Basin, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 10.5194/hess-22-1095-2018 Chevuturi, 2016, Investigation of Uttarakhand (India) disaster-2013 using weather research and forecasting model, Nat. Hazards, 82, 1703, 10.1007/s11069-016-2264-6 Chevuturi, 2015, Numerical simulation of an intense precipitation event over Rudraprayag in the central Himalayas during 13–14 September 2012, J. Earth Syst. Sci., 124, 1545, 10.1007/s12040-015-0622-5 Decoding the monsoon floods, SEEDS and CRECD, New Delhi Dee, 2011, The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 553, 10.1002/qj.828 Dhana Lakshmi, 2018, Influence of atmospheric rivers in the occurrence of devastating flood associated with extreme precipitation events over Chennai using different reanalysis data sets”, Atmos. Res., 215, 12, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.08.016 Dhar, 1995, On some characteristics of severe rainstorms of India, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 50, 205, 10.1007/BF00866117 Dhar, 2001, A comparative flood frequency study of Ganga and Brahmaputra river systems of north India—a brief appraisal, Water Pol., 3, 101, 10.1016/S1366-7017(00)00017-9 Dhar, 2003, Hydro meteorological aspects of floods in India, Nat. Hazards, 28, 1, 10.1023/A:1021199714487 Dimri, 2017, Cloudbursts in Indian Himalayas: a review, Earth Sci. Rev., 168, 1, 10.1016/j.earscirev.2017.03.006 Dobhal, 2013, Kedarnath disaster: facts and plausible causes, Curr. Sci., 105, 171 Dobson, 2001, 240 Dominguez, 2008, Precipitation recycling variability and ecoclimatological stability—a study using NARR data. Part II: north American monsoon region, J. Clim., 21, 5187, 10.1175/2008JCLI1760.1 Dunn, 1996, Randomized quantile residuals, J. Comput. Graph. Stat., 5, 236 Filliben, 1975, Probability plot correlation coefficient test for normality, Technometrics, 17, 111, 10.1080/00401706.1975.10489279 Findlater, 1969, Major low-level air current near the Indian Ocean during the northern summer, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 95, 362, 10.1002/qj.49709540409 Francis, 2006, Intense rainfall events over the west coast of India, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 94, 27, 10.1007/s00703-005-0167-2 Geethalakshmi, 2009, Impact of ENSO and the Indian Ocean Dipole on the northeast monsoon rainfall of Tamil nadu state in India hydrol, Process, 23, 633 Gimeno, 2014, Atmospheric rivers: a mini-review, Front. Earth Sci., 2, 2, 10.3389/feart.2014.00002 Gimeno, 2016, Major mechanisms of atmospheric moisture transport and their role in extreme precipitation events, Annu. Rev. Environ. Resour., 41, 117, 10.1146/annurev-environ-110615-085558 Godichore, 2017, Examination of mean precipitation and moisture transport in reanalysis products over India, ISH J. Hydrau. Engineering, 25, 51, 10.1080/09715010.2017.1364983 Goswami, 2006, Increasing trend of extreme rain events over India in a warming environment, Science, 314, 1442, 10.1126/science.1132027 Guan, 2015, Detection of atmospheric rivers: evaluation and application of an algorithm for global studies, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, 12,514, 10.1002/2015JD024257 Guhathakurta, 2011, Impact of climate change on extreme rainfall events and flood risk in India, J. Earth Sys. Sci., 120, 359, 10.1007/s12040-011-0082-5 Guhathakurta, 2017, 37 Hastie, 1990, 335 Hazra, 2017, Role of interactions between cloud microphysics, dynamics and aerosol in the heavy rainfall event of June 2013 over Uttarakhand, India, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 143, 986, 10.1002/qj.2983 Hipel, 1981, Geophysical model discrimination using the Akaike information criterion, IEEE Trans. Autom. Control, 26, 358, 10.1109/TAC.1981.1102597 Indian Meteorological Department, 2008, 1 IPCC, 2007 Jenamani, 2006, Observational/forecasting aspects of the meteorological event that caused a record highest rainfall in Mumbai, Curr. Sci., 90, 1344 Joseph, 1966, Existence of low level westerly jet stream over peninsular India during July, Indian J. Meteorol. Geo physics., 17, 407 Joseph, 2004, Intraseasonal variability of the low-level jet stream of Asian summer monsoon, J. Clim., 17, 1449, 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<1449:IVOTLJ>2.0.CO;2 Joseph, 2015, North Indian heavy rainfall event during June 2013: diagnostics and extended range prediction, Clim. Dyn., 44, 2049, 10.1007/s00382-014-2291-5 Kale, 2003, Geomorphic effects of monsoon floods on Indian rivers, Nat. Hazards, 28, 65, 10.1023/A:1021121815395 Kale, 2005, Fluvial hydrology and geomorphology of monsoon dominated Indian rivers, Revista Brasileira de Geomorfologia, 6, 63, 10.20502/rbg.v6i1.39 Karuna Sagar, 2017, On increasing monsoon rainstorms over India, Nat. Hazards, 85, 1743, 10.1007/s11069-016-2662-9 Kingsmill, 2013, Kinematic and thermodynamic structures of Sierra barrier jets and overrunning atmospheric rivers during a landfalling winter storm in northern California, Mon. Weather Rev., 141, 2015, 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00277.1 Kitoh, 1997, Simulated changes in the Asian summer monsoon at times of increased atmospheric CO2, J. Met. Soc. Japan., 75, 1019, 10.2151/jmsj1965.75.6_1019 Konwar, 2012, Dynamics of east-west asymmetry of Indian summer monsoon rainfall trends in recent decades, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L10708, 10.1029/2012GL052018 Krishnan, 2016, Deciphering the desiccation trend of the South Asian monsoon hydroclimate in a warming world, Clim. Dyn., 47, 1007, 10.1007/s00382-015-2886-5 Kumar, 2008, Analysis of the 26 July 2005 heavy rain event over Mumbai, India using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134, 1897, 10.1002/qj.325 Kumar, 2014, Simulation of a flash flooding storm at the steep edge of the Himalayas, J. Hydrometeorol., 15, 212, 10.1175/JHM-D-12-0155.1 Lavers, 2013, Atmospheric rivers and flooding over the central United States, J. Clim., 26, 7829, 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00212.1 Lavers, 2012, The detection of atmospheric rivers in atmospheric reanalyses and their links to British winter floods and the large-scale climatic circulation, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D20106, 10.1029/2012JD018027 May, 2011, The sensitivity of the Indian summer monsoon to a global warming of 2 oC with respect to pre-industrial times, Clim. Dyn., 37, 1843, 10.1007/s00382-010-0942-8 McCullagh, 1989, 592 Meehl, 2003, Mechanisms for projected future changes in South Asian monsoon precipitation, Clim. Dyn., 21, 659, 10.1007/s00382-003-0343-3 Neale, 2010 Neiman, 2008, Meteorological characteristics and overland precipitation impacts of atmospheric rivers affecting the west coast of North America based on eight years of SSM/I satellite observations, J. Hydrometeorol., 9, 22, 10.1175/2007JHM855.1 Pai, 2014, Development of a new high spatial resolution (0.25×0.25) long period (1901–2010) daily gridded rainfall data set over India and its comparison with existing data sets over the region, Mausam, 65, 1, 10.54302/mausam.v65i1.851 Pisharoty, 1965, Evaporation from the Arabian Sea and the Indian southwest monsoon Prashant, 2010 Rajeevan, 2008, Analysis of variability and trends of extreme rainfall events over India using 104 years of gridded daily rainfall data, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L18707, 10.1029/2008GL035143 Ralph, 2011, Storms, floods, and the science of atmospheric rivers, Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 92, 265, 10.1029/2011EO320001 Ralph, 2018, Defining “atmospheric river”: how the glossary of meteorology helped resolve a debate, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 99, 837, 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0157.1 Ramaswamy, 1987, Meteorological aspects of severe floods in India 1923-1979, No 10, 1 Ramesh Kumar, 1998, Air sea interaction over the Indian Ocean during the two contrasting monsoon years 1987 and 1988 studied with satellite data, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 60, 219, 10.1007/s007040050045 Ramos, 2015, Daily precipitation extreme events in the Iberian Peninsula and its association with atmospheric rivers, J. Hydrometeorol., 16, 579, 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0103.1 Ranalkar, 2016, Dynamical features of incessant heavy rainfall event of June 2013 over Uttarakhand, India, Nat. Hazards, 80, 1579, 10.1007/s11069-015-2040-z Rao, 2010, Mesoscale characteristics and prediction of an unusual extreme heavy precipitation event over India using a high resolution mesoscale model, Atmos. Res., 95, 255, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2009.10.004 Redelsperger, 2002, Recovery processes and factors limiting cloud-top height following the arrival of a dry intrusion observed during TOGA COARE, J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 2438, 10.1175/1520-0469(2002)059<2438:RPAFLC>2.0.CO;2 Roxy, 2013, Sensitivity of precipitation to sea surface temperature over the tropical summer monsoon region—and its quantification, Clim. Dyn., 43, 1159, 10.1007/s00382-013-1881-y Roxy, 2017, A threefold rise in widespread extreme rain events over central India, Nat. Commun., 8, 708, 10.1038/s41467-017-00744-9 Sahany, 2010, The 26 July 2005 heavy rainfall event over Mumbai: numerical modeling aspects, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 109, 115, 10.1007/s00703-010-0099-3 Sandeep, 2014, Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming, Clim. Dyn., 45, 337, 10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y Singh, 1974, 114 Singhvi, 2009 Srinivasan, 2013, Did a cloud burst occur in Kedarnath during 16 and 17 June 2013?, Curr. Sci., 105, 1351 Swapna, 2002, Role of low level flow on the summer monsoon rainfall over the Indian subcontinent during two contrasting monsoon years, J. Indian Geophys. Union., 6, 123 Tompkins, 2001, Organization of tropical convection in low vertical wind shear: the role of water vapor, J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 529, 10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<0529:OOTCIL>2.0.CO;2 Utsav, 2019, Observed vertical structure of convection during dry and wet summer monsoon epochs over the western Ghats, J. Geophys. Res.: Atmosphere, 124, 1352, 10.1029/2018JD028960 van Buuren, 2001, Worm plot: a simple diagnostic device for modelling growth reference curves, Stat. Med., 20, 1259, 10.1002/sim.746 Vellore, 2015, Monsoon–extratropical circulation interactions in Himalayan extreme rainfall, Clim. Dyn., 46, 3517, 10.1007/s00382-015-2784-x Vera, 2006, Toward a unified view of the American monsoon systems, J. Clim., 19, 4977, 10.1175/JCLI3896.1 Vittal, 2016, Revisiting the dependence of precipitation extremes on temperature with the observed longterm dataset over India, Sci. Rep., 7, 1228 Wang, 2014, Future change of Asian-Australian monsoon under RCP4.5 anthropogenic warming scenario, Clim. Dyn., 42, 83, 10.1007/s00382-013-1769-x Yang, 2018, Atmospheric rivers over the Bay of Bengal lead to northern Indian extreme rainfall, Int. J. Climatol., 38, 1010, 10.1002/joc.5229 Zhu, 1994, Atmospheric rivers and bombs, Geophys. Res. Lett., 21, 1999, 10.1029/94GL01710 Zhu, 1998, A proposed algorithm for moisture fluxes from atmospheric rivers, Mon. Weather Rev., 126, 725, 10.1175/1520-0493(1998)126<0725:APAFMF>2.0.CO;2