Forecasting land use change and its environmental impact at a watershed scale

Andersen, D.G. 1970. Effects of urban development of floods in Northern Virginia. US Geological Survey Water Supply Paper 2001-C: 26. Anderson, 1976 Bhaduri, 1997, Assessing the long-term hydrological impact of land-use change: Cuppy-McClure watershed, Indiana, Journal of the American Water Works Association, 89, 94, 10.1002/j.1551-8833.1997.tb08325.x Bhaduri, 2000, Assessing watershed-scale, long-term hydrologic impacts of land use change using a GIS-NPS model, Environmental Management, 26, 643, 10.1007/s002670010122 Bhaduri, 2001, Long-term hydrologic impact of urbanization: a tale of two models, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 127, 13, 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2001)127:1(13) Boutt, 2001, Identifying potential land use-derived solute sources to stream baseflow using ground water models and GIS, Ground Water, 39, 24, 10.1111/j.1745-6584.2001.tb00348.x Brown, 2000, Estimating error in an analysis of forest fragmentation change using North American Landscape Characterization (NALC) data, Remote Sensing of Environment, 71, 106, 10.1016/S0034-4257(99)00070-X Brown, 2001, Modeling the relationships between land-use and land-cover on private lands in the Upper Midwest, USA, Journal of Environmental Management, 59, 247, 10.1006/jema.2000.0369 Calder, 1995, The impact of land use change on water resources in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling study of Lake Malawi, Journal of Hydrology, 170, 123, 10.1016/0022-1694(94)02679-6 Carter, W. R., 1961. Magnitude and frequency of floods in suburban areas. US Geological Survey Professional Paper 424-B: B9-11. Doyle, 2000, Examining the effects of urbanization on streams using indicators of geomorphic stability, Physical Geography, 21, 155, 10.1080/02723646.2000.10642704 Field, 1982, Porous pavement: research, development, and demonstration, Journal of Transportation Engineering, 108, 244 Fohrer, 2001, Hydrologic response to land use changes on the watershed scale, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Part B: Hydrology, Oceans and Atmosphere, 26, 577, 10.1016/S1464-1909(01)00052-1 Gove, 2001, Effects of scale on land use and water quality relationships, Journal of American Water Resource Association, 37, 1721, 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2001.tb03672.x Grove, 2001, Impacts of urbanization on surface hydrology, Little Eagle Creek, Indiana, and analysis of L-THIA model sensitivity to data resolution, Physical Geography, 22, 135, 10.1080/02723646.2001.10642734 Hall, 1984 Harbor, 1994, A practical method for estimating the impact of land use change on surface runoff, groundwater recharge and wetland hydrology, Journal of American Planning Association, 60, 91, 10.1080/01944369408975555 Kim, 2002, Runoff impacts of land-use change in Indian River Lagoon watershed, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 7, 245, 10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2002)7:3(245) Lazaro, 1990 McClintock, 1995, Assessing the hydrological impact of land use change in wetland watersheds: a case study from northern Ohio, USA, 107 Minner, 1998, Cost apportionment for a storm water management system: differential burdens on landowners from hydrologic and area-based approaches, Applied Geographic Studies, 2, 247, 10.1002/(SICI)1520-6319(199824)2:4<247::AID-AGS3>3.0.CO;2-C Moscrip, 1997, Urbanization flood, frequency and salmon abundance in Puget Lowlan Streams, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 33, 1289, 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1997.tb03553.x Muthukrishnan, S. 2002. Development and testing of an integrated water pollution assessment tool for analyzing impacts of urban sprawl. PhD thesis, Purdue University West Lafayette, Indiana. NRCS, 1986, Urban Hydrology for small watersheds, Technical Release 55 Pandey, 2000, Developing web-based tool to assess long-term hydrologic impacts of land use change: information technology issues and a case study, Journal of Urban and Regional Information System Association (URISA), 12, 5 Pijanowski, 2000, A land transformation model: integrating policy, socioeconomics and environmental drivers using a Geographic Information System, 183 Pijanowski, 2002, Using neural networks and GIS to forecast land use changes: a land transformation model, Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 26, 553, 10.1016/S0198-9715(01)00015-1 Pijanowski, 2002, Forecasting and assessing the impact of urban sprawl in coastal watersheds along eastern Lake Michigan, Lakes and Reservoirs: Research and Management, 7, 271, 10.1046/j.1440-1770.2002.00203.x Rusk, 1999 Schueler, 1995 Schueler, 2000 USDA. STATSGO. 1996. Soil maps. Available at: www.essc.psu.edu/soil_info/index.cgi?soil_data&statsgo. Last Accessed December 2003. USEPA. 2000. The Lake Michigan Lake Wide Management Plan. Available at URL: http://www.epa.gov/glnpo/lakemich. Last accessed July, 2003. USEPA, 2001