A vulnerability analysis of the temperate forests of south central Chile
Tài liệu tham khảo
Agresti, 1996
Alaback, 1991, Comparison of temperate rainforests of the Americas along analogous climatic gradients, Rev. Chil. Hist. Nat., 64, 399
Armesto, 1996, Bosques templados de la cordillera de la costa, 199
Armesto, 1998, Conservation targets in South American temperate forests, Science, 282, 1271, 10.1126/science.282.5392.1271
Arroyo, 1993, Global change: flora and vegetation of Chile: contrasts between north and south America, 239
Arroyo, 1996, Relaciones fitogeográficas y patrones regionales de riqueza de especies en la flora del bosque lluvioso templado de Sudamérica, 71
Arroyo, 1996, Phytogeographic relationships and regional richness patterns of the cool temperate rainforest flora of southern South America, 134
Atkinson, 2000
Bio, 1998, Determining alternative models for vegetation response analysis: a non-parametric approach, J. Veg. Sci., 9, 5, 10.2307/3237218
Booth, G. D., Niccolucci, M. J., Schuster, E. G., 1994. Identifying proxy sets in multiple linear regression: an aid to better data interpretation. Inter-mountain Research Station USDA Forest Service, Ogden UT
Brieman, 1984
Burnham, 2002
Byrt, 1993, Bias, prevalence and kappa, J. Clin. Epidemiol., 46, 423, 10.1016/0895-4356(93)90018-V
Carrere, 1996, Chile: A Plantation Model Imposed by a Dictatorship
Chatfield, 1995, Model uncertainty, data mining and statistical inference, J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. A, 158, 419, 10.2307/2983440
Chromitz, 1996, Roads, land use, and deforestation: a spatial model applied to Belize, World Bank Econ. Rev., 10, 487, 10.1093/wber/10.3.487
CODEFF, 1992. El futuro del bosque nativo Chileno: un desafio de hoy. CODEFF, Santiago, Chile.
Cohen, 1960, A coefficient of agreement for nominal scales, Ed. Psych. Meas., 20, 37, 10.1177/001316446002000104
Conaf-Conama-Birf, 1997
Czaplewski, 1994
Davis, 1994
De’Ath, 2000, Classification and regression trees: a powerful yet simple technique for the analysis of complex ecological data, Ecology, 81, 3178, 10.1890/0012-9658(2000)081[3178:CARTAP]2.0.CO;2
Farrar, 1967, Multicollinearity in regression analysis: the problem revisited, Rev. Econ. Statist., 49, 92, 10.2307/1937887
Fielding, 1997, A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models, Environ. Conserv., 24, 38, 10.1017/S0376892997000088
Fox, 1984
Geoghegan, 2001, Modeling tropical deforestation in the southern Yucatán peninsular region: comparing survey and satellite data, Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 85, 25, 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00201-8
Glantz, 1990
Grainger, 1993
Guisan, 1998, Predicting the potential distribution of plant species in an Alpine environment, J. Veg. Sci., 9, 65, 10.2307/3237224
Hanley, 1982, The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Radiology, 143, 29, 10.1148/radiology.143.1.7063747
Harrell, 2001
Hayes, 2002, Analyzing a forest conversion history database to explore the spatial and temporal characteristics of land cover change in Guatemala’s Maya Biosphere Reserve, Landscape Ecol., 17, 299, 10.1023/A:1020542327607
Hoeting, 1999, Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial, Statist. Sci., 14, 382
Huntley, 1995, Modelling present and potential future ranges of some European higher plants using climate response surfaces, J. Biogeogr., 22, 967, 10.2307/2845830
King, 2001, Logistic regression in rare events data, Polit. Anal., 9, 137, 10.1093/oxfordjournals.pan.a004868
Kuhnert, 2000, Combining non-parametric models with logistic regression: an application to motor vehicle injury data, Comput. Stat. Data Anal., 34, 371, 10.1016/S0167-9473(99)00099-7
Landis, 1977, The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data, Biometrics, 33, 159, 10.2307/2529310
Lara, 1992, Case Study: Chile
Lara, 1993, Forest plantations in Chile: a successful model?, 118
Liu, 1993, Rates and patterns of deforestation in the Philippines: application of geographical information systems analysis, For. Ecol. Manage., 57, 1, 10.1016/0378-1127(93)90158-J
Ludeke, 1990, An analysis of anthropogenic deforestation using logistic regression and GIS, J. Environ. Manage., 31, 247, 10.1016/S0301-4797(05)80038-6
Margules, 2000, Systematic conservation planning, Nature, 405, 243, 10.1038/35012251
MATHSOFT, 1998–1999. S-PLUS 2000 Professional Release 2. Mathsoft Inc
McCullagh, 1989
Mertens, 1997, Spatial modelling of deforestation in southern Cameroon: spatial disaggregation of diverse deforestation processes, Appl. Geog., 17, 143, 10.1016/S0143-6228(97)00032-5
Ministerio de Agricultura, 1974. Decreto Ley 701 de Fomento Forestal, Santiago
Ministerio de Agricultura, 1979. Decreto Ley 2565. Nuevo Decreto Ley 701 de Fomento Forestal, Santiago
Moisen, 2002, Comparing five modelling techniques for predicting forest characteristics, Ecol. Model., 157, 209, 10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00197-7
Moore, 1991, A new method for predicting vegetation distributions using decision tree analysis in a geographic information system, Environ. Manage., 15, 59, 10.1007/BF02393838
Neira, E., Verscheure, H., Revenga, C., 2002. Chile’s Frontier Forests: Conserving a Global Treasure. World Resources Institute, Comité Nacional Pro Defensa de la Fauna y Flora, Unversity Austral of Chile
Olson, 1998, The Global 200: a representation approach to conserving the Earth’s most biologically valuable ecoregions, Conserv. Biol., 12, 502, 10.1046/j.1523-1739.1998.012003502.x
Pfaff, 1999, What drives deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from satellite and socioeconomic data, J. Environ. Econ. Manage., 37, 26, 10.1006/jeem.1998.1056
Pontius, 2001, Land cover change model validation by an ROC method for the Ipswich watershed Massachusetts USA, Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 85, 239, 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00187-6
Pressey, 1997, Priority conservation areas: towards an operational definition for regional assessments, 337
Reed, 1996, Contribution of roads to forest fragmentation in the Rocky Mountains, Conserv. Biol., 10, 1098, 10.1046/j.1523-1739.1996.10041098.x
Rozzi, 2000, Three levels of integrating ecology with the conservation of South American temperate forests: the initiative of the Institute of Ecological Research Chiloé, Chile, Biodivers. Conserv., 9, 1199, 10.1023/A:1008909121715
Sader, 1988, Deforestation rates and trends in Costa Rica 1940 to 1983, Biotropica, 20, 11, 10.2307/2388421
Schlatter, 1995, Métodos de clasificación de sitios para la producción forestal, ejemplo en Chile, Bosque, 16, 13, 10.4206/bosque.1995.v16n2-02
Schlatter, 1995
Schneider, 2001, Modelling land use change in the Ipswich watershed, Massachusetts, USA, Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 85, 83, 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00189-X
Serneels, 2001, Proximate causes of land use change in Narok District, Kenya: a spatial statistical model, Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 85, 65, 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00188-8
Sokal, 1981
Stattersfield, 1998
Veblen, 1983, Degradation of native forest resources in southern Chile
Walker, 1991, Habitat: a procedure for modelling a disjoint environmental envelope for a plant or animal species, Global Ecol. Biogeogr. Lett., 1, 108, 10.2307/2997706
Wilcox, 1995
Wilson, K.A., Pressey, R.L., Newton, A.N., Burgman, M.A., Possingham, H.P., Weston, C.J., submitted. Reserve system design: measuring and incorporating vulnerability into conservation planning. Environ. Manage.
Wrigley, 1985