The next step: Integrating actuarial risk assessment and clinical judgment into an evidence-based practice framework in CPS case management
Tài liệu tham khảo
Altman, 2000, What do we mean by validating a prognostic model?, Statistics in Medicine, 19, 453, 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(20000229)19:4<453::AID-SIM350>3.0.CO;2-5
American Public Welfare Association. (1988). Summary of highlights. Paper presented at the Second Annual Roundtable on CPS Risk Assessment, Washington, DC.
Baird, 2000, The relative validity of actuarial and consensus-based risk assessment systems, Children and Youth Services Review, 22, 839, 10.1016/S0190-7409(00)00122-5
Baird, 1999, Risk assessment in child protective services: Consensus and actuarial model reliability, Child Welfare, 78, 723
Blenkner, 1954, Predictive factors in the initial interview in family casework, Social Service Review, 28, 65, 10.1086/639511
Dawes, 1993, Finding guidelines for tough decisions, Chronicle of Higher, 39
Dawes, 1994
Dawes, 1989, Clinical versus actuarial judgment, Science, 243, 1668, 10.1126/science.2648573
English, 1999, Characteristics of repeated referrals to child protective services in Washington State, Child Maltreatment: Journal of the American Professional Society on the Abuse of Children, 4, 297, 10.1177/1077559599004004003
Faust, 1984
Gambrill, 1997
Gambrill, 2003, Evidence-based practice: Implications for knowledge development and use in social work, 37
Gambrill, 2003, Evidence-based practice: Sea change or the emperor's new clothes, Journal of Social Work Education, 39, 3, 10.1080/10437797.2003.10779115
Gambrill, 2000, Risk assessment in context, Children and Youth Services Review, 22, 813, 10.1016/S0190-7409(00)00123-7
Gambrill, 2001, The need for a comprehensive risk management system in child welfare, Children and Youth Services Review, 23, 79, 10.1016/S0190-7409(00)00124-9
Gibbs, 2003
Gigerenzer, 2003, Simple tools for understanding risks: From innumeracy to insight, BMJ, 327, 741, 10.1136/bmj.327.7417.741
Gira, 2004, Influencing social workers to use research evidence in practice: Lessons from medicine and the allied health professions, Research on Social Work Practice, 14, 68, 10.1177/1049731503262128
Gottfredson, 1985, Screening for risk among parolees: Policy, practice, and methods, 54
Gottfredson, 1979
Gray, 1998, Where's the chief knowledge officer? To manage the most precious resource of all, British Medical Journal, 317, 832, 10.1136/bmj.317.7162.832
Grove, 1996, Comparative efficiency of informal (subjective, impressionistic) and formal (mechanical, algorithmic) prediction procedures, Psychology, Public Policy, and Law, 2, 293, 10.1037/1076-8971.2.2.293
Haynes, 2002, Clinical expertise in the era of evidence-based medicine and patient choice, ACP Journal Club, 10.7326/ACPJC-2002-136-2-A11
Holt, 1958, Clinical and statistical prediction: A reformulation and some new data, Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology, 56, 1, 10.1037/h0041045
Johnson, 2004
Johnson, 1984, Predicting the recurrence of child abuse, Social Work Research and Abstracts, 20, 21, 10.1093/swra/20.2.21
Lindsey, 1991, Factors affecting the foster care placement decision: An analysis of national survey data, American Journal of Orthopsychiatry, 61, 272, 10.1037/h0085011
Lindsey, 1992, Reliability of the foster care placement decision: A review, Research on Social Work Practice, 2, 65, 10.1177/104973159200200106
Lyons, 1996, Risk assessment for child protective services: A review of the empirical literature on instrument performance, Social Work Research, 20, 143
McDonald, 1991, A review of risk factors assessed in child protective services, Social Service Review, 65, 112, 10.1086/603819
Meehl, 1954
Monahan, 1996, Violent storms and violent people: How meteorology can inform risk communication in mental health law, American Psychologist, 51, 931, 10.1037/0003-066X.51.9.931
Morgan, 2002
Munro, 2004, A simpler way to understand the results of risk assessment instruments, Children and Youth Services Review, 26, 873, 10.1016/j.childyouth.2004.02.026
Nisbett, 1980
Rossi, 1996
Ruscio, 1998, Information integration in child welfare cases: An introduction to statistical decision making, Child Maltreatment: Journal of the American Professional Society on the Abuse of Children, 3, 143, 10.1177/1077559598003002008
Rycus, 2003
Sackett, 1997
Sackett, 2000
Sarbin, 1943, A contribution to the study of actuarial and individual methods of prediction, American Journal of Sociology, 48, 593, 10.1086/219248
Sawyer, 1966, Measurement and prediction, clinical and statistical, Psychological Bulletin, 66, 178, 10.1037/h0023624
Schwalbe, 2004, Re-visioning risk assessment for human service decision making, Children and Youth Services Review, 26, 561, 10.1016/j.childyouth.2004.02.011
Shlonsky, 2004, Will the real evidence-based practice please step forward: Teaching the process of EBP to the helping professions, Journal of Brief Therapy and Crisis Intervention, 4, 137, 10.1093/brief-treatment/mhh011
Silver, 2002, A multiple models approach to assessing recidivism risk—Implications for judicial decision making, Criminal Justice and Behavior, 29, 538, 10.1177/009385402236732
United States General Accounting Office. (1997). Child welfare: Complex needs strain capacity to provide services (No. GAO/HEHS-97-115). Washingtion DC.
Wagner, D., Johnson, K., Johnson, W. (1998). Using actuarial risk assessment to target service interventions in pilot California counties. Paper presented at the 13th National Roundtable on CPS Risk Assessment, San Francisco, CA.
Wald, 1990, Risk assessment: The emperor's new clothes?, Child Welfare, 69, 483
Wood, 1995, Evaluation of children's sexual behaviors and incorporation of base rates in judgments of sexual abuse, Child Abuse and Neglect, 19