Regression models for forecasting goals and match results in association football

Audas, 2002, The impact of managerial change on team performance in professional sports, Journal of Economics and Business, 54, 633, 10.1016/S0148-6195(02)00120-0

Barnett, 1993, The effect of an artificial pitch surface on home team performance in football (soccer), Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, 156, 39, 10.2307/2982859

Cain, 2000, The favourite-longshot bias and market efficiency in UK football betting, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 47, 25, 10.1111/1467-9485.00151

Clarke, 1995, Home ground advantage of individual clubs in English soccer, Statistician, 44, 509, 10.2307/2348899

Crowder, 2002, Dynamic modelling and prediction of English Football League matches for betting, Statistician, 51, 157, 10.1111/1467-9884.00308

Dixon, 1997, Modelling association football scores and inefficiencies in the football betting market, Applied Statistics, 46, 265

Dixon, 2004, The value of statistical forecasts in the UK association football betting market, International Journal of Forecasting, 20, 686, 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2003.12.007

Dixon, 1998, A birth process model for association football matches, Statistician, 47, 523, 10.1111/1467-9884.00152

Dyte, 2000, A ratings based Poisson model for World Cup soccer simulation, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 51, 993, 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2600997

Forrest, 2000, Forecasting sport: The behaviour and performance of football tipsters, International Journal of Forecasting, 16, 317, 10.1016/S0169-2070(00)00050-9

Forrest, 2000, Making up the results: The work of the football pools panel, 1963–1997, Statistician, 49, 253, 10.1111/1467-9884.00235

Glewwe, 1997, A test of the normality assumption in the ordered probit model, Econometric Reviews, 16, 1, 10.1080/07474939708800369

Goddard, 2004, Forecasting football match results and the efficiency of fixed-odds betting, Journal of Forecasting, 23, 51, 10.1002/for.877

Holgate, 1964, Estimation for the bivariate Poisson distribution, Biometrika, 51, 241, 10.1093/biomet/51.1-2.241

Karlis, 2003, Analysis of sports data by using bivariate Poisson models, Statistician, 52, 381, 10.1111/1467-9884.00366

Koning, 2000, Balance in competition in Dutch soccer, Statistician, 49, 419, 10.1111/1467-9884.00244

Kuypers, 2000, Information and efficiency: An empirical study of a fixed odds betting market, Applied Economics, 32, 1353, 10.1080/00036840050151449

Maher, 1982, Modelling association football scores, Statistica Neerlandica, 36, 109, 10.1111/j.1467-9574.1982.tb00782.x

Ridder, 1994, Estimating the effect of a red card in soccer, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89, 1124, 10.1080/01621459.1994.10476850

Rue, 2000, Prediction and retrospective analysis of soccer matches in a league, Statistician, 49, 399, 10.1111/1467-9884.00243