The propagation from meteorological to hydrological drought and its potential influence factors

Journal of Hydrology - Tập 547 - Trang 184-195 - 2017
Shengzhi Huang1, Pei Li1, Qiang Huang1, Guoyong Leng2, Beibei Hou1, Lan Ma1
1State Key Laboratory Base of Eco-Hydraulic Engineering in Arid Area, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, China
2Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China

Tài liệu tham khảo

Allen, 1998 Austin, 1998, Yield-rainfall relationships in cereal cropping systems in the Ebro river valley of Spain, Eur. J. Agron., 8, 239, 10.1016/S1161-0301(97)00063-4 Barker, 2016, From meteorological to hydrological drought using standardised indicators, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2483, 10.5194/hess-20-2483-2016 Beniston, 2004, Extreme climatic events and their evolution under changing climatic conditions, Glob. Planet. Change, 44, 1, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.06.001 Budyko, 1974 Christensen, 2004, Intensification of extreme European summer precipitation in a warmer climate, Global Planet. Change, 44, 107, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.06.013 Cordery, 2000, A model for forecasting drought from teleconections, Water Resour. Res., 36, 763, 10.1029/1999WR900318 DeGaetano, 1999, A temporal comparison of drought impacts and responses in the New York City Metropolitan Area, Clim. Change, 42, 539, 10.1023/A:1005413410160 Evans, 2004, Discrimination between climate and human-induced dryland degradation, J. Arid Environ., 57, 535, 10.1016/S0140-1963(03)00121-6 Fu, 1981, On the calculation of the evaporation from land surface, SCIENTIA ATMOSPHERICA SINICA, 5, 23 Flannigan, 1988, A study of the relation of meteorological variables to monthly provincial area burned by wildfire in Canada (1953–1980), J. Appl. Meteor., 27, 441, 10.1175/1520-0450(1988)027<0441:ASOTRO>2.0.CO;2 Grinsted, 2004, Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series, Nonlinear Processes Geophys., 11, 561, 10.5194/npg-11-561-2004 Han, 2011, Irrigation impact on annual water balance of the oases in Tarim Basin, Northwest China, Hydrol. Process., 25, 167, 10.1002/hyp.7830 Hayes, 1999, Monitoring the 1996 drought using the standardized precipitation index, B Am. Meteorol. Soc., 80, 429, 10.1175/1520-0477(1999)080<0429:MTDUTS>2.0.CO;2 Huang, 2014, Copulas-based probabilistic characterization of the combination of dry and wet conditions in the Guanzhong Plain, China, J. Hydrol., Part D, 519, 3204, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.10.039 Huang, 2014, Spatio-temporal changes and frequency analysis of drought in the Wei River Basin, China, Water Resour. Manage., 28, 3095, 10.1007/s11269-014-0657-4 Huang, 2014, Monthly streamflow prediction using modified EMD-based support vector machine, J. Hydrol., 511, 764, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.01.062 Huang, 2015, Integrated index for drought assessment based on variable fuzzy set theory: a case study in the Yellow River basin, China, J. Hydrol., 527, 608, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.05.032 Huang, 2015, Identification of abrupt changes of the relationship between rainfall and runoff in the Wei River basin, China, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 120, 299, 10.1007/s00704-014-1170-7 Huang, 2008, Risk-based drought early warning system in reservoir operation, Adv. Water Resour., 31, 649, 10.1016/j.advwatres.2007.12.004 Hudgins, 1993, Wavelet transforms and atmospheric turbulence, Phys. Rev. Lett., 71, 3279, 10.1103/PhysRevLett.71.3279 Hudgins, 1996, Bivariate Wavelet Analysis of Asia Monsoon and ENSO, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 13, 299, 10.1007/BF02656848 Jiang, 2015, Separating the impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff using the Budyko-type equations with time-varying parameters, J. Hydrol., 522, 326, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.12.060 Kunkel, 2003, North American trends in extreme precipitation, Nat. Hazards, 29, 291, 10.1023/A:1023694115864 Kao, 2010, A copula-based joint deficit index for droughts, J. Hydrol., 380, 121, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.10.029 Lana, 2001, Patterns of monthly rainfall shortage and excess in terms of the Standardied Precipitation Index for Catalonia (NE Spain), Int. J. Clim., 21, 1669, 10.1002/joc.697 Leng, 2015, Climate change impacts on meteorological, agricultural and hydrological droughts in China, Glob. Planet. Change, 126, 23, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.01.003 Leng, 2015, Assessments of joint hydrological extreme risks in a warming climate in China, Int. J. Climatol. Livada, 2007, Spatial and temporal analysis of drought in Greece using the standardized precipitation index (SPI), Theor. Appl. Climatol., 89, 143, 10.1007/s00704-005-0227-z Logan, 2010, Assessing spatiotemporal variability of drought in the U.S. central plains, J. Arid Environ., 74, 247, 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2009.08.008 Li, 2013, Vegetation control on water and energy balance within the Budyko framework, Water Resour. Res., 49, 10.1002/wrcr.20107 McKee, 1993, The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, 179 Medved-Cvikl, 2012 Milly, 1993, An analytic solution of the stochastic storage problem applicable to soil-water, Water Resour. Res., 29, 3755, 10.1029/93WR01934 Milly, 1994, Climate, soil-water storage, and the average annual water-balance, Water Resour. Res., 30, 2143, 10.1029/94WR00586 Mishra, 2010, A review of drought concepts, J. Hydrol., 391, 202, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.012 Morid, 2006, Comparison of seven meteorological indices for drought monitoring in Iran, Int. J. Climatol., 26, 971, 10.1002/joc.1264 Mondal, 2015, Return levels of hydrologic droughts under climate change, Adv. Water Resour., 75, 67, 10.1016/j.advwatres.2014.11.005 Nicholson, 1998, Desertification, drought and surface vegetation: an example from the west African Sahel, Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 79, 815, 10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<0815:DDASVA>2.0.CO;2 Oladipo, 1985, A comparative performance analysis of three meteorological drought indices, J. Clim., 5, 655, 10.1002/joc.3370050607 Pandey, 2001, Relationship between the common climatic parameters and average drought frequency, Hydrol. Processes, 15, 1019, 10.1002/hyp.187 Pedro, 2001, Scale invariance in the nonstationarty of human heart rate, Phys. Rev. Lett., 87, 160815 Roderick, 2011, A simple framework for relating variations in runoff to variations in climatic conditions and catchment properties, Water Resour. Res., 47, W00G07, 10.1029/2010WR009826 Roy, 2004, Trends in extreme daily precipitation indices in India, Int. J. Climatol., 24, 457, 10.1002/joc.995 Sergio, 2012, Accurate computation of a streamflow drought index, J. Hydrol. Eng., 17, 318, 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000433 Shao, 2012, Nonparametric method for estimating the effects of climatic and catchment characteristics on mean annual evapotranspiration, Water Resour. Res., 48, W03517, 10.1029/2010WR009610 Szalai, 2000, 182 Talaee, 2014, Hydrological drought in the west of Iran and possible association with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns, Hydrol. Processes, 28, 764, 10.1002/hyp.9586 Torrence, 1998, A practical guide to wavelet analysis, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 79, 61, 10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<0061:APGTWA>2.0.CO;2 Van Loon, 2015, Hydrological drought severity explained by climate and catchment characteristics, J. Hydrol., 526, 3, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.10.059 Vicente-Serrano, 2005, Hydrological response to different time scales of climatological drought: an evaluation of the Standardized Precipitation Index in a mountainous Mediterranean basin, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 523, 10.5194/hess-9-523-2005 Vicente-Serrano, 2012, Accurate computation of a Streamflow drought index, J. Hydrol. Eng., 17, 318, 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000433 Wang, 2011, Quantifying the relative contribution of the climate and direct human impacts on mean annual streamflow in the contiguous United States, Water Resour Res, 47 Wang, 2011, Climate change impact on meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural drought in central Illinois, Water Resour. Res., 47, W09527, 10.1029/2010WR009845 Wilhite, 2000 Williams, 2012, Climate and vegetation controls on the surface water balance: synthesis of evapotranspiration measured across a global network of flux towers, Water Resour. Res., 48, W06523, 10.1029/2011WR011586 Willems, 2000, Compound intensity/duration/frequency relationships of extreme precipitation for two seasons and two storm types, J. Hydrol., 233, 189, 10.1016/S0022-1694(00)00233-X Xu, 2014, Spatio-temporal variation of drought in China during 1961–2012: a climatic perspective, J. Hydrol., 526, 253, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.047 Xu, 2014, Attribution analysis based on the Budyko Hypothesis for detecting the dominant cause of runoff decline in Haihe basin, J. Hydrol., 510, 530, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.12.052 Yang, 2007, Analyzing spatial and temporal variability of annual water-energy balance in non-humid regions of China using the Budyko hypothesis, Water Resour. Res., 43, W04426, 10.1029/2006WR005224 Yang, 2009, Impact of vegetation coverage on regional water balance in the non-humid regions of China, Water Resour. Res., 45, W00A14, 10.1029/2008WR006948 Yang, 2008, New analytical derivation of the mean annual water-energy balance equation, Water Resour. Res., 44 Yang, 2011, Derivation of climate elasticity of runoff to assess the effects of climate change on annual runoff, Water Resour. Res., 47, W07526, 10.1029/2010WR009287 Yang, 2014, The regional variation in climate elasticity and climate contribution to runoff across China, J. Hydrol., 517, 607, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.062 Zhao, 2014, Analysis of temporal and spatial trends of hydro-climatic variables in the Wei River Basin, Environ. Res., 139, 55, 10.1016/j.envres.2014.12.028 Zhang, 2008, The characteristics of precipitation variation of Weihe River Basin in Shaanxi Province during recent 50 years, Agric. Res. Arid Areas, 26, 236 Zhang, 2001, Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale, Water Resour. Res., 37, 701, 10.1029/2000WR900325 Zhang, 2004, A rational function approach for estimating mean annual evapotranspiration, Water Resour. Res., 40, 02502, 10.1029/2003WR002710