Climate change impacts on agricultural suitability and yield reduction in a Mediterranean region
Tài liệu tham khảo
Abd-Elmabod, 2019, Rapid urbanisation threatens fertile agricultural land and soil carbon in the Nile delta, J. Environ. Manage., 252, 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109668
Abd-Elmabod, 2017, Modelling agricultural suitability along soil transects under current conditions and improved scenario of soil factors
Abd-Elmabod, 2019, Assessment of soil suitability for improvement of soil factors and agricultural management, Sustainability, 11, 1588, 10.3390/su11061588
Aggarwal, 2019, Importance of considering technology growth in impact assessments of climate change on agriculture, Glob. Food Secur., 23, 41, 10.1016/j.gfs.2019.04.002
Akbari, 2019, Evaluating land suitability for spatial planning in arid regions of eastern Iran using fuzzy logic and multi-criteria analysis, Ecol. Ind., 98, 587, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.11.035
Al-Mukhtar, 2019, Future predictions of precipitation and temperature in Iraq using the statistical downscaling model, Arab. J. Geosci., 12, 25, 10.1007/s12517-018-4187-x
Amouzou, 2019, Climate change impact on water-and nitrogen-use efficiencies and yields of maize and sorghum in the northern Benin dry savanna, West Africa, Field Crops Res., 235, 104, 10.1016/j.fcr.2019.02.021
Anaya-Romero, 2015, Evaluating soil threats under climate change scenarios in the Andalusia region, southern Spain, Land Degrad. Dev., 26, 441, 10.1002/ldr.2363
Anaya-Romero, 2011, Analysis of soil capability versus land use change by using CORINE land cover and MicroLEIS, Int. Agrophys., 25, 395
Asseng, 2015, Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production, Nat. Clim. Change, 5, 143, 10.1038/nclimate2470
Atlin, 2017, Rapid breeding and varietal replacement are critical to adaptation of cropping systems in the developing world to climate change, Glob. Food Secur., 12, 31, 10.1016/j.gfs.2017.01.008
Bandyopadhyay, 2009, Assessment of land suitability potentials for agriculture using a remote sensing and GIS based approach, Int. J. Remote Sens., 30, 879, 10.1080/01431160802395235
Bekele, 2017, Demonstrating effect of rainfall characteristics on wheat yield: Case of Sinana District, South Eastern Ethiopia. Agricultural Sciences, 8, 371, 10.4236/as.2017.85028
Benet, 2006, Spain
Bermejo, 2011
Blanco, 2017, Climate change impacts on EU agriculture: A regionalized perspective taking into account market-driven adjustments, Agric. Syst., 156, 52, 10.1016/j.agsy.2017.05.013
California Department of Food and Agriculture. 2013. Climate Change Consortium for Specialty Crops: Impacts and Strategies for Resilience. https://www.cdfa.ca.gov/oefi/climate/docs/CCC_Report.pdf (Accessed September 2, 2018).
Cammarano, 2019, The impact of climate change on barley yield in the Mediterranean basin, Eur. J. Agron., 106, 1, 10.1016/j.eja.2019.03.002
Carsan, 2014, Can agroforestry option values improve the functioning of drivers of agricultural intensification in Africa?, Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustainability, 6, 35, 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.10.007
Challinor, 2009, Crops and climate change: progress, trends, and challenges in simulating impacts and informing adaptation, J. Exp. Bot., 60, 2775, 10.1093/jxb/erp062
Chapman, 2012, Plant adaptation to climate change—opportunities and priorities in breeding, Crop Pasture Sci., 63, 251, 10.1071/CP11303
Chiaramonti, 2019, Policy measures for sustainable sunflower cropping in EU-MED marginal lands amended by biochar: case study in Tuscany, Italy, Biomass Bioenergy, 126, 199, 10.1016/j.biombioe.2019.04.021
Corbeels, 2018, Can we use crop modelling for identifying climate change adaptation options?, Agric. For. Meteorol., 256–257, 46, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.02.026
Cox, 2018, Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability, Nature, 553, 319, 10.1038/nature25450
De la Rosa, 1974
1987
De la Rosa, 2002, A multilingual soil profile database (SDBm Plus) as an essential part of land resources information systems, Environ. Modell. Softw., 17, 721, 10.1016/S1364-8152(02)00031-2
De la Rosa, 2009, Soil-specific agro-ecological strategies for sustainable land use - A case study by using MicroLEIS DSS in Sevilla province (Spain), Land Use Policy, 26, 1055, 10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.01.004
De La Rosa, 1981, Crop yield predictions based on properties of soils in Sevilla, Spain, Geoderma, 25, 267, 10.1016/0016-7061(81)90040-9
De La Rosa, 1996, Land vulnerability evaluation and climate change impacts in Andalucía, Spain: Soil erosion and contamination, Int. Agrophys., 10, 225
De La Rosa, 2004, A land evaluation decision support system (MicroLEIS DSS) for agricultural soil protection: With special reference to the Mediterranean region, Environ. Modell. Softw., 19, 929, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2003.10.006
De la Rosa, 1992, MicroLEIS: A microcomputer-based Mediterranean land evaluation information system, Soil Use Manag., 8, 89, 10.1111/j.1475-2743.1992.tb00900.x
Debaeke, 2017, Sunflower crop and climate change: Vulnerability, adaptation, and mitigation potential from case-studies in Europe, OCL - Oilseeds Fats Crops Lipids, 24
DeFries, 2016, Synergies and trade-offs for sustainable agriculture: Nutritional yields and climate-resilience for cereal crops in Central India, Glob. Food Secur., 11, 44, 10.1016/j.gfs.2016.07.001
Dong, 2018, Vulnerability assessment of spring wheat production to climate change in the Inner Mongolia region of China, Ecol. Ind., 85, 67, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.10.008
El Baroudy, 2016, Mapping and evaluating land suitability using a GIS-based model, Catena, 140, 96, 10.1016/j.catena.2015.12.010
Fanzo, 2018, The effect of climate change across food systems: Implications for nutrition outcomes, Glob. Food Secur., 18, 12, 10.1016/j.gfs.2018.06.001
FAO. 1976. A framework for land evaluation. Soils Bulletin 32. Rome.
FAO. 1986. Early agrometeorological crop yield forecasting. Plant Production and Protection Paper 73. M. Frere and G.F. Popov. Rome.
FAO, 1996. Agro-ecological Zoning: Guidelines. FAO Soils. Soil Resources, Management and Conservation Service. FAO Land and Water Development Division. Bulletin 73. Rome, Italy. 78 p.
Flint, L.E., Flint, A.L., Stern, M.A., Mayer, A., Silver, W.L., Casey, C., Franco, F., Byrd, K.B., Sleeter, B.M., Alvarez, P., Creque, J., 2018. Increasing soil organic carbon to mitigate greenhouse gases and increase climate resiliency for California (No. CCCA4-CNRA-2018-006). California Natural Resources Agency.
Fonseca, 2019, Predicting hydrologic flows under climate change: The Tâmega Basin as an analog for the Mediterranean region, Sci. Total Environ., 668, 1013, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.435
Guarin, 2019, Impacts of tropospheric ozone and climate change on Mexico wheat production, Clim. Change, 155, 157, 10.1007/s10584-019-02451-4
Gutiérrez, 2013, Geomorphological research in Spain, Geomorphology, 196, 1, 10.1016/j.geomorph.2012.12.014
Hanjra, 2010, Global water crisis and future food security in an era of climate change, Food Policy, 35, 365, 10.1016/j.foodpol.2010.05.006
Hernandez-Ochoa, 2018, Climate change impact on Mexico wheat production, Agric. For. Meteorol., 263, 373, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.008
Hondebrink, 2017, The impact of agricultural management on selected soil properties in citrus orchards in eastern Spain: A comparison between conventional and organic citrus orchards with drip and flood irrigation, Sci. Total Environ., 581–582, 153, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.12.087
Iizumi, 2018, Global crop yield forecasting using seasonal climate information from a multi-model ensemble, Clim. Serv., 11, 13, 10.1016/j.cliser.2018.06.003
IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 pp.
Jaisli, 2018, Suitability evaluation system for the production and sourcing of agricultural commodities, Comput. Electron. Agric.
Jarecki, 2018, Long-term trends in corn yields and soil carbon under diversified crop rotations, J. Environ. Qual., 47, 635, 10.2134/jeq2017.08.0317
Jat, M. L., Bijay-Singh, Stirling, C. M., Jat, H. S., Tetarwal, J. P., Jat, R. K., et al., 2018. Soil processes and wheat cropping under emerging climate change scenarios in south Asia, doi:10.1016/bs.agron.2017.11.006.
Jaynes, 2003, Cluster analysis of spatiotemporal corn yield patterns in an Iowa field, Agron. J., 95, 574, 10.2134/agronj2003.5740
Jones, 2003, The DSSAT cropping system model, Eur. J. Agron., 18, 235, 10.1016/S1161-0301(02)00107-7
Jourgholami, 2019, Soil physio-chemical and biological indicators to evaluate the restoration of compacted soil following reforestation, Ecol. Ind., 101, 102, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.01.009
Juhos, 2019, Interpretation of soil quality indicators for land suitability assessment–A multivariate approach for Central European arable soils, Ecol. Ind., 99, 261, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.11.063
Juhos, 2016, Explore the influence of soil quality on crop yield using statistically-derived pedological indicators, Ecol. Ind., 63, 366, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.12.029
Kang, 2009, Climate change impacts on crop yield, crop water productivity and food security - A review, Prog. Nat. Sci., 19, 1665, 10.1016/j.pnsc.2009.08.001
Keesstra, 2016, The significance of soils and soil science towards realization of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, Soil, 2, 111, 10.5194/soil-2-111-2016
Kitchen, 2003, Soil electrical conductivity and topography related to yield for three contrasting soil-crop systems, Agron. J., 95, 483, 10.2134/agronj2003.4830
Kravchenko, 2005, Management, topographical, and weather effects on spatial variability of crop grain yields, Agron. J., 97, 514, 10.2134/agronj2005.0514
Lal, 2011, Management to mitigate and adapt to climate change, J. Soil Water Conserv., 66, 276, 10.2489/jswc.66.4.276
Lozano-García, 2017, Climate and land use changes effects on soil organic carbon stocks in a Mediterranean semi-natural area, Sci. Total Environ., 579, 1249, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.11.111
Luedeling, 2014, Agroforestry systems in a changing climate-challenges in projecting future performance, Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustainability, 6, 1, 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.07.013
Malek, 2018, Global change effects on land management in the Mediterranean region, Global Environ. Change, 50, 238, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.04.007
Manderscheid, 2018, Nitrogen supply–A determinant in water use efficiency of winter wheat grown under free air CO2 enrichment, Agric. Water Manage., 210, 70, 10.1016/j.agwat.2018.07.034
Moore, 2014, Adaptation potential of European agriculture in response to climate change, Nat. Clim. Change, 4, 610, 10.1038/nclimate2228
Moriondo, 2011, Climate change impact assessment: The role of climate extremes in crop yield simulation, Clim. Change, 104, 679, 10.1007/s10584-010-9871-0
Mueller, 2012, Integrating the complexity of global change pressures on land and water, Glob. Food Secur., 1, 88, 10.1016/j.gfs.2012.11.001
Muñoz-Rojas, 2017, Climate change impacts on soil organic carbon stocks of Mediterranean agricultural areas: A case study in northern Egypt, Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 238, 142, 10.1016/j.agee.2016.09.001
Muñoz-Rojas, 2011, Changes in land cover and vegetation carbon stocks in Andalusia, southern Spain (1956–2007), Sci. Total Environ., 409, 2796, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.04.009
Muñoz-Rojas, 2015, Application of CarboSOIL model to predict the effects of climate change on soil organic carbon stocks in agro-silvo-pastoral Mediterranean management systems, Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 202, 8, 10.1016/j.agee.2014.12.014
Muñoz-Rojas, 2013, Modelling soil organic carbon stocks in global change scenarios: A CarboSOIL application, Biogeosciences, 10, 8253, 10.5194/bg-10-8253-2013
Neset, T. S., Wiréhn, L., Opach, T., Glaas, E., Linnér, B. O., 2018. Evaluation of indicators for agricultural vulnerability to climate change: the case of Swedish agriculture. Ecol. Indic., in press. doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.05.042.
Niknam, 2018, Using microleis DSS to assess the impact of climate change on land capability in the Miandoab plain, Iran, Carpathian J. Earth Environ. Sci., 13, 225, 10.26471/cjees/2018/013/020
Oliver, 1980, Monthly precipitation distribution: A comparative index, Prof. Geograph., 32, 300, 10.1111/j.0033-0124.1980.00300.x
Pereira, 2018, Soil ecosystem services, sustainability, valuation and management, Curr. Opin. Environ. Sci. Health, 5, 7, 10.1016/j.coesh.2017.12.003
Poppy, 2014, Food security in a perfect storm: Using the ecosystem services framework to increase understanding, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B: Biol. Sci., 369, 10.1098/rstb.2012.0288
Rabati, 2012, Qualitative and quantitative land-suitability evaluation for sunflower and maize in the north-west of Iran, Arch. Agron. Soil Sci., 58, 1229, 10.1080/03650340.2011.579597
Rahimi-Moghaddam, 2018, Adaptation strategies to lessen negative impact of climate change on grain maize under hot climatic conditions: A model-based assessment, Agric. For. Meteorol., 253–254, 1, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.01.032
Reynolds, 2016, An integrated approach to maintaining cereal productivity under climate change, Glob. Food Secur., 8, 9, 10.1016/j.gfs.2016.02.002
Rosegrant, 2008, Global scenarios for biofuels: Impacts and implications, Rev. Agric. Econ., 30, 495, 10.1111/j.1467-9353.2008.00424.x
Rossiter, 1996, A theoretical framework for land evaluation, Geoderma, 72, 165, 10.1016/0016-7061(96)00031-6
Schmidhuber, 2007, Global food security under climate change, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 104, 19703, 10.1073/pnas.0701976104
Serpa, 2015, Impacts of climate and land use changes on the hydrological and erosion processes of two contrasting Mediterranean catchments, Sci. Total Environ., 538, 64, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.08.033
Shahbazi, 2010, Integrated assessment of rural lands for sustainable development using MicroLEIS DSS in west Azerbaijan, Iran, Geoderma, 157, 175, 10.1016/j.geoderma.2010.04.010
Shahbazi, 2009, Agro-ecological field vulnerability evaluation and climate change impacts in Souma area (Iran), using MicroLEIS DSS, Biologia (Bratisl), 64, 555, 10.2478/s11756-009-0104-9
Si, 2004, Scale-dependent relationship between wheat yield and topographic indices: A wavelet approach, Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J., 68, 577
Smith, 2016, Global change pressures on soils from land use and management, Glob. Change Biol., 22, 1008, 10.1111/gcb.13068
Soil Survey Division Staff, 1993
Tao, 2014, Responses of wheat growth and yield to climate change in different climate zones of china, 1981–2009, Agric. For. Meteorol., 189–190, 91, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.01.013
Tebaldi, 2018, Estimated impacts of emission reductions on wheat and maize crops, Clim. Change, 146, 533, 10.1007/s10584-015-1537-5
Thornthwaite, 1948, An Approach toward a Rational Classification of Climate, Geogr. Rev., 38, 55, 10.2307/210739
Tilman, 2002, Agricultural sustainability and intensive production practices, Nature, 418, 671, 10.1038/nature01014
Trenberth, 2008, The impact of climate change and variability on heavy precipitation, floods, and droughts, Encycl. Hydrol. Sci.
Untenecker, 2017, Tracking changes in the land use, management and drainage status of organic soils as indicators of the effectiveness of mitigation strategies for climate change, Ecol. Ind., 72, 459, 10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.08.004
USDA, 2014
Valizadeh, 2014, Assessing climate change impacts on wheat production (a case study), J. Saudi Soc. Agric. Sci., 13, 107
Vera, J.A., 1994. Geologia de Andalucia - Ensenanza de las Ciencias de la Tierra. (2.2 y 2.3).
Verheye, W., 1986. Land evaluation and land use planning in the EEC. CEC-DG. 6, Draft. Rep. Brussels.
Whetton, 2018, Quantifying individual and collective influences of soil properties on crop yield, Soil Res., 56, 19, 10.1071/SR16264
Wiebe, 2019, 55
Xiong, 2020, Different uncertainty distribution between high and low latitudes in modelling warming impacts on wheat, Nature Food, 1, 63, 10.1038/s43016-019-0004-2
Yang, 2017, The impacts of increased heat stress events on wheat yield under climate change in China, Clim. Change, 140, 605, 10.1007/s10584-016-1866-z
Zalidis, 2002, Impacts of agricultural practices on soil and water quality in the Mediterranean region and proposed assessment methodology, Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 88, 137, 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00249-3