Does flood experience modify risk preferences? Evidence from an artefactual field experiment in Vietnam

GENEVA Risk and Insurance Review - Tập 45 - Trang 36-74 - 2019
Arnaud Reynaud1,2, Cécile Aubert3
1Toulouse School of Economics, INRA, University of Toulouse Capitole, Toulouse, France
2University of Economics and Law Ho Chi Minh City and Vietnam Center of Research in Economics, Management and Environment (VCREME), Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
3University of Bordeaux, GREThA, and Toulouse School of Economics, Bordeaux, France

Tóm tắt

We conducted an artefactual field experiment in Vietnam to investigate whether and how experiencing a natural disaster affects individual attitudes toward risks. Using experimental and real household data, we show that households in villages affected by a flood in recent years exhibit more risk aversion, compared with individuals living in similar but unaffected villages. Interestingly, this result holds for the loss domain, but not the gain domain. In line with Prospect Theory, Vietnamese households distort probabilities. The distortion is related to aid received and social networks participation, but is unrelated to flood experience.

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