Hurricane Sandy Effects on Coastal Marsh Elevation Change

Springer Science and Business Media LLC - Tập 43 - Trang 1640-1657 - 2020
Alice G. Yeates1, James B. Grace2, Jennifer H. Olker1, Glenn R. Guntenspergen3, Donald R. Cahoon3, Susan Adamowicz4, Shimon C. Anisfeld5, Nels Barrett6, Alice Benzecry7, Linda Blum8, Robert R. Christian9, Joseph Grzyb10, Ellen Kracauer Hartig11,12, Kelly Hines Leo13, Scott Lerberg14, James C. Lynch15, Nicole Maher16, J. Patrick Megonigal17, William Reay14, Drexel Siok18, Adam Starke13, Vincent Turner19, Scott Warren20
1University of Minnesota – Duluth, Duluth, USA
2U.S. Geological Survey, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center, Lafayette, USA
3U.S. Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, USA
4U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Rachel Carson National Wildlife Refuge, Wells, USA
5School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, USA
6Natural Resources Conservation Service, Washington, USA
7Fairleigh Dickinson University, Teaneck, USA
8Virginia Coast Reserve LTER, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, USA
9Virginia Coast Reserve LTER, East Carolina University, Greenville, USA
10Meadowlands Environmental Research Institute, Lyndhurst, USA
11New York City Parks, New York City, USA
12The Graduate Center, City University of New York, New York City, USA
13The Nature Conservancy, Maryland, DC, Bethesda, USA
14Chesapeake Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, Gloucester Point, USA
15National Park Service, Northeast Coastal & Barrier Network, Washington, USA
16The Nature Conservancy, Long Island, USA
17Smithsonian Environmental Research Center, Edgewater, USA
18Delaware Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Control, Delaware National Estuarine Research Reserve, Delaware, USA
19U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Edwin B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge, Galloway, USA
20Connecticut College, New London, USA

Tóm tắt

High-magnitude storm events such as Hurricane Sandy are powerful agents of geomorphic change in coastal marshes, potentially altering their surface elevation trajectories. But how do a storm’s impacts vary across a large region spanning a variety of wetland settings and storm exposures and intensities. We determined the short-term impacts of Hurricane Sandy at 223 surface elevation table–marker horizon stations in estuarine marshes located across the northeast region of the United States by comparing post-storm surface elevation change with pre-storm elevation trends. We hypothesized that the storm’s effect on marsh elevation trends would be influenced by position relative to landfall (right or left) and distance from landfall. The structural equation model presented predicts that marshes located to the left of landfall were more likely to experience an elevation gain greater than expected, and this positive deviation from pre-storm elevation trends tended to have a greater magnitude than those experiencing negative deviations (elevation loss), potentially due to greater sediment deposition. The magnitude of negative deviations from elevation change in marshes to the right of landfall was greater than for positive deviations, with a greater effect in marshes within 200 km of landfall, potentially from the extent and magnitude of storm surge. Overall, results provide an integrated picture of how storm characteristics combined with the local wetland setting are important to a storm’s impact on surface elevation, and that the surface elevation response can vary widely among sites across a region impacted by the same storm.

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