A simpler way to understand the results of risk assessment instruments

Children and Youth Services Review - Tập 26 - Trang 873-883 - 2004
Eileen Munro1
1Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics, Houghton St., London WC2A 2AE, UK

Tài liệu tham khảo

Baird, 1999, Risk assessment in child protective services: consensus and actuarial model reliability, Child Welfare, LXXV111, 723 Besharov, 1990 1997 Casscells, 1978, Interpretation by physicians of clinical laboratory results, New England Journal of Medicine, 299, 999, 10.1056/NEJM197811022991808 Corby, 1993 Gambrill, 2001, Social work: an authority-based profession, Research in Social Work Practice, 11, 166, 10.1177/104973150101100203 2001 Gigerenzer, 2002 Grove, 1996, Comparative efficiency of informal (subjective, impressionistic) and formal (mechanical, algorithmic) prediction procedures, Psychology, Public Policy and Law, 2, 293, 10.1037/1076-8971.2.2.293 Hood, 2000 Hoffrage, 1998, Using natural frequencies to improve diagnostic inferences, Academic Medicine, 73, 538, 10.1097/00001888-199805000-00024 Johnson, 1988 Johnson W. (1996) Risk assessment research: Progress and future directions: Protecting Children, 12 14–19 Kahneman, 1990 Lyons, 1996, Risk assessment for child protective servies: a review of the empirical literature on instrument performance, Social Work Research, 20, 43 Munro, 1999, Common errors of reasoning in child protection work, Child Abuse and Neglect, 23, 745, 10.1016/S0145-2134(99)00053-8 Munro, 2002 Norfolk Health Authority, Munro, E. (2002). Summary report of the independent health review. Norfolk, England: Norfolk Health Authority Parton, 1997 Rushton, 1996, The supervision of child protection work, British Journal of Social Work, 26, 357, 10.1093/oxfordjournals.bjsw.a011100 Tversky, 1974, Judgement under uncertainty: heuristics and biases, Science, 185, 1124, 10.1126/science.185.4157.1124 Wald, 1990, Risk assessment: the emperor's new clothes?, Child Welfare, 69, 483 Waldfogel, 1998 Wells S., Anderson T. (1992). Model building in child protection services intake and investigation. Final report to the National Center on Child Abuse and Neglect for Grant #90-CA-1407. Washington, DC: American Bar Association Centre on Children and Law Zuravin, 1995, Disposition of child physical abuse reports: review of the literature and test of a predictive model, Children and Youth Services Review, 17, 547, 10.1016/0190-7409(95)00038-E