Separating effects of vegetation change and climate variability using hydrological modelling and sensitivity-based approaches

Arora, 2002, The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff, Journal of Hydrology, 265, 164, 10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00101-4

BRS, 2009. Australia’s Plantations 2009 Inventory Update. Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, Bureau of Rural Sciences, Canberra.

Budyko, M.I., 1958. The Heat Balance of the Earth’s Surface, translated from Russian by N.A. Stepanova, US Dep. of Commer., Washington, 259 pp.

Bultot, 1990, Simulation of land use changes and impacts on the water balance – a case study for Belgium, Journal of Hydrology, 114, 327, 10.1016/0022-1694(90)90064-5

Cheng, 2002, Combining a fuzzy optimal model with a genetic algorithm to solve multi-objective rainfall–runoff model calibration, Journal of Hydrology, 268, 72, 10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00122-1

Chiew, 2009, Estimating climate change impact on runoff across southeast Australia: method, results, and implications of the modeling method, Water Resources Research, 45, 10414, 10.1029/2008WR007338

Chiew, F.H.S., Peel, M.C., Western, A.W., 2002. Application and testing of the simple rainfall–runoff model SIMHYD. In: Singh, V.P., Frevert, D.K., (Eds.), Mathematical Models of Small Watershed Hydrology and Application. Water Resource Publications, Littleton, Colorado, pp. 335–367.

Chiew, 2006, Estimation of rainfall elasticity of streamflow in Australia, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 51, 613, 10.1623/hysj.51.4.613

Costa, 2003, Effects of large-scale changes in land cover on the discharge of the Tocantins River, Southeastern Amazonia, Journal of Hydrology, 283, 206, 10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00267-1

Dooge, 1999, A simple model for estimating the sensitivity of runoff to long-term changes in precipitation without a change in vegetation, Advances in Water Resources, 23, 153, 10.1016/S0309-1708(99)00019-6

Elfert, 2010, Simulated impact of past and possible future land use changes on the hydrological response of the Northern German lowland ‘Hunte’ catchment, Journal of Hydrology, 383, 245, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.12.040

Fohrer, 2001, Hydrologic response to land use changes on the catchment scale, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Part B: Hydrology, Oceans and Atmosphere, 26, 577, 10.1016/S1464-1909(01)00052-1

Fu, 1981, On the calculation of the evaporation from land surface (in Chinese), Scientia Meteorologica Sinica, 5, 23

Gan, 1997, Effects of model complexity and structure, data quality, and objective functions on hydrologic modeling, Journal of Hydrology, 192, 81, 10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03114-9

Hewlett, 1969, In defense of experimental watersheds, Water Resources Research, 10.1029/WR005i001p00306

Hirsch, 1982, Techniques of trend analysis for monthly water quality data, Water Resources Research, 10.1029/WR018i001p00107

Hobbins, 2001, The complementary relationship in estimation of regional evapotranspiration: an enhanced advection-aridity model, Water Resources Research, 37, 1389, 10.1029/2000WR900359

Jackson, 2005, Trading water for carbon with biological carbon sequestration, Science, 310, 1944, 10.1126/science.1119282

Jayawardena, 2000, A modified spatial soil moisture storage capacity distribution curve for the Xinanjiang model, Journal of Hydrology, 227, 93, 10.1016/S0022-1694(99)00173-0

Jeffrey, 2001, Using spatial interpolation to construct a comprehensive archive of Australian climate data, Environmental Modelling & Software, 16, 309, 10.1016/S1364-8152(01)00008-1

Kendall, 1975

Koster, 1999, A simple framework for examining the interannual variability of land surface moisture fluxes, Journal of Climate, 12, 1911, 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1911:ASFFET>2.0.CO;2

Kuhnel, 1991, Partial analysis applied to scale problems in surface moisture fluxes, Surveys in Geophysics, 12, 221, 10.1007/BF01903420

Lane, 2005, The response of flow duration curves to afforestation, Journal of Hydrology, 310, 253, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.01.006

Li, 2009, Predicting runoff in ungauged catchments by using Xinanjiang model with MODIS leaf area index, Journal of Hydrology, 370, 155, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.03.003

Li, 2007, Assessing the impact of climate variability and human activities on streamflow from the Wuding River basin in China, Hydological Processes, 21, 3485, 10.1002/hyp.6485

Li, 2009, Impacts of land use change and climate variability on hydrology in an agricultural catchment on the Loess Plateau of China, Journal of Hydrology, 377, 35, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.08.007

Milly, 2002, Macroscale water fluxes – 2. Water and energy supply control of their interannual variability, Water Resources Research, 38, 10.1029/2001WR000760

Mann, 1945, Nonparametric tests against trend, Econometrica, 13, 245, 10.2307/1907187

Morton, 1983, Operational estimates of areal evapotranspiration and their significance to the science and practice of hydrology, Journal of Hydrology, 66, 1, 10.1016/0022-1694(83)90177-4

Nandakumar, 1997, Uncertainty in rainfall–runoff model simulations and the implications for predicting the hydrologic effects of land-use change, Journal of Hydrology, 192, 211, 10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03106-X

Nangia, 2010, Precipitation changes impact stream discharge, nitrate–nitrogen loads more than agricultural management changes, Journal of Environmental Quality, 39, 2063, 10.2134/jeq2010.0105

Nash, 1970, River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I – a discussion of principles, Journal of Hydrology, 10, 282, 10.1016/0022-1694(70)90255-6

Niehoff, 2002, Land-use impacts on storm–runoff generation: scenarios of land-use change and simulation of hydrological response in a meso-scale catchment in SW-Germany, Journal of Hydrology, 267, 80, 10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00142-7

Ol’dekop, E.M., 1911. On Evaporation from the Surface of River Basins. Trans. Met. Obs. lur-evskogo, Univ. Tartu 4 in Russian.

Pike, 1964, The estimation of annual runoff from meteorological data in a tropical climate, Journal of Hydrology, 2, 116, 10.1016/0022-1694(64)90022-8

Salmi, T., Määttä, A., Anttila, P., Ruoho-Airola, T., Amnell, T., 2002. Detecting Trends of Annual Values of Atmospheric Pollutants by the Mann–Kendall Test and Sen’s Slope Estimates – The Excel Template Application MAKESENS, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki.

Sankarasubramaniam, 2001, Climate elasticity of streamflow in the United States, Water Resources Research, 37, 1771, 10.1029/2000WR900330

Schreiber, 1904, Über die Beziehungen zwischen dem Niederschlag und der Wasserführung der Flüße in Mitteleuropa, Zeitschrift fur Meteorologie, 21, 441

Scott, 1997, Streamflow responses to afforestation with Eucalyptus grandis and Pinus patula and to felling in the Mokobulaan experimental catchments, South Africa, Journal of Hydrology, 199, 360, 10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03336-7

Sen, 1968, Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s Tau, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 63, 1379, 10.2307/2285891

Simpson, 2002, Movements and habitat use by the endangered Australian freshwater Mary River cod, Maccullochella peelii mariensis, Environmental Biology of Fishes, 65, 401, 10.1023/A:1021129021451

Siriwardena, 2006, The impact of land use change on catchment hydrology in large catchments: the Comet River, Central Queensland, Australia, Journal of Hydrology, 326, 199, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.10.030

Stoneman, 1993, Hydrological response to thinning a small jarrah (Eucalyptus marginata) forest catchment, Journal of Hydrology, 150, 393, 10.1016/0022-1694(93)90118-S

Tomer, 2009, A simple approach to distinguish land-use and climate-change effects on watershed hydrology, Journal of Hydrology, 376, 24, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.07.029

Tuteja, 2007, Partitioning the effects of pine plantations and climate variability on runoff from a large catchment in southeastern Australia, Water Resources Research, 10.1029/2006WR005016

Van Lill, 1980, The effect of afforestation with Eucalyptus Grandis Hill ex Maiden and Pinus Patula Schlecht. et Cham. on streamflow from experimental catchments at Mokobulaan, Transvaal, Journal of Hydrology, 48, 107, 10.1016/0022-1694(80)90069-4

Vaze, 2010, Future climate and runoff projections across New South Wales, Australia – results and practical applications, Hydrological Processes

Vaze, 2010, Climate nonstationarity – validity of calibrated rainfall–runoff models for use in climate change studies, Journal of Hydrology, 394, 447, 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.09.018

Vaze, 2011, Rainfall–runoff modelling across southeast Australia: datasets, models and results, Australian Journal of Water Resources, 14, 101, 10.1080/13241583.2011.11465379

Vaze, 2011, Conceptual rainfall–runoff model performance with different spatial rainfall inputs, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 1100, 10.1175/2011JHM1340.1

Vertessy, R.A., 1999. The impacts of forestry on streamflows: a review. In: Proceedings of the Second Forest Erosion Workshop, May 1999, Tech. Rep. 99/6, CRC for Catchment Hydrol., Melbourne, Australia.

Williamson, 1987, Response of input and output of water and chloride to clearing for agriculture, Journal of Hydrology, 94, 1, 10.1016/0022-1694(87)90030-8

Zhang, 2001, Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale, Water Resources Research, 37, 701, 10.1029/2000WR900325

Zhang, 2008, Responses of streamflow to changes in climate and land use/cover in the Loess Plateau, China, Water Resources Research, 10.1029/2007WR006711

Zhang, 2008, Estimating catchment evaporation and runoff using MODIS leaf area index and the Penman–Monteith Equation, Water Resources Research, 10.1029/2007WR006563

Zhang, 2009, Relative merits of different methods for runoff predictions in ungauged catchments, Water Resources Research, 45, W07412, 10.1029/2008WR007504

Zhao, 2010, Evaluation of methods for estimating the effects of vegetation change and climate variability on streamflow, Water Resources Research, 10.1029/2009WR007702

Zhao, 1992, The Xinanjiang model applied in China, Journal of Hydrology, 135, 371

Zhao, R.J., Zhang, Y.L., Fang, L.R., Liu, X.R., Zhang, Q.S., 1980. The Xinanjiang model. In: Hydrological Forecasting Proceedings Oxford Symposium. IASH, pp. 351–356.

Zheng, 2009, Responses of streamflow to climate and land surface change in the headwaters of the Yellow River Basin, Water Resources Research, 45, W00A19, 10.1029/2007WR006665