Agent-based model for earthquake pedestrians’ evacuation in urban outdoor scenarios: Behavioural patterns definition and evacuation paths choice

Safety Science - Tập 62 - Trang 450-465 - 2014
Marco D’Orazio1, Luca Spalazzi2, Enrico Quagliarini1, Gabriele Bernardini1
1Department of Construction, Civil Engineering and Architecture (DICEA), Università Politecnica delle Marche, via di Brecce Bianche, 60131 Ancona, Italy
2Department of Information Engineering (DII), Università Politecnica delle Marche, via di Brecce Bianche, 60131 Ancona, Italy

Tài liệu tham khảo

Alexander, 1990, Behavior during earthquakes: a southern italian example, International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters, 8, 5, 10.1177/028072709000800102 Ambraseys, N., 1983. Evaluation of seismic risk. In: Proc. NATO Advanced Studies on Seismicity & Seismic Risk of the North Sea. Reidel, Utrecht, pp. 317–345. Arnold, 1982, Occupant behavior in a six-storey office building fallowing severe earthquake damage, Disasters, 6, 207, 10.1111/j.1467-7717.1982.tb00537.x Auf Der Heide, E., 2004. Common Misconceptions about Disasters: Panic, the “Disaster Syndrome”, and Looting. In: The First 72h: A Community Approach to Disaster Preparedness. iUniverse Publishing, Lincoln (Nebraska), pp. 340–380. Averill, 2005, World trade center disaster occupant behavior, egress, and emergency communications, NIST NCSTAR, 1 Barbat, 1996, Damage scenarios simulation for seismic risk assessment in urban zones, Earthquake Spectra, 12, 371, 10.1193/1.1585889 Boileau, 1978 Brown, D., Christian, W., 2011. Simulating what you see: combining computer modeling with video analysis. In: 8th International Conference on Hands on Science. Ljubljana, Slovenija. Calvi, 2006, Development of seismic vulnerability assessment methodologies over the past 30years, ISET Journal of Earthquake Technology, 43, 75 Chen, 1997, Quick and approximate estimation of earthquake loss based on macroscopic index of exposure and population distribution, Natural Hazards, 15, 217, 10.1023/A:1007983209672 Chu, 2006, Simulation study on the effect of pre-evacuation time and exit width on evacuation, Chinese Science Bulletin, 51, 1381, 10.1007/s11434-006-1381-0 Dederichs, A., Larusdottir, A.R., 2010. Evacuation Dynamics of Children – Walking Speeds, Flows Through Doors In Daycare Centers. In: Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics. Gaithersburg, USA. Fahy, R.F., Proulx, G., 2001. Toward creating a database on delay times to start evacuation and walking speeds for use in evacuation modeling. In: 2nd International Symposium on Human Behaviour in Fire, Boston, MA, USA. pp. 175–183. Federal Emergency Management Agency, 2009. HAZUS®-MH Advanced Engineering Building Module (AEBM). Technical And User’s Manual, Management. FEMA, Washington, DC. Giovinazzi, S., Lagomarsino, S., 2001. A method for the vulnerability analysis of built-up areas (Una metodologia per l’analisi di vulnerabilità sismica del costruito). In: Proceding of 10th Italian Conference on Earthquake Engineering. Potenza-Matera. Grimaz, S., Meroni, F., Petrini, V., Tomasoni, R., Zonno, G., 1997. Rules of Friuli Earthquake datafor building vulnerability model (Il ruolo dei dati di danneggiamento del terremoto del Friuli nello studio dei modelli di vulnerabilità sismica degli edifici in muratura). In: Forum editore (Ed.), Sciences and Earthquake (La Scienza e i Terremoti). Udine, pp. 89–96. Grünthal, G. (Ed.), 1998. European Macroseismic Scale 1998 (EMS-98). Cahiers du Centre Européen de Géodynamique et de Séismologie 15. Helbing, 2000, Simulating dynamical features of escape panic, Nature, 407, 487, 10.1038/35035023 Helbing, D., Farkas, J.I., Molnar, P., Vicsek, T., 2002. Simulation of Pedestrian Crowds in Normal and Evacuation Situations. In: Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics. Berlin, pp. 21–58. Helbing, D., Johansson, A.F., 2010. Pedestrian, Crowd and Evacuation Dynamics. In: Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science. Springer, pp. 6476–6495. Heliövaara, 2012, Counterflow model for agent-based simulation of crowd dynamics, Building and Environment, 48, 89, 10.1016/j.buildenv.2011.08.020 Hori, 2011 Hughes, 2002, A continuum theory for the flow of pedestrians, Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 36, 507, 10.1016/S0191-2615(01)00015-7 James, 1968, On Some Mental Effects of the Earthquake, 207 Jiménez, 2006, A Moore’s cellular automaton model to get probabilistic seismic hazard maps for different magnitude releases: a case study for Greece, Tectonophysics, 423, 35, 10.1016/j.tecto.2006.03.030 Johnson, N.R., Feinberg, W.E., Johnston, D.M., 1994. Microstructure and panic: the impact of social bonds on individual action in collective flight from the Beverly Hills Supper Club Fire. In: University of Delaware press (Ed.), Disasters, Collective Behaviour and Social Organization. Newark-Delaware. Klügel, 2008, Seismic Hazard Analysis—Quo vadis?, Earth-Science Reviews, 88, 1, 10.1016/j.earscirev.2008.01.003 Lakoba, 2005, Modifications of the Helbing-Molnar-Farkas-Vicsek social force model for pedestrian evolution, Simulation, 81, 339, 10.1177/0037549705052772 Langston, 2006, Crowd dynamics discrete element multi-circle model, Safety Science, 44, 395, 10.1016/j.ssci.2005.11.007 Manenti, L.A., Manzoni, S. Lucia, 2011. Crystals of Crowd: Modelling Pedestrian Groups Using MAS-based Approach. In: Proceedings of the 12th Workshop on Objects and Agents. Rende (CS), Italy, pp. 51–57. Mawson, 2007 Meletti, 2008, A seismic source zone model for the seismic hazard assessment of the Italian territory, Tectonophysics, 450, 85, 10.1016/j.tecto.2008.01.003 Mouroux, 2006, Presentation of RISK-UE project, Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 4, 323, 10.1007/s10518-006-9020-3 Mouroux, 2006, Risk-Ue Project: an advanced approach to earthquake risk scenarios with application to different European towns, Geotechnical, Geological and Earthquake Engineering, 2 Muir, 1996, Effects of motivation and cabin configuration on emergency aircraft evacuation behavior and rates of egress, The International Journal of Aviation Psychology, 6, 57, 10.1207/s15327108ijap0601_4 Nilsson, 2010, Design of voice alarms. The benefit of mentioning fire and the use of a synthetic voice, 135 Nilsson, 2009, Social influence during the initial phase of a fire evacuation—analysis of evacuation experiments in a cinema theatre, Fire Safety Journal, 44, 71, 10.1016/j.firesaf.2008.03.008 Orozova, 1999, A deterministic–probabilistic approach for seismic hazard assessment, Tectonophysics, 312, 191, 10.1016/S0040-1951(99)00162-6 Osaragi, 2004, Modeling of Pedestrian Behavior and Its Applications to Spatial Evaluation, 836 Osaragi, T., 2012. Modeling a spatiotemporal distribution of stranded people returning home on foot in the aftermath of a large-scale earthquake. Natural Hazards, LA – English. pp. 1–14. Palacios Molina, S., 2004. State of the art in seismic vulnerability [WWW Document]. URL http://rua.ua.es/dspace/bitstream/10045/2626/1/VULNERABILITY.pdf. Panza, 2012, Chapter three – seismic hazard scenarios as preventive tools for a Disaster Resilient Society, Advances in Geophysics, 53, 10.1016/B978-0-12-380938-4.00003-3 Panza, 2001, Beno Gutenberg contribution to seismic hazard assessment and recent progress in the European–Mediterranean region, Earth-Science Reviews, 55, 165, 10.1016/S0012-8252(01)00051-4 Pelechano, 2008, Evacuation simulation models: challenges in modeling high rise building evacuation with cellular automata approaches, Automation in Construction, 17, 377, 10.1016/j.autcon.2007.06.005 Pietrantoni, L., Prati, G., 2003. Collective behaviours in evacuations (I comportamenti collettivi durante l ’ evacuazione nelle emergenze) [WWW Document]. URL <http://www.cespro.unifi.it/upload/sub/relazioni/pietrantoni.pdf>. Prati, 2012, Emotional and behavioural reactions to tremors of the Umbria–Marche earthquake, Disasters, 36, 439, 10.1111/j.1467-7717.2011.01264.x Riad, 1999, Predicting evacuation in two major disasters: risk perception, social influence, and access to Resources1, Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 29, 918, 10.1111/j.1559-1816.1999.tb00132.x Schadschneider, A., 2001. Cellular Automaton Approach to Pedestrian Dynamics – Theory. In: Proceedings of the First International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics. Springer, Duisburg. Semih Yücemen, 1993, A random field model for the estimation of seismic hazard, Structural Safety, 12, 187, 10.1016/0167-4730(93)90002-I Shen, 2006, Building Egress Analysis, Journal of Fire Sciences, 24, 7, 10.1177/0734904106052549 Shields, 2000, A study of evacuation from large retail stores, Fire Safety Journal, 35, 10.1016/S0379-7112(00)00013-8 Smith, 2009, Modelling contra-flow in crowd dynamics DEM simulation, Safety Science, 47, 395, 10.1016/j.ssci.2008.05.006 Takuma, 1972, Immediate Responses at Disaster Sites, 184 Turner, R.H., Nigg, J.M., Heller Paz, D., 1986. Wailing for Disaster: Earthquake Watch in California, (Berkeley and Los Angeles, California: University of California Press), 1986. University of California Press. Yu, 2011 Yu, E.S., 2009. Social Modeling and i ∗. In: Borgida, A., Chaudhri, V., Giorgini, P., Yu, E. (Eds.), Conceptual Modeling: Foundations and Applications – Essays in Honor of John Mylopoulos. Springer, pp. 99–111. Zanlungo, 2011, Social force model with explicit collision prediction, EPL (Europhysics Letters), 93, 68005, 10.1209/0295-5075/93/68005 Zanlungo, 2012, A microscopic “Social Norm” model to obtain realistic macroscopic velocity and density pedestrian distributions, PLoS ONE, 7, e50720, 10.1371/journal.pone.0050720 Zheng, 2009, Modeling crowd evacuation of a building based on seven methodological approaches, Building and Environment, 44, 437, 10.1016/j.buildenv.2008.04.002