Prioritising COVID-19 vaccination in changing social and epidemiological landscapes: a mathematical modelling study

Miller, 2020, Disease and healthcare burden of COVID-19 in the United States, Nat Med, 26, 1212, 10.1038/s41591-020-0952-y Anderson, 2020, Estimating the impact of COVID-19 control measures using a Bayesian model of physical distancing, medRxiv Peak, 2020, Individual quarantine versus active monitoring of contacts for the mitigation of COVID-19: a modelling study, Lancet Infect Dis, 20, 1025, 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30361-3 Tuite, 2020, Mathematical modelling of COVID-19 transmission and mitigation strategies in the population of Ontario, Canada, CMAJ, 192, E497, 10.1503/cmaj.200476 Lurie, 2020, Developing COVID-19 vaccines at pandemic speed, N Engl J Med, 382, 1969, 10.1056/NEJMp2005630 Bubar, 2021, Model-informed COVID-19 vaccine prioritization strategies by age and serostatus, medRxiv Buckner, 2020, Dynamic prioritization of COVID-19 vaccines when social distancing is limited for essential workers, medRxiv Matrajt, 2020, Vaccine optimization for COVID-19: who to vaccinate first?, medRxiv Saad-Roy, 2020, Immune life history, vaccination, and the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 over the next 5 years, Science, 370, 811, 10.1126/science.abd7343 Hilton, 2020, Estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices, PLOS Comput Biol, 16, 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008031 Anderson, 1992 Dushoff, 2007, Vaccinating to protect a vulnerable subpopulation, PLoS Med, 4, e174, 10.1371/journal.pmed.0040174 Pedro, 2020, Conditions for a second wave of COVID-19 due to interactions between disease dynamics and social processes, Front Phys, 8, 10.3389/fphy.2020.574514 Reluga, 2010, Game theory of social distancing in response to an epidemic, PLOS Comput Biol, 6, 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000793 Salathé, 2008, The effect of opinion clustering on disease outbreaks, J R Soc Interface, 5, 1505, 10.1098/rsif.2008.0271 Funk, 2009, The spread of awareness and its impact on epidemic outbreaks, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 106, 6872, 10.1073/pnas.0810762106 Verelst, 2016, Behavioural change models for infectious disease transmission: a systematic review (2010–2015), J R Soc Interface, 13, 10.1098/rsif.2016.0820 Funk, 2010, Modelling the influence of human behaviour on the spread of infectious diseases: a review, J R Soc Interface, 7, 1247, 10.1098/rsif.2010.0142 Bauch, 2005, Imitation dynamics predict vaccinating behaviour, Proc Biol Sci, 272, 1669 Innes, 2013, The impact of human–environment interactions on the stability of forest–grassland mosaic ecosystems, Sci Rep, 3, 10.1038/srep02689 Bury, 2019, Charting pathways to climate change mitigation in a coupled socio-climate model, PLOS Comput Biol, 15, 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007000 Amaral, 2020, An epidemiological model with voluntary quarantine strategies governed by evolutionary game dynamics, arXiv Zhao, 2020, Imitation dynamics in the mitigation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China from 2019 to 2020, Ann Transl Med, 8, 448, 10.21037/atm.2020.03.168 Alam, 2020, Based on mathematical epidemiology and evolutionary game theory, which is more effective: quarantine or isolation policy?, J Stat Mech, 2020, 10.1088/1742-5468/ab75ea Wise, 2020, Changes in risk perception and self-reported protective behaviour during the first week of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, R Soc Open Sci, 7, 10.1098/rsos.200742 Sigdel, 2019, Convergence of socio-ecological dynamics in disparate ecological systems under strong coupling to human social systems, Theor Ecol, 12, 285, 10.1007/s12080-018-0394-z Prem, 2017, Projecting social contact matrices in 152 countries using contact surveys and demographic data, PLOS Comput Biol, 13, 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005697 Hodgson, 2021, What defines an efficacious COVID-19 vaccine? A review of the challenges assessing the clinical efficacy of vaccines against SARS-CoV-2, Lancet Infect Dis, 21, E26, 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30773-8 Salathé, 2012, Digital epidemiology, PLOS Comput Biol, 8, 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002616