Spatially complex land change: The Indirect effect of Brazil's agricultural sector on land use in Amazonia

Anderson, 1981, Estimation of dynamic models with error components, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 76, 598, 10.1080/01621459.1981.10477691 Andrade de Sá, 2013, Dynamics of indirect land-use change: empirical evidence from Brazil, J. Environ. Econ. Manage., 65, 377, 10.1016/j.jeem.2013.01.001 Andrade de Sá, 2012, Ethanol production, food and forests, Environ. Resour. Econ., 2012, 1, 10.1007/s10640-011-9516-4 Angelsen, 2007 Arellano, 1991, Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations, Rev. Econ. Stud., 58, 277, 10.2307/2297968 Arima, 2011, Statistical confirmation of indirect land use change in the Amazon, Environ. Res. Lett., 6, 10.1088/1748-9326/6/2/024010 Arima, 2014, Public policies can reduce tropical deforestation: lessons and challenges from Brazil, Land Use Policy, 41, 465, 10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.06.026 Assunção, 2012, 3 Barona, 2010, The role of pasture and soybean in deforestation of the Brazilian Amazon, Environ. Res. Lett., 5, 024002, 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/024002 Bowman, 2012, Persistence of cattle ranching in the Brazilian Amazon: a spatial analysis of the rationale for beef production, Land Use Policy, 29, 558, 10.1016/j.landusepol.2011.09.009 Branford, 1985 Cohn, 2014, Cattle ranching intensification in Brazil can reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by sparing land from deforestation, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, 7236, 10.1073/pnas.1307163111 Fargione, 2008, Land clearing and the biofuel carbon debt, Science, 319, 1235, 10.1126/science.1152747 FNP, 2002 Garrett, 2013, The new economic geography of land use change: supply chain configurations and land use in the Brazilian Amazon, Land Use Policy, 34, 265, 10.1016/j.landusepol.2013.03.011 Garrett, 2013, Globalization's unexpected impact on soybean production in South America: linkages between preferences for non-genetically modified crops, eco-certifications, and land use, Environ. Res. Lett., 8, 044055, 10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/044055 Gasparri, 2013, Linkages between soybean and neotropical deforestation: coupling and transient decoupling dynamics in a multi-decadal analysis, Glob. Environ. Change, 23, 1605, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.09.007 Gasparri, 2014, The coupling of South American soybean and cattle production frontiers: new challenges for conservation policy and land change science, Conserv. Lett., 23, 1605 Hecht, 1984, Cattle ranching in Amazoina: political and ecological considerations Hertel, 2010, Effects of US maize ethanol on global land use and greenhouse gas emissions: estimating market-mediated responses, Bioscience, 60, 223, 10.1525/bio.2010.60.3.8 Hertel, 2010, The global impacts of biofuel mandates, Energy J., 75 IBGE, 2011 IBGE, 2012 INPE, 2013 Jepson, 2006, Private agricultural colonization on a Brazilian frontier, 1970–1980, J. Hist. Geogr., 32, 839, 10.1016/j.jhg.2004.12.019 Keeney, 2009, The indirect land use impacts of United States biofuel policies: the importance of acreage, yield, and bilateral trade responses, Am. J. Agric. Econ., 91, 895, 10.1111/j.1467-8276.2009.01308.x Lambin, 2011, Global land use change, economic globalization, and the looming land scarcity, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 108, 3465, 10.1073/pnas.1100480108 Lapola, 2010, Indirect land-use changes can overcome carbon savings from biofuels in Brazil, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 107, 3388, 10.1073/pnas.0907318107 Margolis, 1973 Meyfroidt, 2014, Multiple pathways of commodity crop expansion in tropical forest landscapes, Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 074012, 10.1088/1748-9326/9/7/074012 Meyfroidt, 2010, Forest transitions, trade, and the global displacement of land use, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 107, 20917, 10.1073/pnas.1014773107 Morton, 2006, Cropland expansion changes deforestation dynamics in the southern Brazilian Amazon, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 103, 14637, 10.1073/pnas.0606377103 Nassar, 2011, Biofuels and land-use changes: searching for the top model, Interface Focus, 1, 224, 10.1098/rsfs.2010.0043 Nepstad, 2009, The end of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon, Science, 326, 1350, 10.1126/science.1182108 Nepstad, 2006, Globalization of the Amazon soy and beef industries: opportunities for conservation, Conserv. Biol., 20, 1595, 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2006.00510.x Nickell, 1981, Biases in dynamic models with fixed effects, Econ.: J. Econ. Soc., 49, 1417, 10.2307/1911408 Ozorio de Almeida, 1995 Richards, 2012 Richards, 2012, Food, fuel, and the hidden margins of capital, J. Land Use Sci., 7, 289, 10.1080/1747423X.2011.565373 Richards, 2012, Exchange rates, soybean supply response, and deforestation in South America, Glob. Environ. Change, 22, 454, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.01.004 Robalino, 2012, Contagious development: neighbor interactions in deforestation, J. Dev. Econ., 97, 427, 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2011.06.003 Schmink, 1992 Searchinger, 2008, Use of U.S. croplands for biofuels increases greenhouse gases through emissions from land-use change, Science, 319, 1238, 10.1126/science.1151861 VanWey, 2013, Socioeconomic development and agricultural intensification in Mato Grosso, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. Ser. B, 368, 20120168, 10.1098/rstb.2012.0168 Walker, 2001, Urban sprawl and natural areas encroachment: linking land cover change and economic development in the Florida Everglades, Ecol. Econ., 37, 357, 10.1016/S0921-8009(01)00178-1 Walker, 2011, The impact of Brazilian biofuel production on Amazônia, Ann. Assoc. Am. Geogr., 101, 929, 10.1080/00045608.2011.568885 Walker, 2014, Sparing land for nature in the Brazilian Amazon: implications from location rent theory, Geogr. Anal., 46, 18, 10.1111/gean.12024 Walker, 2009, Ranching and the new global range: Amazônia in the 21st century, Geoforum, 40, 732, 10.1016/j.geoforum.2008.10.009 Walker, 2013, The ghost of von Thünen lives: a political ecology of the disappearance of the Amazonian forest Weinhold, 2013, Soybeans, poverty and inequality in the Brazilian Amazon, World Dev., 52, 132, 10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.11.016