Integrated modelling of Atlantic mackerel distribution patterns and movements: A template for dynamic impact assessments

Ecological Modelling - Tập 387 - Trang 118-133 - 2018
Stefan Heinänen1, Magda Ewa Chudzinska1, Jonas Brandi Mortensen2, Theophilus Zhi En Teo2, Kjell Rong Utne3, Lise Doksæter Sivle3, Frank Thomsen1
1DHI, Agern Allé 5, DK-2970 Hørsholm, Denmark
2DHI Water and Environment, 2 Venture Drive, 18-18 Vision Exchange, 608526, Singapore
3Institute of Marine Research, Postboks 1870, Nordnes, 5817, Bergen, Norway

Tài liệu tham khảo

Bachiller, 2016, Feeding ecology of Northeast Atlantic mackerel, Norwegian spring-spawning herring and Blue Whiting in the Norwegian Sea, PLoS One, 11, 10.1371/journal.pone.0149238 Bachiller, 2018, Bioenergetics modeling of the annual consumption of zooplankton by pelagic fish feeding in the Northeast Atlantic, PLoS One, 13, 10.1371/journal.pone.0190345 Baveco, 2017, Combining modelling tools to evaluate a goose management scheme, Ambio, 46, 210, 10.1007/s13280-017-0899-5 Boldt, 2014, Developing ecosystem indicators for responses to multiple stressors, Oceanography, 27, 116, 10.5670/oceanog.2014.91 Broms, 2009, Oceanic distribution and life cycle of Calanus species in the Norwegian Sea and adjacent waters, Deep-Sea Res. II, 56, 1910, 10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.11.005 Calenge, 2006, The package “adehabitat” for the R software: a tool for the analysis of space and habitat use by animals, Ecol. Modell., 197, 516, 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.03.017 Carrol, 2017, A critical review of the potential impacts of marine seismic surveys on fish & invertebrates, Mar. Pollut. Bull., 114, 9, 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2016.11.038 DeAngelis, 2013, Individual-based models in ecology after four decades, F1000Prime Rep., 6 DHI-Group, 2016 Dormann, 2012, Correlation and process in species distribution models: bridging a dichotomy, J. Biogeogr., 39, 2119, 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02659.x Elith, 2009, Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time, Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst., 40, 677, 10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.110308.120159 Engas, 1996, Effects of seismic shooting on local abundance and catch rates of cod (Gadus morhua) and haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., 53, 2238, 10.1139/f96-177 Evans, 2016, Towards process-based range modeling of many species, Trends Ecol. Evol., 31, 860, 10.1016/j.tree.2016.08.005 Gill, 2012, Potential interactions between diadromous teleosts of UK conservation importance and electromagnetic fields and subsea noise from marine renewable energy developments, J. Fish Biol., 81, 664, 10.1111/j.1095-8649.2012.03374.x Grimm, 1999, Ten years of individual-based modelling in ecology: what have we learned and what could we learn in the future?, Ecol. Modell., 115, 129, 10.1016/S0304-3800(98)00188-4 Grimm, 2005 Grimm, 2012, Pattern-orientedmodelling: a ‘multi-scope’ for predictive systems ecology, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci., 367, 298, 10.1098/rstb.2011.0180 Grimm, 2010, The ODD protocol: a review and first update, Ecol. Modell., 221, 2760, 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.08.019 Guisan, 2013, Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions, Ecol. Lett., 16, 1424, 10.1111/ele.12189 Hawkins, 2014, Responses of free-living pelagic fish to impulsive sounds, J. Acoust. Soc. Am., 135, 3101, 10.1121/1.4870697 Head, 2013, On the ecology of Calanus finmarchicus in the Subarctic North Atlantic: a comparison of population dynamics and environmental conditions in areas of the Labrador Sea-Labrador/Newfoundland Shelf and Norwegian Sea Atlantic and Coastal Waters, Prog. Oceanogr., 114, 46, 10.1016/j.pocean.2013.05.004 Humston, 2000, Schooling and migration of large pelagic fishes relative to environmental cues, Fish. Oceanogr., 9, 136, 10.1046/j.1365-2419.2000.00132.x ICES, 2013 ICES, 2014 ICES, 2016 ICES, 2017 Iversen, 2004, Mackerel and horse mackerel, 289 Johnston, 2017, An integrated ecological modeling system for assessing impacts of multiple stressors on stream and riverine ecosystem services within river basins, Ecol. Modell., 354, 104, 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.03.021 Latombe, 2014, Uniting statistical and individual-based approaches for animal movement modelling, PLoS One, 9, 10.1371/journal.pone.0099938 Løkkeborg, 2012, Sounds from seismic air guns: gear- and species-specific effects on catch rates and fish distribution, Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., 69, 1278, 10.1139/f2012-059 MacLane, 2011, The role of agent-based models in wildlife ecology and management, Ecol. Modell., 222, 1544, 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.01.020 McCauley, 2003, High intensity anthropogenic sound damages fish ears, J. Acoust. Soc. Am., 113, 638, 10.1121/1.1527962 Miller, 2015, Incorporating movement in species distribution models, Prog. Phys. Geogr., 39, 837, 10.1177/0309133315580890 Nøttestad, 2016, Quantifying changes in abundance, biomass, and spatial distribution of Northeast Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus) in the Nordic seas from 2007 to 2014, ICES J. Mar. Sci., 73, 359, 10.1093/icesjms/fsv218 Nøttestad, 2016, Feeding strategy of mackerel in the Norwegian Sea relative to currents, temperature and prey, ICES J. Mar. Sci., 73, 1127, 10.1093/icesjms/fsv239 Olafsdottir, 2016, Changes in weight-at-length and size-at-age of mature Northeast Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus) from 1984 to 2013: effects of mackerel stock size and herring (Clupea harengus) stock size, ICES J. Mar. Sci., 73, 1255, 10.1093/icesjms/fsv142 Palacios, 2013, AS WE SEE IT: beyond correlation: integrating environmentally and behaviourally mediated processes in models of marine mammal distributions, Endanger. Species Res., 22, 191, 10.3354/esr00558 Pearson, 1992, Effects of sound from a geophysical survey device on behaviour of captive rockfish (sebastes spp.), Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., 49, 1343, 10.1139/f92-150 Popper, 2005, Effects of exposure to seismic airgun use on hearing of three fish species, J. Acoust. Soc. Am., 117, 3958, 10.1121/1.1904386 Potts, 2006, Comparing species abundance models, Ecol. Modell., 199, 153, 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.05.025 R Core Team, 2016 Sivle, 2016, Mackerel behaviour and seismic signals – a net pen pilot study, Rapport fra Havforskningen, 19 Sivle, 2017, Behavioural effects of seismic dose escalation exposure on captive mackerel (Scomber scombrus), Rapport fra Havforskningen, 34, 72 Slabbekoorn, 2010, A noisy spring: the impact of globally rising underwater sound levels on fish, Trends in Ecol. Evol., 25, 419, 10.1016/j.tree.2010.04.005 Southall, 2007, Marine mammal noise exposure criteria: initial scientific recommendations, Aquat. Mamm., 33, 411, 10.1578/AM.33.4.2007.411 Thomsen, 2012, Effects of pile driving on the behavior of cod and sole, 387 Utne, 2012, Estimating the horizontal and temporal overlap of pelagic fish distribution in the Norwegian Sea using individual-based modelling, Mar. Biol. Res., 8, 548, 10.1080/17451000.2011.639781 Utne, 2012, Estimating the consumption of Calanus finmarchicus by planktivorous fish in the Norwegian Sea using a fully coupled 3D model system, Mar. Biol. Res., 8, 527, 10.1080/17451000.2011.642804 Wahlberg, 2005, Hearing in fish and their reactions to sounds from offshore wind farms, Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser., 288, 295, 10.3354/meps288295 Weston, 1971, Multiple frequency studies of sound transmission fluctuations in shallow water, J. Sound Vib., 18, 10.1016/0022-460X(71)90100-3 Wilmott, 1981, On the validation of models, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 2, 184 Zuur, 2009