The impact of global land-cover change on the terrestrial water cycle

Nature Climate Change - Tập 3 Số 4 - Trang 385-390 - 2013
Shannon Sterling1,2, Agnès Ducharne2, Jan Polcher‬3
1Departments of Earth Sciences and Environmental Science, Dalhousie University, Halifax, B3H 4R2, Canada
2UMR Sisyphe 7619, UPMC/CNRS, Université Pierre-et-Marie Curie Paris IV, 4 place Jussieu, 75252 Paris Cedex 05, France
3Institut Pierre Simon Laplace/Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, CNRS, 4 place Jussieu, 75252 Paris Cedex 05, France

Tóm tắt

Từ khóa


Tài liệu tham khảo

Sterling, S. & Ducharne, A. Comprehensive data set of global land cover change for land surface model applications. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 22, GB3017 (2008).

Pielke, R. A. et al. Land use/land cover changes and climate: Modeling analysis and observational evidence. Wires Climatic Change 2, 828–850 (2011).

NRC, Radiative Forcing of Climate Change: Expanding the Concept and Addressing Uncertainties (National Research Council, 2005).

Ban-Weiss, G. A., Bala, G., Cao, L., Pongratz, J. & Caldeira, K. Climate forcing and response to idealized changes in surface latent and sensible heat. Environ. Res. Lett. 6, 034032 (2011).

Erb, K. H. et al. Analyzing the global human appropriation of net primary production—processes, trajectories, implications. Ecol. Econ. 69, 250–259 (2009).

Postel, S. L., Daily, G. C. & Ehrlich, P. R. Human appropriation of renewable fresh water. Science 271, 785–788 (1996).

Bounoua, L., DeFries, R. S., Collatz, G. J., Sellers, P. & Khan, H. Effects of land cover conversion on surface climate. Climatic Change 52, 29–64 (2002).

Zhao, M., Pitman, A. J. & Chase, T. N. The impact of land cover change on the atmospheric circulation. Clim. Dynam. 17, 467–477 (2001).

Betts, R. A. Biogeophysical impacts of land use on present-day climate: Near surface temperature change and radiative forcing. Atmos. Sci. Lett. 2, 39–51 (2001).

Piao, S. L. et al. Changes in climate and land use have a larger direct impact than rising CO2 on global river runoff trends. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 104, 15242–15247 (2007).

Findell, K. L., Shevliakova, E., Milly, P. C. D. & Stouffer, R. J. Modeled impact of anthropogenic land cover change on climate. J. Clim. 20, 3621–3634 (2007).

Gordon, L. J. et al. Human modification of global water vapor flows from the land surface. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 102, 7612–7617 (2005).

Gedney, N. et al. Detection of a direct carbon dioxide effect in continental river runoff records. Nature 439, 835–838 (2006).

Rost, S., Gerten, D. & Heyder, U. Human alterations of the terrestrial water cycle through land management. Adv. Geosci. 18, 43–50 (2008).

Gerten, D., Schaphoff, S., Haberlandt, U., Lucht, W. & Sitch, S. Terrestrial vegetation and water balance—hydrological evaluation of a dynamic global vegetation model. J. Hydrol. 286, 249–270 (2004).

Haberl, H. et al. Quantifying and mapping the human appropriation of net primary production in earth’s terrestrial ecosystems. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 104, 12942–12945 (2007).

Haddeland, I., Skaugen, T. & Lettenmaier, D. P. Hydrologic effects of land and water management in North America and Asia: 1700–1992. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 11, 1035–1045 (2007).

Vorosmarty, C. J., Green, P., Salisbury, J. & Lammers, R. B. Global water resources: Vulnerability from climate change and population growth. Science 289, 284–288 (2000).

Koster, R. D. et al. Regions of strong coupling between soil moisture and precipitation. Science 305, 1138–1140 (2004).

Zhang, J. Y., Wang, W. C. & Wei, J. F. Assessing land–atmosphere coupling using soil moisture from the Global Land Data Assimilation System and observational precipitation. J. Geophys. Res. 113, D17119 (2008).

Davin, E. L. & de Noblet-Ducoudre, N. Climatic impact of global-scale deforestation: Radiative versus nonradiative processes. J. Clim. 23, 97–112 (2010).

Davin, E. L., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N. & Friedlingstein, P. Impact of land cover change on surface climate: Relevance of the radiative forcing concept. Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L13702 (2007).

Milliman, J. D., Farnsworth, K. L., Jones, P. D., Xu, K. H. & Smith, L. C. Climatic and anthropogenic factors affecting river discharge to the global ocean, 1951–2000. Glob. Planet Change 62, 187–194 (2008).

Labat, D., Godderis, Y., Probst, J. L. & Guyot, J. L. Evidence for global runoff increase related to climate warming. Adv. Water Resour. 27, 631–642 (2004).

Kundzewicz, Z. W. et al. The implications of projected climate change for freshwater resources and their management. Hydrol. Sci. J. 53, 3–10 (2008).

Milly, P. C. D., Dunne, K. A. & Vecchia, A. V. Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate. Nature 438, 347–350 (2005).

Pitman, A. J. et al. Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L14814 (2009).

Krinner, G. et al. A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 19, GB1015 (2005).

Ngo-Duc, T., Polcher, J. & Laval, K. A 53-year forcing data set for land surface models. J. Geophys. Res. 110, D06116 (2005).

De Rosnay, P., Polcher, J., Laval, K. & Sabre, M. Integrated parameterization of irrigation in the land surface model ORCHIDEE, Validation over Indian Peninsula. Geophys. Res. Lett. 30, 1986 (2003).

Ngo-Duc, T., Laval, K., Polcher, J., Lombard, A. & Cazenave, A. Effects of land water storage on global mean sea level over the past half century. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L09704 (2005).

Sellers, P. J. et al. A revised land surface parameterization (SiB2) for atmospheric GCMS. Part I: Model formulation. J. Clim. 9, 676–705 (1996).

Sellers, P. J. et al. A revised land surface parameterization (SiB2) for atmospheric GCMS. Part II: The generation of global fields of terrestrial biophysical parameters from satellite data. J. Clim. 9, 706–737 (1996).

Jin, M. & Shepherd, J. M. Inclusion of urban landscape in a climate model: How can satellite data help? Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 86, 681–689 (2005).

Arnfield, A. J. Two decades of urban climate research: A review of turbulence, exchanges of energy and water, and the urban heat island. Int. J. Clim. 23, 1–26 (2003).

Zhang, X., Friedl, M. A., Schaaf, C. B. & Strahler, A. H. Climate controls on vegetation phenological patterns in northern mid- and high latitudes inferred from MODIS data. Glob. Change Biol. 10 (2004).

Jackson, R. B., Mooney, H. A. & Schulze, E. D. A global budget for fine root biomass, surface area, and nutrient contents. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 94, 7362–7366 (1997).

Oguntoyinbo, J. S. Reflection coefficient of natural vegetation, crops and urban surfaces in Nigeria. Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 96, 430–441 (1970).

Miranda, A. C. et al. Fluxes of carbon, water and energy over Brazilian cerrado: An analysis using eddy covariance and stable isotopes. Plant. Cell Environ. 20, 315–328 (1997).