An integrated decision-support approach in prioritizing risks of non-indigenous species in the face of high uncertainty

Ajzen, 1996, Information bias in contingent valuation: effects of personal relevance, quality of information, and motivational orientation, J. Environ. Econ. Manage., 30, 43, 10.1006/jeem.1996.0004 Bier, 1999, A survey of approaches for assessing and managing the risk of extremes, Risk Anal., 19, 83, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1999.tb00391.x British Government's Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology, 2004 Bryson, 2004, What to do when stakeholders matter: a guide to stakeholder identification and analysis techniques, Public Manage. Rev., 2004, 21, 10.1080/14719030410001675722 Burgman, 2005 Cook, 2007, Assessing the threat of exotic plant pests, Ecol. Econ., 63, 594, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.12.021 Cook, 2007, Predicting the economic impact of an invasive species on an ecosystem service, Ecol. Appl., 17, 1832, 10.1890/06-1632.1 Cook, 2010 Costanza, 1998, Using dynamic modeling to scope environmental problems and build consensus, Environ. Manage., 22, 183, 10.1007/s002679900095 Dieckmann, 2009, The use of narrative evidence and explicit likelihood by decisionmakers varying in numeracy, Risk Anal., 29, 1473, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01279.x Franklin, 2008, Evaluating extreme risks in invasion ecology: learning from banking compliance, Divers. Distrib., 14, 581, 10.1111/j.1472-4642.2008.00478.x Goodin, 2003, When does deliberation begin? Internal reflection versus public discussion in deliberative democracy, Polit. Stud., 51, 627, 10.1111/j.0032-3217.2003.00450.x Hey, 2010, The descriptive and predictive adequacy of theories of decision making under uncertainty/ambiguity, J. Risk Uncertain., 41, 81, 10.1007/s11166-010-9102-0 Horan, 2002, Biological pollution prevention strategies under ignorance: the case of invasive species, Am. J. Agr. Econ., 84, 1303, 10.1111/1467-8276.00394 Howley, 2010, The citizen versus consumer distinction: an exploration of individuals' preferences in contingent valuation studies, Ecol. Econ., 69, 1524, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.02.012 Hurley, 2010, Prioritizing biosecurity risks using a participatory decision-making tool, Hum. Ecol. Risk Assess., 16, 1379, 10.1080/10807039.2010.526506 Keller, 2009, Effect of risk ladder format on risk perception in high- and low-numerate individuals, Risk Anal., 29, 1255, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01261.x Kowalski, 2009, Sustainable energy futures: methodological challenges in combining scenarios and participatory multi-criteria analysis, Eur. J. Oper. Res., 197, 1063, 10.1016/j.ejor.2007.12.049 Larson, 2011, A framework for sustainable invasive species management: environmental, social, and economic objectives, J. Environ. Manage., 92, 14, 10.1016/j.jenvman.2010.08.025 Liu, 2010, Using an integrated fuzzy set and deliberative multi-criteria evaluation approach to facilitate decision-making in invasive species management, Ecol. Econ., 69, 2374, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.07.004 Mack, 2000, Biotic invasions: causes, epidemiology, global consequences, and control, Ecol. Appl., 10, 689, 10.1890/1051-0761(2000)010[0689:BICEGC]2.0.CO;2 Maguire, 2004, What can decision analysis do for invasive species management?, Risk Anal., 24, 859, 10.1111/j.0272-4332.2004.00484.x Marinoni, 2009, The multiple criteria analysis tool (MCAT): a new software tool to support environmental investment decision making, Environ. Modell. Softw., 24, 153, 10.1016/j.envsoft.2008.06.015 Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005 Neuman, 2004 Patton, 2002 Pimentel, 2005, Update on the environmental and economic costs associated with alien-invasive species in the United States, Ecol. Econ., 52, 273, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2004.10.002 Proctor, 2006, Deliberative multicriteria evaluation, Environ. Plan. C-Gov. Policy, 24, 169, 10.1068/c22s Rauschmayer, 2006, Evaluating deliberative and analytical methods for the resolution of environmental conflicts, Land Use Pol., 23, 108, 10.1016/j.landusepol.2004.08.011 Regan, 2002, A taxonomy and treatment of uncertainty for ecology and conservation biology, Ecol. Appl., 12, 618, 10.1890/1051-0761(2002)012[0618:ATATOU]2.0.CO;2 Rodriguez-Labajos, 2009, Multi-level driving forces of biological invasions, Ecol. Econ., 69, 63, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.08.022 Simberloff, 2005, The politics of assessing risk for biological invasions: the USA as a case study, Trends Ecol. Evol., 20, 216, 10.1016/j.tree.2005.02.008 Simberloff, 2006, Risk assessments, blacklists, and white lists for introduced species: are predictions good enough to be useful?, Agric. Resour. Econ. Rev., 35, 1, 10.1017/S1068280500010005 Stainforth, 2007, Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A Math. Phys. Eng. Sci., 365, 2145, 10.1098/rsta.2007.2074 Stanley, 2001, Wheat from chaff: meta-analysis as quantitative literature review, J. Econ. Perspect., 15, 131, 10.1257/jep.15.3.131 Stanley, 2005, Beyond publication bias, J. Econ. Surv., 19, 309, 10.1111/j.0950-0804.2005.00250.x Strayer, 2009, Twenty years of zebra mussels: lessons from the mollusk that made headlines, Front. Ecol. Environ., 7, 135, 10.1890/080020 Strayer, 2006, Understanding the long-term effects of species invasions, Trends Ecol. Evol., 21, 645, 10.1016/j.tree.2006.07.007 Svendsen, 2006 Visschers, 2009, Probability information in risk communication: a review of the research literature, Risk Analysis, 29, 267, 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2008.01137.x Waage, 2008, Agricultural biosecurity, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci., 363, 863, 10.1098/rstb.2007.2188 Wardekker, 2008, Uncertainty communication in environmental assessments: views from the Dutch science-policy interface, Environ. Sci. Policy, 11, 627, 10.1016/j.envsci.2008.05.005 Webb, 2008, Conversations in conservation: revealing and dealing with language differences in environmental conflicts, J. Appl. Ecol., 45, 1198, 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01495.x Williamson, 1999, Invasions, Ecography, 22, 5, 10.1111/j.1600-0587.1999.tb00449.x Wolfslehner, 2010, Harnessing ecosystem models and multi-criteria decision analysis for the support of forest management, Environ. Manage., 46, 850, 10.1007/s00267-009-9414-5