Hawkes process-based technology impact analysis

Agarwal, 1998, Evolutionary trends of industry variables, International Journal of Industrial Organizationn, 16, 511, 10.1016/S0167-7187(97)00004-0 Albert, 1991, Direct validation of citation counts as indicators of industrially important patents, Research Policy, 20, 251, 10.1016/0048-7333(91)90055-U Alcacer, 2009, Applicant and examiner citations in US patents: An overview and analysis, Research Policy, 38, 415, 10.1016/j.respol.2008.12.001 Bacry, 2013, Modelling microstructure noise with mutually exciting point processes, Quantitative Finance, 13, 65, 10.1080/14697688.2011.647054 Breitzman, 2015, The emerging clusters model: A tool for identifying emerging technologies across multiple patent systems, Research Policy, 44, 195, 10.1016/j.respol.2014.06.006 Burrell, 2001, Stochastic modelling of the first citation distribution, Scientometrics, 52, 3, 10.1023/A:1012751509975 Burrell, 2002, The nth-citation distribution and obsolescence, Scientometrics, 53, 309, 10.1023/A:1014816911511 Burrell, 2003, Predicting future citation behavior, Journal of the American Society for Information Science, 54, 372, 10.1002/asi.10207 Carpenter, 1981, Citation rates to technologically important patents, World Pat. Inf., 3, 160, 10.1016/0172-2190(81)90098-3 Chakrabarti, 1991, Competition in high technology: Analysis of patents of US, Japan, UK, France,West Germany, and Canada, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 38, 78, 10.1109/17.65763 Chang, 2012, The relationships between the patent performance and corporation performance, Journal of Informetrics, 6, 131, 10.1016/j.joi.2011.09.001 Cheng, 2010, Profitability decided by patent quality? An empirical study of the U.S. semiconductor industry, Scientometrics, 82, 175, 10.1007/s11192-009-0080-4 Choi, 2009, Monitoring the organic structure of technology based on the patent development path, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 76, 754, 10.1016/j.techfore.2008.10.007 Choi, 2007, A patent-based cross impact analysis for quantitative estimation of technological impact: The case of information and communication technology, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 74, 1296, 10.1016/j.techfore.2006.10.008 Coates, 1976, Technology assessment -Tool kit, Chemtech, 6, 372 Criscuolo, 2008, Does it matter where patent citations come from? Inventor vs. examiner citations in European patents, Research Policy, 37, 1892, 10.1016/j.respol.2008.07.011 Da Fonseca, 2014, Hawkes process: fast calibration application to trade clustering, and diffusive limit, Journal of Futures Markets RG Impact & Description, 34, 548 Daim, 2006, Forecasting emerging technologies: Use of bibliometrics and patent analysis, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73, 981, 10.1016/j.techfore.2006.04.004 Daley, 2002 Debackere, 2002, Measuring progress and evolution in science and technology - II: The multiple uses of technometric indicators, International Journal of Management Reviews, 4, 213, 10.1111/1468-2370.00085 Egghe, 2000, Aging, obsolescence, impact, growth and utilization: Definitions and relations, Journal of the Association for Information Science and Technology, 51, 1004 Errais, 2010, Affine point processes and portfolio credit risk, SIAM: SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 1, 642 Fischer, 2014, Testing patent value indicators on directly observed patent value—An empirical analysis of Ocean Tomo patent auctions, Research Policy, 43, 519, 10.1016/j.respol.2013.07.013 Geum, 2013, Identifying and evaluating strategic partners for collaborative R&D: Index-based approach using patents and publications, Technovation, 33, 211, 10.1016/j.technovation.2013.03.012 Glänzel, 1994, A stochastic model for the ageing of scientific literature, Scientometrics, 30, 49, 10.1007/BF02017212 Glänzel, 1992, On some stopping times on citation processes, from theory to indicators, Information Processing & Management, 28, 53, 10.1016/0306-4573(92)90092-E Gort, 1982, Time paths in the diffusion of product innovations, The Economic Journal, 92, 630, 10.2307/2232554 Guellec, 2000, Applications, grants and the value of patent, Economics Letters, 69, 109, 10.1016/S0165-1765(00)00265-2 Han, 2007, Measuring industrial knowledge stocks with patents and papers, Journal of Informetrics, 1, 269, 10.1016/j.joi.2007.06.001 Harhoff, 2003, Citations, family size, opposition and the value of patent rights, Research Policy, 32, 1343, 10.1016/S0048-7333(02)00124-5 Hawkes, 1974, A cluster process representation of a self-exciting process, Journal of Applied Probability, 11, 493, 10.2307/3212693 Hawkes, 1971, Point spectra of some mutually exciting point processes, Journal of Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 33, 438 Hawkes, 1971, Spectra of some self-exciting and mutually exciting point processes, Biometrika, 58, 83, 10.1093/biomet/58.1.83 Holden, 2002, A stochastic marked point process model for earthquakes, Natural hazards and earth system sciences Journal, 3, 95 Karki, 1997, Patent citation analysis: A policy analysis tool, World Patent Information, 19, 269, 10.1016/S0172-2190(97)00033-1 Khan, 2006, 1 Kim, 2011, Identifying core technologies based on technological cross-impacts: An association rule mining (ARM) and analytic network process (ANP) approach, Expert Systems with Applications, 38, 12559, 10.1016/j.eswa.2011.04.042 Lanjouw, 2004, Patent quality and research productivity: Measuring innovation with multiple indicators, The Eonomic Journal, 114, 441 Lee, 2009, An ANP-based technology network for identification of core technologies: A case of telecommunication technologies, Expert Systems with Applications, 36, 894, 10.1016/j.eswa.2007.10.026 Lee, 2011, Monitoring trends of technological changes based on the dynamic patent lattice: A modified formal concept analysis approach, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78, 690, 10.1016/j.techfore.2010.11.010 Lee, 2012, A stochastic patent citation analysis approach to assessing future technological impacts, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79, 16, 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.06.009 Lee, 2015, Novelty-focused patent mapping for technology opportunity analysis, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 355, 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.05.010 Lee, 2016, Stochastic technology life cycle analysis using multiple patent indicators, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 106, 53, 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.01.024 Li, 2007, Patent citation network in nanotechnology (1976–2004), Journal of Nanoparticle Research, 9, 337, 10.1007/s11051-006-9194-2 Martino, 1993 McGahan, 2001, How does innovative activity change as industries mature?, International Journal of Industrial Organization Impact & Description, 19, 1141, 10.1016/S0167-7187(01)00067-4 Meyer, 2000, Does science push technology? Patents citing scientific literature, Research Policy, 29, 409, 10.1016/S0048-7333(99)00040-2 Mingers, 2006, Modeling citation behavior in management science journals, Information Processing & Management, 42, 1451, 10.1016/j.ipm.2006.03.012 Narin, 1987, Patents as indicators of corporate technological strength, Research Policy, 16, 143, 10.1016/0048-7333(87)90028-X Porter, 1991 Protter, 2004 Ren, 2012, Modeling the clustering in citation networks, Physica A, 391, 3533, 10.1016/j.physa.2012.02.001 Rosenberg, 1979, Technological interdependence in the American economy, Technology and Culture, 20, 25, 10.2307/3103110 Rousseau, 1994, Double exponential models for first-citation processes, Scientometrics, 30, 213, 10.1007/BF02017224 Schankerman, 1986, Estimates of the value of patent rights in European countries during the post-1950 period, The Economic Journal, 97, 1 Schumpeter, 1939 Shin, 2013, Robust future-oriented technology portfolios: black–Litterman approach, R&D Management, 43, 409, 10.1111/radm.12022 Shreve, 2004 Silverberg, 2007, The size distribution of innovations revisited: an application of extreme value statistics to citation and value measures of patent significance, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 139, 318, 10.1016/j.jeconom.2006.10.017 Strogatz, 2001, Exploring complex network, Nature, 410, 268, 10.1038/35065725 Thorleuchter, 2010, A compared R&D-based and patent-based cross impact analysis for identifying relationships between technologies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77, 1037, 10.1016/j.techfore.2010.03.002 Trajtenberg, 1990, A penny for your quotes: Patent citations and the value of innovations, Rand Journal of Economics, 21, 172, 10.2307/2555502 Usher, 1954 Wallace, 1986, The relationship between journal productivity and obsolescence, Journal of the Association for Information Science and Technology, 37, 136 Wartburg, 2005, Inventive progress measured by multi-stage patent citation analysis, Research Policy, 34, 1591, 10.1016/j.respol.2005.08.001 Watts, 1997, Innovation forecasting, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 56, 25, 10.1016/S0040-1625(97)00050-4 Yoon, 2007, Development of new technology forecasting algorithm: Hybrid approach for morphology analysis and conjoint analysis of patent information, EEE Technology and Engineering Management, 54, 588